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热网可靠性的概率性指标及影响因素研究
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作者 吴刚 《科技视界》 2013年第5期87-87,62,共2页
对于供热系统大型化的今天,大型的供热管网应是多热源联合运行,以环状管网为干线,枝状管网为支线的综合系统。对于设计不合理的无备用的枝状管网,在发生事故时,切断其中一段事故管段,就将造成整个供热系统停止运行,这将造成巨大的经济... 对于供热系统大型化的今天,大型的供热管网应是多热源联合运行,以环状管网为干线,枝状管网为支线的综合系统。对于设计不合理的无备用的枝状管网,在发生事故时,切断其中一段事故管段,就将造成整个供热系统停止运行,这将造成巨大的经济损失和社会影响。由于环状管网具有备用性这一特点,使得在环状主干线上某一段管段发生故障并切断故障管段后,整个管网仍具有一定的供热能力,损失将大大减小。而且,随着国民经济的迅速发展,供热管网大型化的趋势日益明显。设计不合理的单热源枝状管网已经不能满足可靠性的需求。在热力网规划和设计中多热源环状管网已经开始被更多的采用。并充分的显示出系统的水力稳定性、运行调度的灵活性和经济性。因此,对环状管网可靠性的研究,对于提高整个供热系统的供热质量有着很重要的经济意义和社会效益。 展开更多
关键词 热网可靠 综合效益 建筑节能 可靠 概率性指标 环状管网 循环经济
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考虑光伏不确定性的配电网负荷特性概率评估 被引量:18
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作者 黄伟 陈雪 +3 位作者 林怀德 羿应棋 容慧娴 黄春艳 《广东电力》 2018年第6期84-90,共7页
为准确评估光伏接入配电网以后对其负荷特性的影响程度,分析了光伏出力的不确定性和时序性特点,建立了基于净空模型的光伏出力时序模型。根据光伏出力以及负荷的随机性特点,提出置信日负荷率、置信日峰谷差以及置信日削峰度3种概率性负... 为准确评估光伏接入配电网以后对其负荷特性的影响程度,分析了光伏出力的不确定性和时序性特点,建立了基于净空模型的光伏出力时序模型。根据光伏出力以及负荷的随机性特点,提出置信日负荷率、置信日峰谷差以及置信日削峰度3种概率性负荷特性指标,基于概率性指标并结合蒙特卡洛模拟法形成考虑光伏不确定性的配电网负荷特性概率评估方法,运用其分析不同渗透率和天气情况下光伏接入对工业生产、酒店商业、农业加工、居民生活类负荷的影响程度。以广东地区的光伏出力历史数据为例进行仿真分析,结果表明:提出的概率性负荷特性指标能够准确的反映光伏接入对负荷特性的影响情况,为配电网规划与运行提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 负荷特 概率性指标 净空模型 光伏出力时序模型 蒙特卡洛模拟法
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Detection Performance Analysis of Spectrum Sensing in Cognitive Radio Networks with Mobile Secondary Users 被引量:2
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作者 Xinyu Wang Min Jia +2 位作者 Qing Guo Xuemai Gu Jian Yang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第11期214-225,共12页
The majority of existing papers about spectrum sensing have the assumption that secondary users(SUs) are stationary. However,mobility is an essential feature of mobile communications networks. In this paper,the detect... The majority of existing papers about spectrum sensing have the assumption that secondary users(SUs) are stationary. However,mobility is an essential feature of mobile communications networks. In this paper,the detection performance of spectrum sensing by mobile SUs was analyzed. Three performance metrics,i.e.,detection probability,miss detection probability and false alarm probability,were thoroughly investigated. In our analysis,a critical variable was the real-time received primary user signal power by a mobile SU. Its probability distribution and mathematical expectation were analytically derived. Moreover,the three performance metrics in single-node spectrum sensing and multi-node collaborative spectrum sensing systems were also derived. Extensive simulations were performed. The results are consistent with the theoretical analysis. And it is concluded that SU mobility has a significant impact on the detection probability and the miss detection probability,but not on the false alarm probability. 展开更多
关键词 cognitive radio spectrum sensing MOBILITY random variable analysis probability density function
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Application Scenarios and Enabling Technologies of 5G 被引量:13
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作者 YUAN Yifei ZHU Longming 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第11期69-79,共11页
Fast growth of mobile internet and internet-of-things has propelled the concept formation and research on 5G wireless communications systems which are to be standardized around 2020(IMT-2020).There will be diverse app... Fast growth of mobile internet and internet-of-things has propelled the concept formation and research on 5G wireless communications systems which are to be standardized around 2020(IMT-2020).There will be diverse application scenarios expected for 5G networks.Hence,key performance indicators(KPIs) of 5G systems would be very diverse,not just the peak data rate and average/edge spectral efficiency requirements as in previous generations.For each typical scenario,multiple technologies may be used independently or jointly to improve the transmission efficiency,to lower the cost,and to increase the number of connections,etc.Key enabling technologies are discussed which include massive MIMO,ultradense deployment specific techniques,nonorthogonal transmission,high frequency communications,etc. 展开更多
关键词 5G IMT-2020 ultra-dense networks massive MIMO non-orthogonal transmission
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Spacecraft rendezvous trajectory safety quantitative performance index eliminating probability dilution 被引量:5
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作者 SUN ZhenJiang LUO YaZhong NIU ZhiYong 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第6期1219-1228,共10页
In view of the probability dilution problem of the existing quantitative indexes of rendezvous trajectory safety performance using collision probability,this paper proposes a new quantitative index of rendezvous traje... In view of the probability dilution problem of the existing quantitative indexes of rendezvous trajectory safety performance using collision probability,this paper proposes a new quantitative index of rendezvous trajectory safety performance by well combining collision probability with warning threshold.The proposed new index increases monotonously as the position errors of the chaser spacecraft increase,therefore it can effectively overcome the problems of the reduction in the largest performance value and the advancement in the most dangerous time induced by the probability dilution.The proposed new index is applied to the safety design of close range rendezvous missions.The mission’s safety requirements for initial navigation precision and the safe region of initial and final keeping points’positions with a certain navigation precision are analyzed,and several valuable conclusions about the relation between position navigation precision and velocity navigation precision as well as the relation between keeping points’positions and navigation precision are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 rendezvous and docking safety performance probability dilution missing alarm probability
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