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GM(1,1)预计模型时序长度选择对大型建筑沉降预测精度的影响 被引量:2
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作者 王正虎 谷村村 《工程建设与设计》 2020年第5期30-33,共4页
在大型建筑变形监测中,垂直位移变形量的大小及其预测精度对建筑物安全具有重要意义。建筑物垂直变形移动主要依据下沉速度分为开始、活跃和平稳3个阶段。论文对不同下沉速度,分别以不同长度的时序数据建立GM(1,1)预计模型,通过精度评... 在大型建筑变形监测中,垂直位移变形量的大小及其预测精度对建筑物安全具有重要意义。建筑物垂直变形移动主要依据下沉速度分为开始、活跃和平稳3个阶段。论文对不同下沉速度,分别以不同长度的时序数据建立GM(1,1)预计模型,通过精度评定标准评价了模型精度和预测的精度,讨论了不同下沉速度情况下的预计模型建模时序数据长度的选择方法,总结出了不同沉降速度的预计模型时序长度的选择方法,进一步提高了预计模型的预测精度,为建(构)筑物的安全提供了重要保障。 展开更多
关键词 大型建筑物 垂直沉降 GM(1 1)模型 时序长度 预测精度
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Concentration–discharge patterns of weathering products from global rivers
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作者 Daniel E.Ibarra Seulgi Moon +2 位作者 Jeremy K.Caves C.Page Chamberlain Kate Maher 《Acta Geochimica》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期405-409,共5页
Quantifying the functional relationships relating river discharge and weathering products places key constraints on the negative feedback between the silicate weathering and climate. In this study we analyze the conce... Quantifying the functional relationships relating river discharge and weathering products places key constraints on the negative feedback between the silicate weathering and climate. In this study we analyze the concentration–discharge relationships of weathering products from global rivers using previously compiled time-series datasets for concentrations and discharge from global rivers. To analyze the nature of the covariation between specific discharge and concentrations, we use both a power law equation and a recently developed solute production equation. The solute production equation allows us to quantify weathering efficiency, or the resistance to dilution at high runoff, via the Damkohler coefficient. These results are also compared to those derived using average concentration–discharge pairs.Both the power law exponent and the Damkohler coefficient increase and asymptote as catchments exhibit increasingly chemostatic behavior, resulting in an inverse relationship between the two parameters. We also show that using thedistribution of average concentration–discharge pairs from global rivers, rather than fitting concentration–discharge relationships for each individual river, underestimates global median weathering efficiency by up to a factor of ~10. This study demonstrates the utility of long time-series sampling of global rivers to elucidate controlling processes needed to quantify patterns in global silicate weathering rates. 展开更多
关键词 Concentration–discharge RIVERS Silicate weathering SOLUTES
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