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大修与新型更新组合优化的蒙特卡罗模拟研究 被引量:4
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作者 李凯扬 陈本炎 《计算机集成制造系统》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2007年第6期1148-1152,共5页
以采用大修维护的设备为研究对象,以有限时间内维护净收益最大为目标,以更新时机和更新前后大修间隔为决策变量,基于风险控制因素,建立了大修与新型更新的组合优化模型。在此基础上,使用蒙特卡罗模拟方法求解最佳更新时机和新旧设备的... 以采用大修维护的设备为研究对象,以有限时间内维护净收益最大为目标,以更新时机和更新前后大修间隔为决策变量,基于风险控制因素,建立了大修与新型更新的组合优化模型。在此基础上,使用蒙特卡罗模拟方法求解最佳更新时机和新旧设备的最优大修周期,并给出模型求解的方法。算例分析表明了更新前后大修周期的变化,说明了该方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 基于风险的维护 不完全维护 大修 新型更新 维护优化 蒙特卡罗模拟
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设备更新时期选择问题的新思考 被引量:2
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作者 张莉 《淮北职业技术学院学报》 2008年第4期27-29,共3页
阐述设备更新的涵义、方式以及更新对象的基础,对目前设备更新时期选择的两类代表性方案进行介绍,并提出它们所存在的问题,从而探求出最佳的设备更新时期选择方案。
关键词 设备更新 原型更新 新型更新 经济寿命 盈利寿命年限
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电力设备更新策略 被引量:1
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作者 郑广杰 《湖南水利水电》 2007年第6期77-79,共3页
文章通过对设备磨损及对中国目前电力设备更新的状况的介绍和描述,提出的有关电力设备更新的思想方法和数学模型,可以适用于不同种类的电力设备、不同的更新类型。
关键词 电力设备 原形更新 新型更新 寿命周期费用
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A contribution to large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums 被引量:27
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作者 苏淳 唐启鹤 江涛 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2001年第4期438-444,共7页
In this paper we consider the large deviations for random sums $S(t) = \sum _{i = t}^{N(t)} X_i ,t \geqslant 0$ , whereX n,n?1 are independent, identically distributed and non-negative random variables with a common h... In this paper we consider the large deviations for random sums $S(t) = \sum _{i = t}^{N(t)} X_i ,t \geqslant 0$ , whereX n,n?1 are independent, identically distributed and non-negative random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution function F, andN(t), t?0 is a process of non-negative integer-valued random variables, independent ofX n,n?1. Under the assumption that the tail of F is of Pareto’s type (regularly or extended regularly varying), we investigate what reasonable condition can be given onN(t), t?0 under which precise large deviation for S( t) holds. In particular, the condition we obtain is satisfied for renewal counting processes. 展开更多
关键词 (extended) regular variation extreme value theory large deviations renewal counting process renewal risk model subexponential distributions
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Locomotor adaptations in Plio-Pleistocene large carnivores from the Italian Peninsula: Palaeoecological implications
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作者 Carlo MELORO 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第3期269-283,共15页
Mammalian carnivores are rarely considered for environmental reconstructions because they are extremely adaptable and their geographic range is usually large. However, the functional morphology of carnivore long bones... Mammalian carnivores are rarely considered for environmental reconstructions because they are extremely adaptable and their geographic range is usually large. However, the functional morphology of carnivore long bones can be indicative of locomotor behaviour as well as adaptation to specific kind of habitats. Here, different long bone ratios belonging to a subsample of extant large carnivores are used to infer palaeoecology of a comparative sample of Plio-Pleistocene fossils belonging to Italian paleo-communities. A multivariate long bone shape space reveals similarities between extant and fossil carnivores and multiple logistic regression models suggest that specific indices (the brachial and the Mt/F) can be applied to predict adaptations to grassland and tropical biomes. These functional indices exhibit also a phylogenetic signal to different degree. The brachial index is a significant predictor of adaptations to tropical biomes when phylogeny is taken into account, while Mt/F is not correlated anymore to habitat adaptations. However, the proportion of grassland-adapted carnivores in Italian paleo-communities exhibits a negative relationship with mean oxygen isotopic values, which are indicative of past climatic oscillations. As climate became more unstable during the Ice Ages, large carnivore guilds from the Italian peninsula were invaded by tropical/closed-adapted species. These species take advantage of the temperate forest cover that was more spread after 1.0 Ma than in the initial phase of the Quaternary (2.0 Ma) when the climate was more arid [Current Zoology 57 (3): 269-283, 2011]. 展开更多
关键词 CARNIVORA Long bones QUATERNARY Climate change
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