本文以Python作为数据分析工具,以柯布–道格拉斯函数作为研究工具,利用柯布道格拉斯函数进行拟合,选取了北京市2010~2022年化石能源投入量、固定资本形成总额、劳动投入量,以及国内生产总值作为分析对象,初步探讨影响北京市经济增长的...本文以Python作为数据分析工具,以柯布–道格拉斯函数作为研究工具,利用柯布道格拉斯函数进行拟合,选取了北京市2010~2022年化石能源投入量、固定资本形成总额、劳动投入量,以及国内生产总值作为分析对象,初步探讨影响北京市经济增长的因素,对其边际技术替代率、边际产出、边际弹性,以及技术进步系数进行分析,并对结果做出了相应的分析和阐述,进而对北京市未来的经济发展与能源战略提出相应建议,本文得出结论:在2010至2022年间,北京市的经济增长主要由化石能源的高消耗与大量固定资本投入驱动,这与其高能源需求、城市化进程加速及资本密集型产业的发展紧密相关。相比之下,劳动力贡献较小,受人口老龄化及产业结构向技术资本密集型转变影响,北京市需优化产业结构,提升能源效率,强化科技创新与人才培养,以追求更可持续的经济增长。This paper employs Python as the data analysis tool and the Cobb-Douglas function as the research instrument. By utilizing the Cobb-Douglas function for fitting, it selects fossil energy input, total fixed capital formation, labor input, and gross domestic product (GDP) in Beijing from 2010 to 2022 as the analytical objects. It preliminarily explores the factors influencing economic growth in Beijing, analyzes its marginal rate of technical substitution, marginal output, marginal elasticity, and technological progress coefficient, and provides corresponding analysis and elaboration of the results. Furthermore, it offers suggestions for Beijing’s future economic development and energy strategy. The paper concludes that from 2010 to 2022, Beijing’s economic growth was primarily driven by high consumption of fossil energy and substantial fixed capital investment, which is closely related to its high energy demand, accelerated urbanization process, and the development of capital-intensive industries. In contrast, the labor contribution was relatively small. Affected by population aging and the transformation of the industrial structure towards technology and capital-intensive sectors, Beijing needs to optimize its industrial structure, improve energy efficiency, strengthen technological innovation and talent cultivation, and pursue more sustainable economic growth.展开更多
文摘本文以Python作为数据分析工具,以柯布–道格拉斯函数作为研究工具,利用柯布道格拉斯函数进行拟合,选取了北京市2010~2022年化石能源投入量、固定资本形成总额、劳动投入量,以及国内生产总值作为分析对象,初步探讨影响北京市经济增长的因素,对其边际技术替代率、边际产出、边际弹性,以及技术进步系数进行分析,并对结果做出了相应的分析和阐述,进而对北京市未来的经济发展与能源战略提出相应建议,本文得出结论:在2010至2022年间,北京市的经济增长主要由化石能源的高消耗与大量固定资本投入驱动,这与其高能源需求、城市化进程加速及资本密集型产业的发展紧密相关。相比之下,劳动力贡献较小,受人口老龄化及产业结构向技术资本密集型转变影响,北京市需优化产业结构,提升能源效率,强化科技创新与人才培养,以追求更可持续的经济增长。This paper employs Python as the data analysis tool and the Cobb-Douglas function as the research instrument. By utilizing the Cobb-Douglas function for fitting, it selects fossil energy input, total fixed capital formation, labor input, and gross domestic product (GDP) in Beijing from 2010 to 2022 as the analytical objects. It preliminarily explores the factors influencing economic growth in Beijing, analyzes its marginal rate of technical substitution, marginal output, marginal elasticity, and technological progress coefficient, and provides corresponding analysis and elaboration of the results. Furthermore, it offers suggestions for Beijing’s future economic development and energy strategy. The paper concludes that from 2010 to 2022, Beijing’s economic growth was primarily driven by high consumption of fossil energy and substantial fixed capital investment, which is closely related to its high energy demand, accelerated urbanization process, and the development of capital-intensive industries. In contrast, the labor contribution was relatively small. Affected by population aging and the transformation of the industrial structure towards technology and capital-intensive sectors, Beijing needs to optimize its industrial structure, improve energy efficiency, strengthen technological innovation and talent cultivation, and pursue more sustainable economic growth.
