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基于CDE模型的化工厂退役地块污染物模拟分析
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作者 张默涵 欧剑 《中国水运(下半月)》 2022年第5期63-65,共3页
随着社会对环境问题的日益重视,诸多年代久远不适应现代生产生活需要的化工厂被拆除,而这些工厂被拆除后还是会在厂区地块中残留诸多污染物。这些污染物在包气带中不断入渗迁移最终透过潜水层到达地下水,对整个饱和-非饱和带造成严重污... 随着社会对环境问题的日益重视,诸多年代久远不适应现代生产生活需要的化工厂被拆除,而这些工厂被拆除后还是会在厂区地块中残留诸多污染物。这些污染物在包气带中不断入渗迁移最终透过潜水层到达地下水,对整个饱和-非饱和带造成严重污染。本文以捷马化工厂退役场地为研究基础,通过采样对比确定典型污染物并结合Hydrus-1D软件对七种残留的典型污染物进行预测模拟,得出典型污染物约在700d后在土壤中呈整体下降趋势,约2,100d后典型污染物完全透过潜水层到达地下水,且其随着土壤深度增加呈整体性的先增大后减小。有效预测了典型污染物在土壤中的残留时间以及在土壤中的剖面分布趋势。为环评分析预测工作提供了一种高效便捷的方法。 展开更多
关键词 化工厂退役地块 典型污染物 HYDRUS-1D 预测模拟分析
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区域宏观经济模型的构建与统计分析——兼论江苏省经济发展前景
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作者 成谢军 《江苏教育学院学报(社会科学版)》 2006年第6期93-95,共3页
本文运用M INITAB软件,通过对区域经济指标的统计分析,构建了以江苏经济为样本的区域经济模型———江苏宏观经济模型,并运用此模型对江苏经济发展前景进行客观预测,进而根据模型的预测结果提出相应的政策建议。
关键词 区域宏观经济模型 统计分析 经济结构分析 模拟预测分析
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Prediction and safety analysis of additional vertical stress within a shaft wall in an extra-thick alluvium 被引量:7
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作者 WANG Yansen ZHANG Chi +1 位作者 XUE Libing HUANG Xinggen 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第3期350-356,共7页
An alluvium with a sandy aquifer at the bottom,but lacking an effective impermeable layer between the sandy aquifer and bedrock is referred to as a special alluvial stratum.Impacted by the drainage of the aquifer due ... An alluvium with a sandy aquifer at the bottom,but lacking an effective impermeable layer between the sandy aquifer and bedrock is referred to as a special alluvial stratum.Impacted by the drainage of the aquifer due to mining activities,a shaft wall in this special alluvial stratum will be subject to a downward load by an additional vertical force which must be taken into consideration in the design of the shaft wall.The complexity of interaction between shaft wall and the surrounding walls makes it extremely difficult to determine this additional vertical force.For a particular shaft wall in an extra-thick alluvium and assuming that the friction coefficient between shaft wall and stratum does not change with depth,an analysis of a numerical simulation of the stress within the shaft wall has been carried out.Growth and size of the additional vertical stress have been obtained,based on specific values of the friction coefficient,the modulus of elasticity of the drainage layer and the thickness of the drainage layer.Subsequently, the safety of shaft walls with different structural types was studied and a more suitable structural design,providing an important basis for the design of shaft walls,is promoted. 展开更多
关键词 extra-thick alluvium shaft wall additional vertical stress additional vertical force numerical analysis
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New Keynesian Model and Inflation Prediction
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作者 Yutaka Kurihara 《Chinese Business Review》 2013年第1期34-40,共7页
Recently, much dispute has occurred about the validity of the New Keynesian model from both theoretical and empirical views. However, a few studies have analyzed this model from the empirical perspective. Few other st... Recently, much dispute has occurred about the validity of the New Keynesian model from both theoretical and empirical views. However, a few studies have analyzed this model from the empirical perspective. Few other studies have analyzed this model directly or nearly directly. This article empirically examines the New Keynesian model focusing on inflation forecast. Generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to examine whether the typical Keynesian model with Taylor rule is empirically appropriate for the US, UK, Euro area, and Japan. The results showed: (1) the New Keynesian model fits well in most cases and explains the real economy well. Taylor rule also fits well for most cases; (2) Rational expectations for inflation rates may not be useful based on this model When AR (1) (time series analysis) model is used to capture inflation expectations instead of one-time ahead real values, the model fits well. With measured expectations, the relative weight of the forward-looking terms increase on the cost of lagged inflation and output terms, even up to the point at which the lagged inflation terms are no longer needed to rescue the new Keynesian model; and (3) Forward-looking variables play more important roles than backward-looking ones in economic activity. Results with expectations with forward-looking terms perform better in general. This New Keynesian model may reduce the importance of lagged output in some cases 展开更多
关键词 EXPECTATION FORWARD-LOOKING INFLATION New Keynesian OUTPUT Taylor rule
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A simple analytical method for deflation prediction of inflatable structures
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作者 李庆松 卿强 龚景海 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第6期2277-2286,共10页
The static performance of inflatable structures has been well studied and the dynamic deployment simulation has received much attention. However, very few studies focus on its deflation behavior. Although there are se... The static performance of inflatable structures has been well studied and the dynamic deployment simulation has received much attention. However, very few studies focus on its deflation behavior. Although there are several dynamic finite element algorithms that can be applied to the deflation simulation, their computation costs are expensive, especially for large scale structures. In this work, a simple method based on classic thermodynamics and the analytical relationship between air and membrane was proposed to efficiently analyze the air state variables under the condition of ventilation. Combined with failure analysis of static bearing capacity, a fast incremental analytical method was presented to predict both elastic and post wrinkling deflation process of inflatable structures. Comparisons between simplified analysis, dynamic finite element simulation, and a full-scale experimental test are presented and the suitability of this simple method for solving the air state and predicting the deflation behavior of inflatable structures is proved. 展开更多
关键词 inflatable structure DEFLATION WRINKLING SIMULATION control volume method
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