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综合评价的随机模拟求解算法及应用 被引量:19
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作者 易平涛 张丹宁 郭亚军 《运筹与管理》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第5期97-106,共10页
在经典的综合评价理论里,评价结论的信息形式通常是绝对的.本文认为这种绝对的结论形式阻碍了理论对实际问题本质的贴近,是产生"多评价结论非一致性"问题的重要原因.针对该问题,提出了一种基于"蒙特卡罗仿真"思想... 在经典的综合评价理论里,评价结论的信息形式通常是绝对的.本文认为这种绝对的结论形式阻碍了理论对实际问题本质的贴近,是产生"多评价结论非一致性"问题的重要原因.针对该问题,提出了一种基于"蒙特卡罗仿真"思想的随机模拟型综合评价求解算法,并对相应的排序方法进行了研究,该方法的特点是可产生带概率(可靠性)信息的评价结论,因而较绝对的结论形式从问题的可解释性方面拥有了更多的优势.因随机模拟求解方法具有独立性,作为示例,将其应用于"自下而上"的评价模式中,构建出一种新颖的自主式评价方法.最后,用一个算例验证了方法的有效性. 展开更多
关键词 模特卡罗仿真 随机模拟求解 自主式评价 多属性综合评价 排序
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Random Model and Simulation for Nucleation Stage of Emulsion Polymerization
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作者 袁才登 缪爱花 +1 位作者 许涌深 曹同玉 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2003年第4期296-301,共6页
The method of mathematical model and further computer simulation is an effective way to the theoretical study of emulsion polymerization and the scale-up of the reactors. In this work, Monte Carlo method has been used... The method of mathematical model and further computer simulation is an effective way to the theoretical study of emulsion polymerization and the scale-up of the reactors. In this work, Monte Carlo method has been used to simulate the nucleation of emulsion polymerization. The effects of emulsifier concentration [S] and initiator concentration [I] on various parameters such as the number of the particles (N p), the average diameter of the latex particles (D p), monomer conversion (x) and average radical number per particle (n) have been studied. The quantitative equations between [S], [I] and N p are in accord absolutely with the classical theory of Smith-Ewart. 展开更多
关键词 emulsion polymerization Monte Carlo method mathematical model
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Study of methods for evaluating the probability of multiple site damage occurrences 被引量:2
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作者 ZHANG JianPing ZHANG JianYu +1 位作者 BAO Rui ZHENG XiaoLing 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第1期65-73,共9页
Two methods currently available for evaluating the probability of Multiple Site Damage(MSD)occurrence were studied in this paper.One of the methods is a probabilistic analysis approach based on the statistical theory ... Two methods currently available for evaluating the probability of Multiple Site Damage(MSD)occurrence were studied in this paper.One of the methods is a probabilistic analysis approach based on the statistical theory and fatigue characteristics of each structural detail,and the other is an approach which defines the initial damage scenario by means of Monte-Carlo simulation,and multiple initial crack scenarios are randomly generated.A modified method based on the Monte-Carlo simulation was proposed in this paper,in which the random fluctuation of the stress was considered to give more accurate evaluation results.In the presented method,the probability of MSD occurrence in a structural element containing multiple details was calculated based on the Monte-Carlo simulation and the p-S-N curve of a single structural detail.Fatigue tests were accomplished using specimens containing 21-similar-details to obtain the fatigue life corresponding to MSD occurrence.Tests on single-detail specimens and static calibration tests were also conducted to get the basic fatigue properties of the material and the degree of stress fluctuation.The aforementioned three methods were compared and validated via the test results.The influence of the stress random fluctuation degree on the probability of MSD occurrence and influence of the distribution types on evaluating the MSD occurrence probability were discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Multiple Site Damage (MSD) fatigue crack initiation PROBABILITY stress fluctuation
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