南水北调东线工程运行与管理准市场机制的数学描述

为了研究南水北调东线工程的运行与管理体制,达到优化配置水资源的目的,对南水北调东线工程运行与管理的准市场定位、准市场特性进行了分析,建立了南水北调东线工程准市场机制下运行与管理的水测度模型。结果表明:影响南水北调东线工程准市场管理模式的主要原因是水资源的功能特性与工程特性,南水北调东线工程水市场具有寡头市场特征,其运行与管理是一种既包括市场模式又包含行政干预的混合管理模式;水测度模型揭示了水资源准市场管理模式的演化过程,水测度与行政干预程度成负相关。

STUDY ON OPTIMAL CONTROL OF MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRIBUTION NETWORK

A systematic investigation is made on the problems which are related to the optimal control of the municipal water distribution network.A mathematical model of forecasting the water short term demand is proposed using the time series trigonometric function analysis method;the service discharge based macroscopic model of network performance is established using the network structuring method;a relatively satisfactory mathematical model for the optimal control of water distribution network is put forward in view of security and economy,and solved by the constrained mixed discrete variable complex arithmetic.The model is applied in many examples and the results are satisfactory.

An Experiment of a Statistical Downscaling Forecast Model for Summer Precipitation over China

A combination of the optimal subset regression (OSR) approach,the coupled general circulation model of the National Climate Center (NCC-CGCM) and precipitation observations from 160 stations over China is used to construct a statistical downscaling forecast model for precipitation in summer.Retroactive forecasts are performed to assess the skill of statistical downscaling during the period from 2003 to 2009.The results show a poor simulation for summer precipitation by the NCCCGCM for China,and the average spatial anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) is 0.01 in the forecast period.The forecast skill can be improved by OSR statistical downscaling,and the OSR forecast performs better than the NCC-CGCM in most years except 2003.The spatial ACC is more than 0.2 in the years 2008 and 2009,which proves to be relatively skillful.Moreover,the statistical downscaling forecast performs relatively well for the main rain belt of the summer precipitation in some years,including 2005,2006,2008,and 2009.However,the forecast skill of statistical downscaling is restricted to some extent by the relatively low skill of the NCCCGCM.

Role of Black Carbon-Induced Changes in Snow Albedo in Predictions of Temperature and Precipitation during a Snowstorm

In this study the authors apply the chemistry version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model （WRF-Chem） to examine the impacts of black carbon （BC）-induced changes in snow albedo on simulated temperature and precipitation during the severe snowstorm that occurred in southern China during 0800 26 January to 0800 29 January 2008 （Note that all times are local time except when otherwise stated）. Black carbon aerosol was simulated online within the WRF-Chem. The model resuits showed that surface-albedo, averaged over 27-28 January, can be reduced by up to 10% by the deposition of BC. As a result, relative to a simulation that does not consider deposition of BC on snow/ice, the authors predicted surface air temperatures during 27-28 January can differ by -1.95 to 2.70 K, and the authors predicted accumulated precipitation over 27-28 January can differ by -2.91 to 3.10 mm over Areas A and B with large BC deposition. Different signs of changes are determined by the feedback of clouds and by the availability of water vapor in the atmosphere.

Magnetometer calibration algorithm based on ellipsoid constraint

Calibration of magnetometer is an essential part to obtain high measurement precision.However,the existing calibration methods are basically the calibration of all attitudes,which means tough work when the magnetometer is applied in strapdown inertial navigation system(SINS).So a quick,easy and effective calibration algorithm is developed based on the ellipsoid constraint to calibrate magnetometers.In this paper,the measuring principle and error characteristic of the magnetometer are analysed to study its magnetic interference.During the process,a magnetometer calibration model is set up to convert the calibration to ellipsoid fitting based on the characteristic of hard magnetic interference and soft magnetic interference.Then the algorithm is tested by mimic experiment.The result shows that measurement precision is improved after the calibration,and then the magnetometer is installed in a control cabin of an underwater robot which is designed and developed by us,and actual magnetometer calibration experiments are conducted to further verify the validity of the algorithm.

Analysis of the shape of heavy droplets on flat and spherical surface

In this study,a theoretical model was established for predicting the equilibrium shape of the droplet on flat and spherical surfaces.The theoretical equilibrium shape of heavy droplets could be obtained once contact angle and volume of droplets were given.It showed that the predictions of the theoretical flat model were in good agreement with the shape obtained by Surface Evolver when the contact angle is below 120 and the droplet size is on the order of capillary length.This available range will decrease and increase when the heavy droplet is on convex and concave spherical surface,respectively,in contrast to that on flat surface.The available range will decrease more for higher curvature of convex spherical surfaces.