The monthly mean temperature for October in the Fenglin National Natural Reserve of Wuying, in Heilongjiang province, was reconstructed for the period running from 1796 to 2004 using RES tree ring chronology. The expl...The monthly mean temperature for October in the Fenglin National Natural Reserve of Wuying, in Heilongjiang province, was reconstructed for the period running from 1796 to 2004 using RES tree ring chronology. The explained variance of the reconstruction is 34.8%. In the past 209 years, there are 4 colder and 4 warmer periods according to the reconstructed series. A period of 3.33-year is found significant based on the power spectrum method. Abrupt changes are also detected in the reconstructed series with 30-year time scale based on the smoothing t-test, smoothing F-test and Le Page test methods. Significant abrupt changes in mean value are observed for around 1871 and 1900, and a significant abrupt change in standard deviation is observed for around 1851.展开更多
This paper proposes a general systems theory for fractals visualising the emergence of successively larger scale fluctuations resulting from the space-time integration of enclosed smaller scale fluctuations. Global gr...This paper proposes a general systems theory for fractals visualising the emergence of successively larger scale fluctuations resulting from the space-time integration of enclosed smaller scale fluctuations. Global gridded time series data sets of monthly mean temperatures for the period 1880- 2007/2008 are analysed to show that data sets and corresponding power spectra exhibit distributions close to the model predicted inverse power law distribution. The model predicted and observed universal spectrum for interannual variability rules out linear secular trends in global monthly mean temperatures. Global warming results in intensification of fluctuations of all scales and manifested immediately in high frequency fluctuations.展开更多
A comparative discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of natural stands and plantations,including in terms of their productivity and stability,began from the moment of the first forest plantings and continues t...A comparative discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of natural stands and plantations,including in terms of their productivity and stability,began from the moment of the first forest plantings and continues to this day.In the context of the progressive replacement of natural forests by plantations due to deforestation,the question of how will change the carbon storage capacity of forest cover when replacing natural forests with artificial ones in a changing climate becomes extremely relevant.This article presents the first attempt to answer this question at the transcontinental level on a special case for two-needled pine trees(subgenus Pinus L.).The research was carried out using the database compiled by the authors on the single-tree biomass structure of forest-forming species of Eurasia,in particular,data of 1880 and 1967 of natural and plantation trees,respectively.Multi-factor regression models are calculated after combining the matrix of initial data on the structure of tree biomass with the mean January temperature and mean annual precipitation,and their adequacy indices allow us to consider them reproducible.It is found that the aboveground and stem biomass of equal-sized and equal-aged natural and plantation trees increases as the January temperature and precipitation rise.This pattern is only partially valid for the branches biomass,and it has a specific character for the foliage one.The biomass of all components of plantation trees is higher than that of natural trees,but the percent of this excess varies among different components and depends on the level of January temperatures,but does not depend at all on the level of annual precipitation.A number of uncertainties that arose during the modeling process,as well as the preliminary nature of the obtained regularities,are noted.展开更多
基金supported by the Special Research Program for Public-welfare Forestry(No. 200804001)National Science and Technology Support Program(No.2007BAC29B01)the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40705032)
文摘The monthly mean temperature for October in the Fenglin National Natural Reserve of Wuying, in Heilongjiang province, was reconstructed for the period running from 1796 to 2004 using RES tree ring chronology. The explained variance of the reconstruction is 34.8%. In the past 209 years, there are 4 colder and 4 warmer periods according to the reconstructed series. A period of 3.33-year is found significant based on the power spectrum method. Abrupt changes are also detected in the reconstructed series with 30-year time scale based on the smoothing t-test, smoothing F-test and Le Page test methods. Significant abrupt changes in mean value are observed for around 1871 and 1900, and a significant abrupt change in standard deviation is observed for around 1851.
文摘This paper proposes a general systems theory for fractals visualising the emergence of successively larger scale fluctuations resulting from the space-time integration of enclosed smaller scale fluctuations. Global gridded time series data sets of monthly mean temperatures for the period 1880- 2007/2008 are analysed to show that data sets and corresponding power spectra exhibit distributions close to the model predicted inverse power law distribution. The model predicted and observed universal spectrum for interannual variability rules out linear secular trends in global monthly mean temperatures. Global warming results in intensification of fluctuations of all scales and manifested immediately in high frequency fluctuations.
基金The Current Scientific Research of the Ural Forest Engineering University and Botanical Garden of the Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences(15-04-03-899)。
文摘A comparative discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of natural stands and plantations,including in terms of their productivity and stability,began from the moment of the first forest plantings and continues to this day.In the context of the progressive replacement of natural forests by plantations due to deforestation,the question of how will change the carbon storage capacity of forest cover when replacing natural forests with artificial ones in a changing climate becomes extremely relevant.This article presents the first attempt to answer this question at the transcontinental level on a special case for two-needled pine trees(subgenus Pinus L.).The research was carried out using the database compiled by the authors on the single-tree biomass structure of forest-forming species of Eurasia,in particular,data of 1880 and 1967 of natural and plantation trees,respectively.Multi-factor regression models are calculated after combining the matrix of initial data on the structure of tree biomass with the mean January temperature and mean annual precipitation,and their adequacy indices allow us to consider them reproducible.It is found that the aboveground and stem biomass of equal-sized and equal-aged natural and plantation trees increases as the January temperature and precipitation rise.This pattern is only partially valid for the branches biomass,and it has a specific character for the foliage one.The biomass of all components of plantation trees is higher than that of natural trees,but the percent of this excess varies among different components and depends on the level of January temperatures,but does not depend at all on the level of annual precipitation.A number of uncertainties that arose during the modeling process,as well as the preliminary nature of the obtained regularities,are noted.
