本文基于两种比率方法研究了长记忆时间序列均值变点的检验问题,在无变点原假设下推导出了检验统计量的极限分布,在备择假设下证明了检验方法的一致性.由于检验统计量的极限分布依赖未知的长记忆参数,还提出了一种避免估计长记忆参数的S...本文基于两种比率方法研究了长记忆时间序列均值变点的检验问题,在无变点原假设下推导出了检验统计量的极限分布,在备择假设下证明了检验方法的一致性.由于检验统计量的极限分布依赖未知的长记忆参数,还提出了一种避免估计长记忆参数的Sieve AR Bootstrap方法来近似计算检验统计量的临界值,数值模拟结果表明提出的检验方法具有较好的检验效果.最后通过分析一组尼罗河年径流量数据说明了方法的可行性.展开更多
In this paper, we to detect encrypted botnet propose a novel method traffic. During the traffic preprocessing stage, the proposed payload extraction method can identify a large amount of encrypted applications traffic...In this paper, we to detect encrypted botnet propose a novel method traffic. During the traffic preprocessing stage, the proposed payload extraction method can identify a large amount of encrypted applications traffic. It can filter out a large amount of non-malicious traffic, greatly in, roving the detection efficiency. A Sequential Probability Ratio Test （SPRT）-based method can find spatialtemporal correlations in suspicious botnet traffic and make an accurate judgment. Experimental resuks show that the false positive and false nega- tive rates can be controlled within a certain range.展开更多
In this study, the statistical powers of Kolmogorov-Smimov two-sample （KS-2） and Wald Wolfowitz （WW） tests, non-parametric tests used in testing data from two independent samples, have been compared in terms of fi...In this study, the statistical powers of Kolmogorov-Smimov two-sample （KS-2） and Wald Wolfowitz （WW） tests, non-parametric tests used in testing data from two independent samples, have been compared in terms of fixed skewness and fixed kurtosis by means of Monte Carlo simulation. This comparison has been made when the ratio of variance is two as well as with equal and different sample sizes for large sample volumes. The sample used in the study is： （25, 25）, （25, 50）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, （50, 25）, （50, 50）, （50, 75）, （50, 100）, （75, 25）, （75, 50）, （75, 75）, （75, 100）, （100, 25）, （100, 50）, （100, 75）, and （100, 100）. According to the results of the study, it has been observed that the statistical power of both tests decreases when the coefficient of kurtosis is held fixed and the coefficient of skewness is reduced while it increases when the coefficient of skewness is held fixed and the coefficient of kurtosis is reduced. When the ratio of skewness is reduced in the case of fixed kurtosis, the WW test is stronger in sample volumes （25, 25）, （25, 50）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, （50, 75）, and （50, 100） while KS-2 test is stronger in other sample volumes. When the ratio of kurtosis is reduced in the case of fixed skewness, the statistical power of WW test is stronger in volume samples （25, 25）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, and （75, 25） while KS-2 test is stronger in other sample volumes.展开更多
Hypothesis testing analysis and unknown parameter estimation of both the intermediate frequency(IF) and baseband GPS signal detection are given by using the generalized likelihood ratio test(GLRT) approach,applying th...Hypothesis testing analysis and unknown parameter estimation of both the intermediate frequency(IF) and baseband GPS signal detection are given by using the generalized likelihood ratio test(GLRT) approach,applying the model of GPS signal in white Gaussian noise,It is proved that the test statistic follows central or noncentral F distribution,It is also pointed out that the test statistic is nearly identical to central or noncentral chi-squared distribution because the processing samples are large enough to be considered as infinite in GPS acquisition problem.It is also proved that the probability of false alarm,the probability of detection and the threshold are affected largely when the hypothesis testing refers to the full pseudorandom noise(PRN) code phase and Doppler frequency search space cells instead of each individual cell.The performance of the test statistic is also given with combining the noncoherent integration.展开更多
The scores of grape wine given by wine critics have differences, therefore, for which its credibility differs. Firstly, our paper analysis differences of overall and individual for the two groups of raters. The analys...The scores of grape wine given by wine critics have differences, therefore, for which its credibility differs. Firstly, our paper analysis differences of overall and individual for the two groups of raters. The analysis method is： first check the score whether meets the normal distribution or not by Chi-square and then test whether the mean of the two group＇s ratings is equal or not, through t-test, to illustrate the differences of the two groups＇ ratings. Secondly this paper respectively characterizes the credibility of each group＇s rating with the variance and gray correlation. Both the results are highly consistent on the credibility, so they can support each other. This score comparison method can be further extended to a similar scoring system.展开更多
To date, Wald sequential probability ratio test(WSPRT) has been widely applied to track management of multiple hypothesis tracking(MHT). But in a real situation, if the false alarm spatial density is much larger than ...To date, Wald sequential probability ratio test(WSPRT) has been widely applied to track management of multiple hypothesis tracking(MHT). But in a real situation, if the false alarm spatial density is much larger than the new target spatial density, the original track score will be very close to the deletion threshold of the WSPRT. Consequently, all tracks, including target tracks, may easily be deleted, which means that the tracking performance is sensitive to the tracking environment. Meanwhile, if a target exists for a long time, its track will have a high score, which will make the track survive for a long time even after the target has disappeared. In this paper, to consider the relationship between the hypotheses of the test, we adopt the Shiryayev SPRT(SSPRT) for track management in MHT. By introducing a hypothesis transition probability, the original track score can increase faster, which solves the first problem. In addition, by setting an independent SSPRT for track deletion, the track score can decrease faster, which solves the second problem. The simulation results show that the proposed SSPRT-based MHT can achieve better tracking performance than MHT based on the WSPRT under a high false alarm spatial density.展开更多
文摘本文基于两种比率方法研究了长记忆时间序列均值变点的检验问题,在无变点原假设下推导出了检验统计量的极限分布,在备择假设下证明了检验方法的一致性.由于检验统计量的极限分布依赖未知的长记忆参数,还提出了一种避免估计长记忆参数的Sieve AR Bootstrap方法来近似计算检验统计量的临界值,数值模拟结果表明提出的检验方法具有较好的检验效果.最后通过分析一组尼罗河年径流量数据说明了方法的可行性.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)under Grant No.2011CB302903the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions under Grant No.YX002001
文摘In this paper, we to detect encrypted botnet propose a novel method traffic. During the traffic preprocessing stage, the proposed payload extraction method can identify a large amount of encrypted applications traffic. It can filter out a large amount of non-malicious traffic, greatly in, roving the detection efficiency. A Sequential Probability Ratio Test （SPRT）-based method can find spatialtemporal correlations in suspicious botnet traffic and make an accurate judgment. Experimental resuks show that the false positive and false nega- tive rates can be controlled within a certain range.
文摘In this study, the statistical powers of Kolmogorov-Smimov two-sample （KS-2） and Wald Wolfowitz （WW） tests, non-parametric tests used in testing data from two independent samples, have been compared in terms of fixed skewness and fixed kurtosis by means of Monte Carlo simulation. This comparison has been made when the ratio of variance is two as well as with equal and different sample sizes for large sample volumes. The sample used in the study is： （25, 25）, （25, 50）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, （50, 25）, （50, 50）, （50, 75）, （50, 100）, （75, 25）, （75, 50）, （75, 75）, （75, 100）, （100, 25）, （100, 50）, （100, 75）, and （100, 100）. According to the results of the study, it has been observed that the statistical power of both tests decreases when the coefficient of kurtosis is held fixed and the coefficient of skewness is reduced while it increases when the coefficient of skewness is held fixed and the coefficient of kurtosis is reduced. When the ratio of skewness is reduced in the case of fixed kurtosis, the WW test is stronger in sample volumes （25, 25）, （25, 50）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, （50, 75）, and （50, 100） while KS-2 test is stronger in other sample volumes. When the ratio of kurtosis is reduced in the case of fixed skewness, the statistical power of WW test is stronger in volume samples （25, 25）, （25, 75）, （25, 100）, and （75, 25） while KS-2 test is stronger in other sample volumes.
文摘Hypothesis testing analysis and unknown parameter estimation of both the intermediate frequency(IF) and baseband GPS signal detection are given by using the generalized likelihood ratio test(GLRT) approach,applying the model of GPS signal in white Gaussian noise,It is proved that the test statistic follows central or noncentral F distribution,It is also pointed out that the test statistic is nearly identical to central or noncentral chi-squared distribution because the processing samples are large enough to be considered as infinite in GPS acquisition problem.It is also proved that the probability of false alarm,the probability of detection and the threshold are affected largely when the hypothesis testing refers to the full pseudorandom noise(PRN) code phase and Doppler frequency search space cells instead of each individual cell.The performance of the test statistic is also given with combining the noncoherent integration.
文摘The scores of grape wine given by wine critics have differences, therefore, for which its credibility differs. Firstly, our paper analysis differences of overall and individual for the two groups of raters. The analysis method is： first check the score whether meets the normal distribution or not by Chi-square and then test whether the mean of the two group＇s ratings is equal or not, through t-test, to illustrate the differences of the two groups＇ ratings. Secondly this paper respectively characterizes the credibility of each group＇s rating with the variance and gray correlation. Both the results are highly consistent on the credibility, so they can support each other. This score comparison method can be further extended to a similar scoring system.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 61471019, 61501011)
文摘To date, Wald sequential probability ratio test(WSPRT) has been widely applied to track management of multiple hypothesis tracking(MHT). But in a real situation, if the false alarm spatial density is much larger than the new target spatial density, the original track score will be very close to the deletion threshold of the WSPRT. Consequently, all tracks, including target tracks, may easily be deleted, which means that the tracking performance is sensitive to the tracking environment. Meanwhile, if a target exists for a long time, its track will have a high score, which will make the track survive for a long time even after the target has disappeared. In this paper, to consider the relationship between the hypotheses of the test, we adopt the Shiryayev SPRT(SSPRT) for track management in MHT. By introducing a hypothesis transition probability, the original track score can increase faster, which solves the first problem. In addition, by setting an independent SSPRT for track deletion, the track score can decrease faster, which solves the second problem. The simulation results show that the proposed SSPRT-based MHT can achieve better tracking performance than MHT based on the WSPRT under a high false alarm spatial density.
