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船舶搁浅的模糊概率计算(英文) 被引量:5
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作者 陈刚 张圣坤 《船舶力学》 EI 2002年第3期69-75,共7页
目前 ,计算船舶搁浅的概率时常采用故障树和事件树方法 ,以确定的概率数表示底事件的发生概率。这种方法的一个不利之处在于无法考虑基本事件发生概率的不确定性 ,所以无法了解船舶搁浅概率的不确定性。本文引入了合适的模糊数表示基本... 目前 ,计算船舶搁浅的概率时常采用故障树和事件树方法 ,以确定的概率数表示底事件的发生概率。这种方法的一个不利之处在于无法考虑基本事件发生概率的不确定性 ,所以无法了解船舶搁浅概率的不确定性。本文引入了合适的模糊数表示基本事件的发生概率 ,通过模糊计算算法得到了船舶搁浅的模糊概率 ,并进行了敏度分析 ,确定了减小船舶搁浅事故发生的措施。与其他方法的计算结果比较表明 。 展开更多
关键词 模糊概率计算 船舶搁浅 事件树 模糊 概率分布规律
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DETERMINGING BPA UNDER UNCERTAINTY ENVIRONMENTS AND ITS APPLICATION IN DATA FUSION 被引量:15
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作者 Deng Yong Jiang Wen +2 位作者 Xu Xiaobin Li Qi Wang Dong 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2009年第1期13-17,共5页
Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has been widely used in many data fusion ap- plication systems. However, how to determine basic probability assignment, which is the main and the first step in evidence theory, ... Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has been widely used in many data fusion ap- plication systems. However, how to determine basic probability assignment, which is the main and the first step in evidence theory, is still an open issue. In this paper, a new method to obtain Basic Probability Assignment (BPA) is proposed based on the similarity measure between generalized fuzzy numbers. In the proposed method, species model can be constructed by determination of the min, average and max value to construct a fuzzy number. Then, a new Radius Of Gravity (ROG) method to determine the similarity measure between generalized fuzzy numbers is used to calculate the BPA functions of each instance. Finally, the efficiency of the proposed method is illustrated by the classi- fication of Iris data. 展开更多
关键词 Data fusion Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence Basic Probability Assignment(BPA) Generalized fuzzy number Similarity measure
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