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正确评价预测建立在正、反向思维的结合点上
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作者 王金琪 《石油实验地质》 CAS CSCD 2001年第2期242-245,共4页
作者经 40多年的勘探实践 ,深感正确评价预测必须建立在正、反向思维的结合点上。只注意按烃源找气的简单正向思维而忽略天然气活动的一面 ,曾导致对浅层油气的迟钝和失误。由川西坳陷曲折的勘查经历和深刻反思 ,使我们逐步掌握了超致... 作者经 40多年的勘探实践 ,深感正确评价预测必须建立在正、反向思维的结合点上。只注意按烃源找气的简单正向思维而忽略天然气活动的一面 ,曾导致对浅层油气的迟钝和失误。由川西坳陷曲折的勘查经历和深刻反思 ,使我们逐步掌握了超致密化区气藏独特的规律 ,并在对我国主要油气区评价中较准确地预测了塔河古生界油田和鄂尔多斯C -P深盆气等。根据充分资料按常规用正向思维进行油气预测是必需的 ,思维度越深 ,评价预测功能越强。但直线型正向思维经常会碰壁 ,因为收集到的资料对深部油气仍然是零星断缺的 ,用正向思维连接起来 ,可能是某一角度的影象甚至假象。而用心解析、假设、反证、模拟 ,或用成功模式类比 ,多用反向思维方式 ,则更能逼近真实。 展开更多
关键词 思维 预测功能 直线型正向思维 零星断缺 反向思维 模拟求证 逼近真实 评价预测 油气勘探
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A new solver for granular avalanche simulation: Indoor experiment verification and field scale case study 被引量:2
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作者 XiaoLiang Wang JiaChun Li 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第12期45-55,共11页
A new solver based on the high-resolution scheme with novel treatments of source terms and interface capture for the Savage-Hutter model is developed to simulate granular avalanche flows. The capability to simulate fl... A new solver based on the high-resolution scheme with novel treatments of source terms and interface capture for the Savage-Hutter model is developed to simulate granular avalanche flows. The capability to simulate flow spread and deposit processes is verified through indoor experiments of a two-dimensional granular avalanche. Parameter studies show that reduction in bed friction enhances runout efficiency, and that lower earth pressure restraints enlarge the deposit spread. The April 9, 2000,Yigong avalanche in Tibet, China, is simulated as a case study by this new solver. The predicted results, including evolution process, deposit spread, and hazard impacts, generally agree with site observations. It is concluded that the new solver for the Savage-Hutter equation provides a comprehensive software platform for granular avalanche simulation at both experimental and field scales. In particular, the solver can be a valuable tool for providing necessary information for hazard forecasts, disaster mitigation, and countermeasure decisions in mountainous areas. 展开更多
关键词 avalanche landslide WAF TVD
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