To improve the applicability of the global pressure and temperature 2 wet(GPT2w)model in estimating the weighted mean temperature in China and adjacent areas,the error compensation technology based on the neural netwo...To improve the applicability of the global pressure and temperature 2 wet(GPT2w)model in estimating the weighted mean temperature in China and adjacent areas,the error compensation technology based on the neural network was proposed,and a total of 374800 meteorological profiles measured from 2006 to 2015 of 100 radiosonde stations distributed in China and adjacent areas were used to establish an enhanced empirical model for estimating the weighted mean temperature in this region.The data from 2016 to 2018 of the remaining 92 stations in this region was used to test the performance of the proposed model.Results show that the proposed model is about 14.9%better than the GPT2w model and about 7.6%better than the Bevis model with measured surface temperature in accuracy.The performance of the proposed model is significantly improved compared with the GPT2w model not only at different height ranges,but also in different months throughout the year.Moreover,the accuracy of the weighted mean temperature estimation is greatly improved in the northwestern region of China where the radiosonde stations are very rarely distributed.The proposed model shows a great application potential in the nationwide real-time ground-based global navigation satellite system(GNSS)water vapor remote sensing.展开更多
A nested-model system is constructed by embedding the regional climate model RegCM3 into a general circulation model for monthly-scale regional climate forecast over East China. The systematic errors are formulated fo...A nested-model system is constructed by embedding the regional climate model RegCM3 into a general circulation model for monthly-scale regional climate forecast over East China. The systematic errors are formulated for the region on the basis of 10-yr (1991-2000) results of the nested-model system, and of the datasets of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) and the temperature analysis of the National Meteorological Center (NMC), U.S.A., which are then used for correcting the original forecast by the system for the period 2001-2005. After the assessment of the original and corrected forecasts for monthly precipitation and surface air temperature, it is found that the corrected forecast is apparently better than the original, suggesting that the approach can be applied for improving monthly-scale regional climate dynamical forecast.展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41574022)the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(No.KYCX17_0150).
文摘To improve the applicability of the global pressure and temperature 2 wet(GPT2w)model in estimating the weighted mean temperature in China and adjacent areas,the error compensation technology based on the neural network was proposed,and a total of 374800 meteorological profiles measured from 2006 to 2015 of 100 radiosonde stations distributed in China and adjacent areas were used to establish an enhanced empirical model for estimating the weighted mean temperature in this region.The data from 2016 to 2018 of the remaining 92 stations in this region was used to test the performance of the proposed model.Results show that the proposed model is about 14.9%better than the GPT2w model and about 7.6%better than the Bevis model with measured surface temperature in accuracy.The performance of the proposed model is significantly improved compared with the GPT2w model not only at different height ranges,but also in different months throughout the year.Moreover,the accuracy of the weighted mean temperature estimation is greatly improved in the northwestern region of China where the radiosonde stations are very rarely distributed.The proposed model shows a great application potential in the nationwide real-time ground-based global navigation satellite system(GNSS)water vapor remote sensing.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (40875067, 40675040)Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAP09306)National Basic Research Program of China. (2006CB400505)
文摘A nested-model system is constructed by embedding the regional climate model RegCM3 into a general circulation model for monthly-scale regional climate forecast over East China. The systematic errors are formulated for the region on the basis of 10-yr (1991-2000) results of the nested-model system, and of the datasets of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) and the temperature analysis of the National Meteorological Center (NMC), U.S.A., which are then used for correcting the original forecast by the system for the period 2001-2005. After the assessment of the original and corrected forecasts for monthly precipitation and surface air temperature, it is found that the corrected forecast is apparently better than the original, suggesting that the approach can be applied for improving monthly-scale regional climate dynamical forecast.
