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左截断区间删失数据在比例风险率模型下回归分析的新方法 被引量:3
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作者 王培洁 周勇 《数理统计与管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第5期857-864,共8页
在生存数据的研究中,比例风险率模型是应用最广泛的模型,尤其是当研究关注的是协变量效应时更为显著.对于左截断区间删失数据在比例风险率模型假设下的研究,目前已经有一些分析方法,但是这些方法或者计算复杂,或者参数估计有效性不足.... 在生存数据的研究中,比例风险率模型是应用最广泛的模型,尤其是当研究关注的是协变量效应时更为显著.对于左截断区间删失数据在比例风险率模型假设下的研究,目前已经有一些分析方法,但是这些方法或者计算复杂,或者参数估计有效性不足.针对于这些问题,本文给出了一种新的极大似然估计方法,通过引入一些泊松潜变量并利用EM算法来极大化似然函数,以此得到参数估计.本文给出的估计方法算法简单,易于执行.同时,本文进行了大量的数值模拟,验证了提出方法的有效性,最后,本文应用提出的方法分析了艾滋病的临床数据. 展开更多
关键词 比例风险率模型 区间删失数据 左截断 EM算法
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经纪人对二手房价格形成机制的影响--基于链家数据的研究 被引量:2
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作者 杨现领 许海波 《中央财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第9期82-93,共12页
本文首次基于经纪人的作业流程展开对二手房交易价格动态变化过程的研究,建立了经纪人价格影响机制分析的理论框架,并利用北京链家二手房交易数据进行实证分析。笔者发现经纪人在市场稳定时更能够在首次挂牌时协助卖方客户制定合理的价... 本文首次基于经纪人的作业流程展开对二手房交易价格动态变化过程的研究,建立了经纪人价格影响机制分析的理论框架,并利用北京链家二手房交易数据进行实证分析。笔者发现经纪人在市场稳定时更能够在首次挂牌时协助卖方客户制定合理的价格,北京房产管理部门于2017年3月17日出台了严厉的限购政策,挂牌房源的挂牌价格在北京317限购政策出台后的分散度相比317前出现显著下降,经纪人的"限价"使实际挂牌价更趋于合理价值;经纪人"聚焦"的房源瞬时成交率为非聚焦房源的3.848倍,即"聚焦"作为一种筛选、带看放大机制,能够加速定价合理房源的成交,是促进价格收敛的关键因素。基于这些结论,笔者认为,首次挂牌定价的合理性极大影响了房屋的成交,加强二手房交易市场信息透明度、提高经纪机构规范性及经纪人定价的专业性和影响力是提高整个二手房市场交易效率及客户满意度的关键。 展开更多
关键词 房源聚焦 特征价格模型 COX比例风险率模型
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Fisher-Z分布次序统计量的普通多元随机序
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作者 方龙祥 唐维 《数学杂志》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第1期171-176,共6页
本文研究了Fisher-Z分布次序统计量的随机比较问题.利用Beta随机变量的性质以及比例风险率模型的次序统计量随机比较的结论,获得了Fisher-Z分布次序统计量向量的普通多元随机序的比较,推广了文献中的相关结果.
关键词 普通多元随机序 次序统计量 比例风险率模型 BETA分布 Fisher-Z分布
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Prognostic factors for 5-year survival after local excision of rectal cancer 被引量:9
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作者 Dong-Bing Zhao Yong-Kai Wu Yong-Fu Shao Cheng-Feng Wang Jian-Qiang Cai 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第10期1242-1245,共4页
AIM:To evaluate the prognostic factors for 5-year survival after local excision of rectal cancer,and to examine the therapeutic efficacy and surgical indications for this procedure. METHODS:Clinical data,obtained from... AIM:To evaluate the prognostic factors for 5-year survival after local excision of rectal cancer,and to examine the therapeutic efficacy and surgical indications for this procedure. METHODS:Clinical data,obtained from 106 local rectal cancer excisions performed between January 1980 and December 2005,were retrospectively analyzed.Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method,statistical comparisons were performed using the log-rank test,and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS:Transanal,transsacral,and transvaginal excisions were performed in 92,12,and 2 cases, respectively.The rate of complication,local recurrence, and 5-year survival was 6.6%,17.0%,and 86.7%, respectively.Univariate analysis showed that T stage, vascular invasion,and local recurrence were related to the prognosis of the cases(P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that T stage[P=0.011,95% confidence interval(CI)=1.194-3.878]and local recurrence(P=0.022,95%CI=1.194-10.160)were the major prognostic factors for 5-year survival of cases after local excision of rectal cancer. CONCLUSION:Local rectal cancer excision is associated with few complications,and suitable for stages Tis and T1 rectal cancer.Prevention of local recurrence,active postoperative follow-up,and administration of salvage therapy are the effective methods to increase the efficacy of local excision of rectal cancer. 展开更多
关键词 Rectal cancer SURGERY Local excision RECURRENCE PROGNOSIS
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Prognostic Factors of Ampulla of Vater Carcinoma after Radical Surgery 被引量:1
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作者 Dongbing Zhao Yongkai Wu Yi Shan Chengfeng Wang Ping Zhao 《Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology》 CSCD 2009年第2期85-89,共5页
OBJECTIVE Ampullary carcinoma is a rare disease with betterprognosis than other periampullary neoplasms. This studyinvestigated the association between clinicopathologic factors andprognosis after radical resection of... OBJECTIVE Ampullary carcinoma is a rare disease with betterprognosis than other periampullary neoplasms. This studyinvestigated the association between clinicopathologic factors andprognosis after radical resection of ampulla of Vater carcinoma.METHODS Clinical data from 105 patients who underwentradical pancreaticoduodenectomy from January 1990 to December2005 were retrospectively analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method,log-rank test, and the Cox proportional hazard model.RESULTS The in-hospital mortality rate was 8.6%, the lymphnode metastasis rate was 37.1%, and the five-year survival ratewas 42.8%. Pancreatic involvement (P = 0.027), tumor diameter (P= 0.008), T stage (P = 0.003), TNM stage (P < 0.001), and number ofmetastatic lymph nodes (P < 0.001) were associated with prognosiswhen the univariate analysis was used. Multivariate analysisshowed that the number of lymph node metastases (P < 0.001;OR: 1.923; CI: 1.367-2.705) and tumor diameter (P = 0.03; OR: 1.432;CI: 1.035-1.981) were the independent prognostic factors.CONCLUSION The number of metastatic lymph nodes andtumor diameter are important pathologic factors predictingprognosis of ampulla of Vater carcinoma after radical resection,and lymph node dissection during the radical surgery effectivelyimproves the survival rate. 展开更多
关键词 ampulla of Vater lymph node METASTASIS CARCINOMA prognosis.
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