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不同对流参数化方案对1991年江淮暴雨的模拟对比 被引量:2
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作者 赵应龙 谭言科 王铁 《气候与环境研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第6期727-737,共11页
采用最新发布的区域气候模式RegCM3.1,分别引入Grell-AS、Grell-FC、Kuo和MIT-Emanuel 4种积云对流参数化方案,对1991年5~7月江淮地区暴雨进行模拟试验。从各月降水量的模拟来看,Grell—AS方案较好地模拟出了江淮暴雨的强度,尤其... 采用最新发布的区域气候模式RegCM3.1,分别引入Grell-AS、Grell-FC、Kuo和MIT-Emanuel 4种积云对流参数化方案,对1991年5~7月江淮地区暴雨进行模拟试验。从各月降水量的模拟来看,Grell—AS方案较好地模拟出了江淮暴雨的强度,尤其是对7月降水的强度和位置的模拟与观测非常接近;Grell—FC方案能较好地反映7月江淮暴雨的强度和位置,但对华南地区降水模拟一直显著偏强;Kuo方案能模拟大尺度降水的情况,但对强对流性降水模拟偏弱;MIT-Emanuel方案较好地反映了5月降水的空间形势,但各月降水的模拟都比观测强。从各区月平均降水的对比发现,Grell-AS和Kuo方案的模拟要优于Grell-FC和MIT-Emanuel方案。从降水的南北变动来看,Grell-AS方案较好地刻画了江淮地区雨带的强度和南北变动。高低空环流形势和整层水汽通量的分析表明,造成MIT-Emanuel方案降水模拟偏强的主要原因与水汽输送偏强有关。对4种积云对流参数化方案进行集合,其结果表明,物理过程集合方法能有效地减小物理过程参数化的不确定性对模拟结果的影响。 展开更多
关键词 区域气候模式 对流参数化方案 暴雨 模式物理集合
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A weakly coupled data assimilation system of a coupled physical–biological model for the northeastern South China Sea
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作者 LI Xia ZHU Jiang 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2016年第5期352-360,共9页
A weakly coupled data assimilation system was established for a coupled physical–biological model for the northeastern South China Sea(NSCS). The physical model used was the Regional Ocean Modeling System; the biol... A weakly coupled data assimilation system was established for a coupled physical–biological model for the northeastern South China Sea(NSCS). The physical model used was the Regional Ocean Modeling System; the biological component was a seven-compartment nitrogen–phytoplankton–zooplankton–detritus ecosystem model; and the data assimilation method was Ensemble Optical Interpolation. To test the performance of the weakly coupled data assimilation system, two numerical experiments(i.e. control and assimilation runs) based on a process-oriented idealized case were conducted, and climatological SST was assimilated in the assimilation run. Only physical variables were adjusted in the weakly coupled data assimilation. The results showed that both the assimilated SST and other unassimilated physical variables had reasonable process responses. Due to the warmer SST observation, the water temperature(salinity) in the assimilation run increased(decreased) in coastal upwelling regions. Both the alongshore and bottom cross-shore currents were reduced, jointly demonstrating the weakening of the upwelling system. Meanwhile, ecosystem variables were also affected to some extent by the SST assimilation through the coupled model. For example, larger phytoplankton(chlorophyll) productivity was found in the upwelling region within the shallow layer due to the warmer waters in the assimilation run. Hence, the application of this data assimilation system could reasonably modify both physical and biological variables for the NSCS by SST assimilation. 展开更多
关键词 Northeastern South China Sea coupled physical–biological model Ensemble Optical Interpolation SST assimilation process response
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