Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation c...Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation can ensure the safety of photovoltaic grids and improve the utilization efficiency of the solar energy systems.In the study,a new decomposition-boosting model using artificial intelligence is proposed to realize the solar radiation multi-step prediction.The proposed model includes four parts:signal decomposition(EWT),neural network(NARX),Adaboost and ARIMA.Three real solar radiation datasets from Changde,China were used to validate the efficiency of the proposed model.To verify the robustness of the multi-step prediction model,this experiment compared nine models and made 1,3,and 5 steps ahead predictions for the time series.It is verified that the proposed model has the best performance among all models.展开更多
In the current study, the efficiency of Wavelet-based Least Square Support Vector Machine （WLSSVM） model was examined for prediction of daily and monthly Suspended Sediment Load （SSL） of the Mississippi River. For...In the current study, the efficiency of Wavelet-based Least Square Support Vector Machine （WLSSVM） model was examined for prediction of daily and monthly Suspended Sediment Load （SSL） of the Mississippi River. For this purpose, in the first step, SSL was predicted via ad hoc LSSVM and Artificial Neural Network （ANN） models; then, streamflow and SSL data were decomposed into sub- signals via wavelet, and these decomposed sub-time series were imposed to LSSVM and ANN to simulate discharge-SSL relationship. Finally, the ability of WLSSVM was compared with other models in multi- step-ahead SSL predictions. The results showed that in daily SSL prediction, LSSVM has better outcomes with Determination Coefficient （DC）=o.92 than ad hoc ANN with DC=o.88. However unlike daily SSL, in monthly modeling, ANN has a bit accurate upshot. WLSSVM and wavelet-based ANN （WANN） models showed same consequences in daily and different in monthly SSL predictions, and adding wavelet led to more accuracy of LSSVM and ANN. Furthermore, conjunction of wavelet to LSSVM and ANN evaluated via multi-step-ahead SSL predictions and, e.g., DCLssVM=0.4 was increased to the DCwLsSVM=0.71 in 7- day ahead SSL prediction. In addition, WLSSVM outperformed WANN by increment of time horizon prediction.展开更多
Chatter often poses limiting factors on the achievable productivity and is very harmful to machining processes. In order to avoid effectively the harm of cutting chatter,a method of cutting state monitoring based on f...Chatter often poses limiting factors on the achievable productivity and is very harmful to machining processes. In order to avoid effectively the harm of cutting chatter,a method of cutting state monitoring based on feed motor current signal is proposed for chatter identification before it has been fully developed. A new data analysis technique,the empirical mode decomposition(EMD),is used to decompose motor current signal into many intrinsic mode functions(IMF) . Some IMF's energy and kurtosis regularly change during the development of the chatter. These IMFs can reflect subtle mutations in current signal. Therefore,the energy index and kurtosis index are used for chatter detection based on those IMFs. Acceleration signal of tool as reference is used to compare with the results from current signal. A support vector machine(SVM) is designed for pattern classification based on the feature vector constituted by energy index and kurtosis index. The intelligent chatter detection system composed of the feature extraction and the SVM has an accuracy rate of above 95% for the identification of cutting state after being trained by experimental data. The results show that it is feasible to monitor and predict the emergence of chatter behavior in machining by using motor current signal.展开更多
基金Project(2020TJ-Q06)supported by Hunan Provincial Science&Technology Talent Support,ChinaProject(KQ1707017)supported by the Changsha Science&Technology,ChinaProject(2019CX005)supported by the Innovation Driven Project of the Central South University,China。
文摘Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation can ensure the safety of photovoltaic grids and improve the utilization efficiency of the solar energy systems.In the study,a new decomposition-boosting model using artificial intelligence is proposed to realize the solar radiation multi-step prediction.The proposed model includes four parts:signal decomposition(EWT),neural network(NARX),Adaboost and ARIMA.Three real solar radiation datasets from Changde,China were used to validate the efficiency of the proposed model.To verify the robustness of the multi-step prediction model,this experiment compared nine models and made 1,3,and 5 steps ahead predictions for the time series.It is verified that the proposed model has the best performance among all models.
基金supported by the University of Tabriz under grant No. 1117394325
文摘In the current study, the efficiency of Wavelet-based Least Square Support Vector Machine （WLSSVM） model was examined for prediction of daily and monthly Suspended Sediment Load （SSL） of the Mississippi River. For this purpose, in the first step, SSL was predicted via ad hoc LSSVM and Artificial Neural Network （ANN） models; then, streamflow and SSL data were decomposed into sub- signals via wavelet, and these decomposed sub-time series were imposed to LSSVM and ANN to simulate discharge-SSL relationship. Finally, the ability of WLSSVM was compared with other models in multi- step-ahead SSL predictions. The results showed that in daily SSL prediction, LSSVM has better outcomes with Determination Coefficient （DC）=o.92 than ad hoc ANN with DC=o.88. However unlike daily SSL, in monthly modeling, ANN has a bit accurate upshot. WLSSVM and wavelet-based ANN （WANN） models showed same consequences in daily and different in monthly SSL predictions, and adding wavelet led to more accuracy of LSSVM and ANN. Furthermore, conjunction of wavelet to LSSVM and ANN evaluated via multi-step-ahead SSL predictions and, e.g., DCLssVM=0.4 was increased to the DCwLsSVM=0.71 in 7- day ahead SSL prediction. In addition, WLSSVM outperformed WANN by increment of time horizon prediction.
基金supported by the Major State Basic Research Development of China (Grant No. 2011CB706803)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50875098)Important National Science & Technology Specific Projects of China (Grant No. 2009ZX04014-024)
文摘Chatter often poses limiting factors on the achievable productivity and is very harmful to machining processes. In order to avoid effectively the harm of cutting chatter,a method of cutting state monitoring based on feed motor current signal is proposed for chatter identification before it has been fully developed. A new data analysis technique,the empirical mode decomposition(EMD),is used to decompose motor current signal into many intrinsic mode functions(IMF) . Some IMF's energy and kurtosis regularly change during the development of the chatter. These IMFs can reflect subtle mutations in current signal. Therefore,the energy index and kurtosis index are used for chatter detection based on those IMFs. Acceleration signal of tool as reference is used to compare with the results from current signal. A support vector machine(SVM) is designed for pattern classification based on the feature vector constituted by energy index and kurtosis index. The intelligent chatter detection system composed of the feature extraction and the SVM has an accuracy rate of above 95% for the identification of cutting state after being trained by experimental data. The results show that it is feasible to monitor and predict the emergence of chatter behavior in machining by using motor current signal.
