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用Authorware模拟概率实验
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作者 徐学军 《数学通讯(教师阅读)》 2005年第7期6-7,共2页
关键词 AUTHORWARE 概率实验 高中 数学软件 学习辅导
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模拟概率实验 培育统计素养——“小球去哪儿了”教学实践与思考
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作者 邵虹 《小学数学教师》 2020年第4期53-55,共3页
小学数学课程中的概率统计内容,要求在具体情境中感受现象的随机性。本课模拟“高尔顿钉板”实验,从统计的角度研究随机事件,通过“小球落槽”游戏、小组操作统计、电脑演示三次模拟实验.带领学生经历概率统计的全过程,模拟实验、设计... 小学数学课程中的概率统计内容,要求在具体情境中感受现象的随机性。本课模拟“高尔顿钉板”实验,从统计的角度研究随机事件,通过“小球落槽”游戏、小组操作统计、电脑演示三次模拟实验.带领学生经历概率统计的全过程,模拟实验、设计方案、收集数据、感受随机性进而感受规律性,这恰恰是“数据分析观念”的核心内涵。本课教学与生活实践紧密相关,让实验设计与学生活动经验的积累结伴而行,正是概率统计学习的有效方式与途径。 展开更多
关键词 随机性 数据分析 概率实验 统计素养
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经典概率事件的计算机模拟实验的设计与实现 被引量:2
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作者 江涛 万勇 《衡阳师范学院学报》 2012年第3期166-168,共3页
系统用Flex作为开发工具,能够对蒲丰实验进行计算机仿真实验,并给出统计分析。系统主要包括:当前实验板块,当前实验数据的分析图,各次实验的数据统计图表块。
关键词 计算机模拟 概率实验 设计
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概率统计实验课初探 被引量:4
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作者 郭大伟 祝东进 +6 位作者 丁万鼎 张金洪 朱连燕 郭明乐 胡兰英 申广君 何道江 《大学数学》 北大核心 2007年第5期183-187,共5页
讨论了开设概率统计实验课的一些方略,并给出了一些有用的范例.
关键词 概率统计实验 随机模拟 随机数
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对义务教育实验教科书中概率内容的评述 被引量:4
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作者 蔺云 《数学教育学报》 北大核心 2005年第4期91-93,共3页
从频率出发引出概率概念和把统计与概率相互融合的处理,比较符合信息时代的概率定义,能够体现《九年义务教育数学课程标准》的要求.北师大版与华东师大版两套中学数学新教材,在处理理论概率与实验概率的关系、统计与概率的联系这两个根... 从频率出发引出概率概念和把统计与概率相互融合的处理,比较符合信息时代的概率定义,能够体现《九年义务教育数学课程标准》的要求.北师大版与华东师大版两套中学数学新教材,在处理理论概率与实验概率的关系、统计与概率的联系这两个根本问题上,存在着差别.北师大版统计初步内容靠近描述统计学,统计与概率是分开的,联系不密切.华东师大版统计初步内容靠近推断统计学,统计与概率是密切联系、相互融合的.关于统计与概率教材可按如下原则处理:(1)以数据处理为主线,将统计和概率结合起来.(2)教材中出现的统计数据,尽可能不用或少用固定的记录数据,多用随机实验或随机抽样所得数据.(3)比较固定数据的平均值与随机数据的平均值,注意它们之间的本质区别. 展开更多
关键词 教材 理论概率 实验概率 统计
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高职概率统计实验课的设计与实践 被引量:1
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作者 蔡鸣晶 《数学学习与研究》 2016年第24期2-2,4,共2页
本文指出了在面向高职学生开设的概率统计课程中融入概率统计实验的必要性,说明了SPSS统计软件的优势,并介绍了概率统计实验课的设计以及实践中的具体做法.给出了实践的效果与学生的反馈.
关键词 高职 概率统计实验 SPSS统计软件 实践
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独立学院概率论与数理统计的数学实验的教学方法改革与实践 被引量:5
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作者 贾茗 郑彭丹 《电子制作》 2015年第8Z期168-,共1页
以某独立学院为例,本文给出了采用例子论述了把数学实验的思想和方法融入概率论与数理统计的教学中去的重要性和必要性。
关键词 独立学院数学实验概率论与数理统计改革与实践
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条件推理:“演绎”与“概率”两种实验研究范式之比较
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作者 胡笑羽 胡竹菁 《心理学探新》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第6期518-523,共6页
本研究通过推理心理学研究中的“演绎”和“概率”两种实验范式设计对同一个班级的大学生参与者(实验一中N=57,实验二中N=43)进行先后两次有关条件推理的实验研究后,得出如下主要结果:(1)推理者在对不同的“纯形式条件命题本身的认可度... 本研究通过推理心理学研究中的“演绎”和“概率”两种实验范式设计对同一个班级的大学生参与者(实验一中N=57,实验二中N=43)进行先后两次有关条件推理的实验研究后,得出如下主要结果:(1)推理者在对不同的“纯形式条件命题本身的认可度”以及对由它们各自建构的同类型推理题的推理结果之间的作答反应模式之间的差异都很小且具有较高的一致性;(2)对由不同的“含具体内容的假言命题”本身的认可度之间以及由它们建构的同类型条件推理题的推理结果之间具有较大的差异性;(3)推理者对“演绎”和“概率”两种不同实验范式分别建构的内容近似的推进题进行推理时具有大致相同的作答反应趋势。由此可以推论推理者在“概率推理实验范式”中的作答或推理结果可以被视为只是对“演绎推理实验范式”的相应推理题给出“概率解”的心理加工过程。 展开更多
关键词 条件推理 条件推理的演绎推理实验范式 条件推理的概率推理实验范式
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R软件在独立学院概率统计教学中的应用 被引量:2
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作者 崔玉环 屈静国 +1 位作者 陈伟丽 张秋娜 《科技创新导报》 2009年第34期176-176,178,共2页
独立学院的人才培养目标应定位于合格加特长的应用复合型人才,而实验教学是培养学生综合实践能力的重要途径之一。本文根据概率论与数理统计课程的特点以及独立学院学生的特点,探讨了在教学中引入R软件的必要性,并介绍了软件在概率论与... 独立学院的人才培养目标应定位于合格加特长的应用复合型人才,而实验教学是培养学生综合实践能力的重要途径之一。本文根据概率论与数理统计课程的特点以及独立学院学生的特点,探讨了在教学中引入R软件的必要性,并介绍了软件在概率论与数理统计教学中应用的优势,举出一些概率实验的应用。 展开更多
关键词 R软件 概率实验 独立学院
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核电厂操纵员可靠性与素质关系研究
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作者 韦力 何旭洪 赵炳全 《原子能科学技术》 EI CAS CSCD 2004年第4期312-316,共5页
通过核电厂操纵员在模拟机上的事故不响应概率实验 ,研究操纵员可靠性与素质的关系 ,并运用模糊回归方法对操纵员可靠性进行分析。研究结果表明 。
关键词 核电厂 操纵员 模糊回归 事故不响应概率实验 可靠性分析 素质
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响应曲面法优化超临界二氧化碳萃取荷叶复方活性组分的工艺研究 被引量:4
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作者 甘露菁 邓泽元 +2 位作者 范亚苇 李静 刘蓉 《食品工业科技》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第2期208-211,214,共5页
运用CO2超临界萃取装置同时对荷叶、山楂、决明子和泽泻的复方物进行萃取,用Box-Bebnken响应曲面设计法,以萃取压力、萃取温度、夹带剂用量为自变量,以总生物碱、总蒽醌、总三萜类物质得率3个指标用多指标实验全概率法处理后所得的全概... 运用CO2超临界萃取装置同时对荷叶、山楂、决明子和泽泻的复方物进行萃取,用Box-Bebnken响应曲面设计法,以萃取压力、萃取温度、夹带剂用量为自变量,以总生物碱、总蒽醌、总三萜类物质得率3个指标用多指标实验全概率法处理后所得的全概率公式分为响应指标,用回归方程的方差分析检验模型的准确性。最优化的条件为萃取压力30.93MPa,萃取温度50.04℃,夹带剂用量2.16mL/g。在此条件下提取3次结果与理论预测值相近。因此,基于多指标实验全概率公式分的响应曲面法所得的优化提取工艺参数准确可靠,具有实用价值,可用于荷叶复方降脂产品的开发。 展开更多
关键词 CO2超临界萃取 响应曲面法 多指标实验概率评分法 荷叶复方活性组分
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Probabilistic analysis of random contact force between geomembrane and granular material 被引量:2
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作者 姜晓桢 束一鸣 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第8期3309-3315,共7页
A probabilistic method based on principle of maximum entropy was employed to analyze the randomness of contact force between geomembrane and granular material.The contact force distribution is exponential according to... A probabilistic method based on principle of maximum entropy was employed to analyze the randomness of contact force between geomembrane and granular material.The contact force distribution is exponential according to the proposed method and the grain size is the most important factor that affects the distribution of contact force.The proposed method is then verified by a series of laboratory experiments using glass beads and cobbles as granular material and a very thin pressure,indicating that film is firstly used in these experiments which give a reliable method to measure the contact force at each contact point. 展开更多
关键词 GEOMEMBRANE granular material contact force probability density function
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Effects of Probability of Revelation of Defection and Penalty to Defection on Cooperative Behavior in 2-Person Prisoner's Dilemma Game 被引量:3
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作者 Atsuo Murata Takuma Kanagawa Naoki Hata 《Computer Technology and Application》 2012年第11期749-755,共7页
In our society, it is a major issue to enhance cooperative behaviors. Without this, our society fall into social dilemma situations, and gets worse and worse. Such a situation in an organization leads to violation of ... In our society, it is a major issue to enhance cooperative behaviors. Without this, our society fall into social dilemma situations, and gets worse and worse. Such a situation in an organization leads to violation of social or organizational rules, and at the worst case it suffers from serious accidents or scandals. Therefore, it is important for organizational managers to make efforts and take measures to enhance cooperative behaviors. Although there seem to be many ways to constantly elicit cooperative behaviors, the punishment is one of the most effective measures for enhancing cooperation. This study focused on the effects of penalty and probability of the revelation of defection on the cooperation, and getting insight into how punishment strategy should be used to get rid of social dilemmas and enhance cooperation. This study conducted a simulation experiment to find the proper penal regulations condition that can suppress violations (defective behavior) in a 2-person prisoner's dilemma situation. The effects of probability of the revelation of defection and penalty to revelation on the cooperative behavior were identified with the interactive effect of both experimental factors. The defection (uncooperative behavior) decreased when the penalty to the defection was heavy and the probability of the revelation of defection was low than that when the penalty to the defection was light and the probability of the revelation of the defection was high. 展开更多
关键词 Prisoner's dilemma cooperation defect punishment model violation-based accident.
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Some Electromagnetic Transition Properties of Odd-A Europium Isotopes
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作者 Harun Resit YAZAR Ihsan ULUER +1 位作者 Volkan NALOGLU Sinan YAsAR 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第4期711-715,共5页
In this work, we analyze the positive parity of states of odd-A Eu isotopes within the framework of interacting boson fermion model (IBFM-1). The result of an IBFM-1 multilevel calculation with the 3s1/2, 2d3/2, 2d5... In this work, we analyze the positive parity of states of odd-A Eu isotopes within the framework of interacting boson fermion model (IBFM-1). The result of an IBFM-1 multilevel calculation with the 3s1/2, 2d3/2, 2d5/2, and 1g7/2 single panicle orbits is reported for the positive parity states of the odd-A Eu isotopes. A/so, an IBM-1 calculation is presented for the low-lying states in the even-even 152-154Sm core nucleus. The energy levels and B(E2) transition probabilities are calculated and compared with the experimental data. It is found that the calculated positive parity low spin state energy spectra of the odd-A Eu isotopes agree quite well with the experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 interacting boson model interacting boson fermion model low spin states
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Severe accident risks from external events
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作者 Randall O Gauntt 《Engineering Sciences》 EI 2013年第3期31-38,共8页
This paper reviews the early development of design requirements for seismic events in USA early developing nuclear electric generating fleet. Notable safety studies,including WASH-1400,Sandia Siting Study and the NURE... This paper reviews the early development of design requirements for seismic events in USA early developing nuclear electric generating fleet. Notable safety studies,including WASH-1400,Sandia Siting Study and the NUREG1150 probabilistic risk study,are briefly reviewed in terms of their relevance to extreme accidents arising from seismic and other severe accident initiators. Specific characteristic about the nature of severe accidents in nuclear power plant (NPP) are reviewed along with present day state-of-art analysis methodologies (methods for estimation of leakages and consequences of releases (MELCOR) and MELCOR accident consequence code system (MACCS)) that are used to evaluate severe accidents and to optimize mitigative and protective actions against such accidents. It is the aim of this paper to make nuclear operating nations aware of the risks that accompany a much needed energy resource and to identify some of the tools,techniques and landmark safety studies that serve to make the technology safer and to maintain vigilance and adequate safety culture for the responsible management of this valuable but unforgiving technology. 展开更多
关键词 external events severe accidents in NPP beyond design basis events NUREG- 1150 state-of-art reactor consequence analyses seismic probabilistic risk assessment
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First experimental demonstration of an exact quantum search algorithm in nuclear magnetic resonance system 被引量:2
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作者 LIU Yang ZHANG FeiHao 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第7期11-16,共6页
The success probability of searching an objective item from an unsorted database using standard Grover's algorithm is usually not exactly 1. It is exactly 1 only when it is used to find the target state from a dat... The success probability of searching an objective item from an unsorted database using standard Grover's algorithm is usually not exactly 1. It is exactly 1 only when it is used to find the target state from a database with four items. Exact search is always important in theoretical and practical applications. The failure rate of Grover's algorithm becomes big when the database is small, and this hinders the use of the commonly used divide-and-verify strategy. Even for large database, the failure rate becomes considerably large when there are many marked items. This has put a serious limitation on the usability of the Grover's algorithm. An important improved version of the Grover's algorithm, also known as the improved Grover algorithm, solves this problem. The improved Grover algorithm searches arbitrary number of target states from an unsorted database with full success rate. Here, we give the first experimental realization of the improved Grover algorithm, which finds a marked state with certainty, in a nuclear magnetic resonance system. The optimal control theory is used to obtain an optimized control sequence. The experimental results agree well with the theoretical predictions. 展开更多
关键词 quantum search algorithm improved Grover algorithm nuclear magnetic resonance success rate
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First Passage Probability of Structures under Non-Gaussian Stochastic Behavior
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作者 何军 周拥军 寇新建 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2008年第4期400-403,共4页
An analytical moment-based method was proposed for calculating first passage probability of structures under non-Gaussian stochastic behaviour. In the method, the third-moment standardization that con- stants can be o... An analytical moment-based method was proposed for calculating first passage probability of structures under non-Gaussian stochastic behaviour. In the method, the third-moment standardization that con- stants can be obtained from first three-order response moments was used to map a non-Gaussian structural response into a standard Gaussian process; then the mean up-crossing rates, the mean clump size and the initial passage probability of some critical barrier level by the original structural response were estimated. Finally, the formula for calculating first passage probability was established on the assumption that the corrected up-crossing rates are independent. By a nonlinear single-degree-of-freedom system excited by a stationary Gaussian load, it is demonstrated how the procedure can be used for the type of structures considered. Further, comparisons between the results from the present procedure and those from Monte-Carlo simulation are performed. 展开更多
关键词 first passage probability stochastic process non-Gaussian structures third-moment standardization
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Ultraviolet reflection enhances the risk of predation in a vertebrate
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作者 Ricarda MODARRESSIE IngolfE RICK Theo C. M. BAKKER 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第2期151-159,共9页
Many animals are sensitive to ultraviolet light and also possess UV-reflective regions on their body surface. Individu- als reflecting UV have been shown to be preferred during social interactions such as mate choice ... Many animals are sensitive to ultraviolet light and also possess UV-reflective regions on their body surface. Individu- als reflecting UV have been shown to be preferred during social interactions such as mate choice or shoaling decisions. However, whether those body UV-reflections enhance also the conspicuousness to UV-sensitive predators and thereforeentail costs for its bearer is less well documented. Two size-matched three-spined sticklebacks Gasterosteus aculeatus, one enclosed in a UV-transmitting (UV+) and another in a UV-blocking (UV-) chamber, were simultaneously presented to individual brown trout Salmo trutta. "yearlings". Brown trout of this age are sensitive to the UV part of the electromagnetic spectnun and are natural predators of three-spined sticklebacks. The stickleback that was attacked first as well as the subsequent number of attacks was recorded. Sticklebacks enclosed in the UV-transmitting chamber were attacked first significantly more often compared to stickle- backs enclosed in the UV-blocking chamber. Control experiments using neutral density filters revealed that this was more likely due to LrV having an influence on hue perception rather than brighmess discrimination. The difference in attack probability cor- responded to the difference in chromatic contrasts between sticklebacks and the experimental background calculated for both the UV+ and UV- conditions in a physiological model of trout colour vision. UV reflections seem to be costly by enhancing the risk of predation due to an increased conspicuousness of prey. This is the first study in a vertebrate, to our knowledge, demonstrating direct predation risk due to UV wavelengths [Current Zoology 59 (2): 151-159, 2013]. 展开更多
关键词 UV vision Brown trout Salmo trutta Ultraviolet reflection Three-spined stickleback Gasterosteus aculeatus Pre-dation risk
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