Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an ac...Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an active response to the social needs in the situation that earthquake prediction research meets many difficulties, or as a real forward prediction test persistently conducted for 1/3 century. It is a pity that such an approach has not been well-known by international seismological community, and the scientific merits of such an endeavor is sometimes regrettably underestimated.展开更多
Background:The Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment–Patella(VISA-P) scale is the most condition-specific patient-reported outcome measure used to assess symptom severity in athletes with patellar tendinopathy.Prev...Background:The Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment–Patella(VISA-P) scale is the most condition-specific patient-reported outcome measure used to assess symptom severity in athletes with patellar tendinopathy.Previous exploratory factor analyses have been conducted to evaluate the scale's dimensionality,with inconsistent results,and the factor structure of the scale remains unclear.The aims of the present study were to determine the factorial structure of the VISA-P scale using confirmatory factor analysis(CFA) and test measurement invariance across sexes.Methods:The study included a convenience sample of 249 Spanish athletes with patellar tendinopathy.CFA was performed to assess factorial validity.Hypothesized 1-and 2-factor models were tested.Measurement invariance across sexes was evaluated via multi-group CFA with several fit indices using EQS 6.1 software.Results:The internal consistency coefficient was 0.74.Several CFA models were examined and the 1-factor model in which errors for Items 7 and8 were correlated showed acceptable fit in terms of comparative fit index(CFI) and goodness-of-fit index(GFI) statistics(CFI = 0.93;GFI = 0.94;standardized root mean square residual = 0.06;root mean square error of approximation = 0.10;90% confidence interval:0.08–0.13).This model was invariant across sexes.Conclusion:The 1-factor model of the Spanish version of the VISA-P scale(VISA-P-Sp) in which errors for Items 7 and 8 were correlated demonstrated relative fit in CFA.Scores obtained via VISA-P-Sp can be compared between men and women without sexes bias.Further studies should examine the VISA-P scale and other single-score patient-reported outcome measures concurrently.展开更多
Wind and solar energy are projected to be major sources of the world's power in the coming decades.In this study,we first introduce satellite observations for surface solar irradiance and wind,and then discuss usi...Wind and solar energy are projected to be major sources of the world's power in the coming decades.In this study,we first introduce satellite observations for surface solar irradiance and wind,and then discuss using the data for prediction and assessment of energy distribution.Using the current NCEP global forecast model (GFS),the global mean and standard deviation of solar power at the surface for the 5-d forecast are about 212 and 124 W/m2,respectively.For a 24-h forecast of a 3-h mean,the relative error is about 30%,and for a prediction of the daily mean,it is about 15%.The relative error of wind power forecasts for a 24-h forecast of a 3-h mean and a daily mean is 70% and 35%,respectively.The reanalysis results based on satellite observations and numerical weather prediction model are also used to study the distribution of solar and wind energy and the variation of the distribution related to climate change.No significant trend in downward solar radiation is found at the surface in the reanalysis data sets.Surface wind power however exhibits a significant positive trend as the global temperature is warming up.A comparison of a decadal mean wind energy between two decades (from 1949 to 1958 vs.from 1999 to 2008) shows that most of Asia had experienced a decrease in surface wind energy.Therefore,decisions about renewable energy developments need to consider such climate change scenarios.展开更多
Purpose： Lately there is an increasing tendency of using Patient Reported Outcome Measures （PROMs） as a final indicator of the outcome of many surgical treatments in orthopaedics and in other medical specialties. C...Purpose： Lately there is an increasing tendency of using Patient Reported Outcome Measures （PROMs） as a final indicator of the outcome of many surgical treatments in orthopaedics and in other medical specialties. Currently there are many outcome scores in orthopaedics and most of them are site specific. In the contrary there is a lack of trauma specific outcome scores. Methods： We have designed a new PROM especially for orthopaedic trauma patients, in order to measure in what extent the patients manage to return to their pre-injury state. This score uses as baseline the preinjury status of the patient and has the aim to determine the percentage of rehabilitation after treatment for any injury. Results： A total of 60 Chertsey Outcome Score for Trauma （COST） questionnaires were gathered in our outpatients department. The participants were 57% male （aged 46.81 years ± 18.5 years） and the questionnaires collected at mean 10 months post-injury. A Cronbach＇s Alpha value of 0.89 was identified for the whole construct. The three dimensions of the scale had good internal consistency as well （Cronbach＇s Alpha test values 0.74, 0.84 and 0.81 for symptoms, function and mental status respectively）. Strong/moderate correlation （Spearman＇s Rho test 0.43-0.65） was observed between the respective physical/mental dimensions of the COST and SF-12v2 questionnaires. Conclusion： There is a need among the orthopaedic trauma society for a specific PROM of trauma. COST is a useful and easy to use tool for every trauma surgeon.展开更多
文摘Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an active response to the social needs in the situation that earthquake prediction research meets many difficulties, or as a real forward prediction test persistently conducted for 1/3 century. It is a pity that such an approach has not been well-known by international seismological community, and the scientific merits of such an endeavor is sometimes regrettably underestimated.
文摘Background:The Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment–Patella(VISA-P) scale is the most condition-specific patient-reported outcome measure used to assess symptom severity in athletes with patellar tendinopathy.Previous exploratory factor analyses have been conducted to evaluate the scale's dimensionality,with inconsistent results,and the factor structure of the scale remains unclear.The aims of the present study were to determine the factorial structure of the VISA-P scale using confirmatory factor analysis(CFA) and test measurement invariance across sexes.Methods:The study included a convenience sample of 249 Spanish athletes with patellar tendinopathy.CFA was performed to assess factorial validity.Hypothesized 1-and 2-factor models were tested.Measurement invariance across sexes was evaluated via multi-group CFA with several fit indices using EQS 6.1 software.Results:The internal consistency coefficient was 0.74.Several CFA models were examined and the 1-factor model in which errors for Items 7 and8 were correlated showed acceptable fit in terms of comparative fit index(CFI) and goodness-of-fit index(GFI) statistics(CFI = 0.93;GFI = 0.94;standardized root mean square residual = 0.06;root mean square error of approximation = 0.10;90% confidence interval:0.08–0.13).This model was invariant across sexes.Conclusion:The 1-factor model of the Spanish version of the VISA-P scale(VISA-P-Sp) in which errors for Items 7 and 8 were correlated demonstrated relative fit in CFA.Scores obtained via VISA-P-Sp can be compared between men and women without sexes bias.Further studies should examine the VISA-P scale and other single-score patient-reported outcome measures concurrently.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2010CB951600)NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research
文摘Wind and solar energy are projected to be major sources of the world's power in the coming decades.In this study,we first introduce satellite observations for surface solar irradiance and wind,and then discuss using the data for prediction and assessment of energy distribution.Using the current NCEP global forecast model (GFS),the global mean and standard deviation of solar power at the surface for the 5-d forecast are about 212 and 124 W/m2,respectively.For a 24-h forecast of a 3-h mean,the relative error is about 30%,and for a prediction of the daily mean,it is about 15%.The relative error of wind power forecasts for a 24-h forecast of a 3-h mean and a daily mean is 70% and 35%,respectively.The reanalysis results based on satellite observations and numerical weather prediction model are also used to study the distribution of solar and wind energy and the variation of the distribution related to climate change.No significant trend in downward solar radiation is found at the surface in the reanalysis data sets.Surface wind power however exhibits a significant positive trend as the global temperature is warming up.A comparison of a decadal mean wind energy between two decades (from 1949 to 1958 vs.from 1999 to 2008) shows that most of Asia had experienced a decrease in surface wind energy.Therefore,decisions about renewable energy developments need to consider such climate change scenarios.
文摘Purpose： Lately there is an increasing tendency of using Patient Reported Outcome Measures （PROMs） as a final indicator of the outcome of many surgical treatments in orthopaedics and in other medical specialties. Currently there are many outcome scores in orthopaedics and most of them are site specific. In the contrary there is a lack of trauma specific outcome scores. Methods： We have designed a new PROM especially for orthopaedic trauma patients, in order to measure in what extent the patients manage to return to their pre-injury state. This score uses as baseline the preinjury status of the patient and has the aim to determine the percentage of rehabilitation after treatment for any injury. Results： A total of 60 Chertsey Outcome Score for Trauma （COST） questionnaires were gathered in our outpatients department. The participants were 57% male （aged 46.81 years ± 18.5 years） and the questionnaires collected at mean 10 months post-injury. A Cronbach＇s Alpha value of 0.89 was identified for the whole construct. The three dimensions of the scale had good internal consistency as well （Cronbach＇s Alpha test values 0.74, 0.84 and 0.81 for symptoms, function and mental status respectively）. Strong/moderate correlation （Spearman＇s Rho test 0.43-0.65） was observed between the respective physical/mental dimensions of the COST and SF-12v2 questionnaires. Conclusion： There is a need among the orthopaedic trauma society for a specific PROM of trauma. COST is a useful and easy to use tool for every trauma surgeon.
