Identifying and classifying intersections according to severity is very important problem for implementation of safety related counter measures and effective models are needed to compare and assess the severity. Highw...Identifying and classifying intersections according to severity is very important problem for implementation of safety related counter measures and effective models are needed to compare and assess the severity. Highway safety organizations have considered intersection safety among their priorities. In spite of significant advances in highways safety, the large numbers of crashes with high severities still occur in the highways. Investigation of influential factors on crashes enables engineers to carry out calculations in order to reduce crash severity. In the previous studies, there are no perfect models which are capable to illustrate the influence of human factors, road, vehicle, weather conditions and traffic features including traffic volume and flow speed on the crash severity. Therefore, this paper is aimed to develop the models for illustration of the simultaneous influence of these variables on the crash severity in urban highways. The models represented in this study have been developed using binary Logit Models. SPSS software has been used to calibrate the models. It must be mentioned that backward regression method in SPSS was used to identify the significant variables in the model. Consider to obtained results it can be concluded that the main factor in increasing of crash severity in urban highways are driver age, movement with reverse gear, technical defect of the vehicle, vehicle collision with motorcycle and bicycle, bridge, frontal impact collisions, frontal-lateral collisions and multi-vehicle crashes in urban highways which always increase the crash severity in urban highways. Obtained results show the effectiveness and capability of the developed models.展开更多
文摘Identifying and classifying intersections according to severity is very important problem for implementation of safety related counter measures and effective models are needed to compare and assess the severity. Highway safety organizations have considered intersection safety among their priorities. In spite of significant advances in highways safety, the large numbers of crashes with high severities still occur in the highways. Investigation of influential factors on crashes enables engineers to carry out calculations in order to reduce crash severity. In the previous studies, there are no perfect models which are capable to illustrate the influence of human factors, road, vehicle, weather conditions and traffic features including traffic volume and flow speed on the crash severity. Therefore, this paper is aimed to develop the models for illustration of the simultaneous influence of these variables on the crash severity in urban highways. The models represented in this study have been developed using binary Logit Models. SPSS software has been used to calibrate the models. It must be mentioned that backward regression method in SPSS was used to identify the significant variables in the model. Consider to obtained results it can be concluded that the main factor in increasing of crash severity in urban highways are driver age, movement with reverse gear, technical defect of the vehicle, vehicle collision with motorcycle and bicycle, bridge, frontal impact collisions, frontal-lateral collisions and multi-vehicle crashes in urban highways which always increase the crash severity in urban highways. Obtained results show the effectiveness and capability of the developed models.
