This paper discusses the constraining factors to sustainable utilization ofwater resources in China, and the countermeasures to realize sustainable water utilization. Theresult of comprehensive analysis shows that con...This paper discusses the constraining factors to sustainable utilization ofwater resources in China, and the countermeasures to realize sustainable water utilization. Theresult of comprehensive analysis shows that constraining factors to sustainable utilization of waterresources in China are complicated, including physical geographical factors and socio-economicfactors, such as uneven distribution of water resources at temporal and spatial scales,inappropriate institutional arrangement and non-water-saving and non-wter-conservation productionand life mode. The countermeasures against constraining factors to water resources sustainabledevelopment are put forward as follows: 1) using wetlands and forests, and through spatialconversion to realize temporally sustainable supply of water resources; 2) transferring waterbetween basins and areas and developing various water resources in water shortage area; 3)establishing water-saving society; 4) strengthening water pollution control and water resourcesprotection; and 5) establishing unified water resources management mechanism.展开更多
Annual discharge and annual suspended sediment loads of Beipei Hydrological Station of the Jialing River catchment were analyzed to describe the trend of Jialing River over the last five decades (1956-2006). These loa...Annual discharge and annual suspended sediment loads of Beipei Hydrological Station of the Jialing River catchment were analyzed to describe the trend of Jialing River over the last five decades (1956-2006). These loads were also analyzed to ascertain the influential factors associated with its variation with the help of Kendall's Tau-b correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results indicated that the Jialing River annual discharge showed no significant trend at >95% confidence level while the annual sediment load appeared to have a significant decrease trend over the last 50 years. A decrease in the annual sediment load was particularly apparent after the year 1985, at which a substantial shift in the sediment level occurred. This shift is attributed to the construction of numerous dams in 1980s. However, after the year of 1985, two periodical stages (1986-1991 and 1992-2006) with distinct sediment load and sediment-runoff ratio were identified. The period 1992-2006 is characterised by low sediment load, which is most probably due to the impact of large scale of soil and water conservation, which took place at the end of the 1980s. Last, models describing the relationship between the discharge and the sediment load, discharge and sediment-runoff ratio as well as between the sediment load and sediment-runoff ratio were constructed.展开更多
The geological characteristics of coalbed methane from the research carried out in Liupanshui is based on analysis of faults, folds, roof and floor lithology, and depth of coal seam gas content, combined with the asse...The geological characteristics of coalbed methane from the research carried out in Liupanshui is based on analysis of faults, folds, roof and floor lithology, and depth of coal seam gas content, combined with the assessment of CBM resources calculated through buried depth scope, average coal seam thickness, and gas content, organized by the Ministry of Land and Resources in 2006, which launched the "national new round of coalbed methane re-sources evaluation" project to evaluate the coalbcd methane resources in the standard category and divided coal-bed methane resources into Ⅰ, Ⅱand Ⅲ Category of three resources categories. With this method on the other syncline to resources assessment, the area below 1 000 m is named as ] Category resources. And with the depth increasing, resources level decreases.展开更多
Rainfall and air temperature data from six meteorological stations above the Bengbu Sluice and hydrological and water resources evaluation data from the Bengbu Hydrological Station in the Huai River Basin from 1961 to...Rainfall and air temperature data from six meteorological stations above the Bengbu Sluice and hydrological and water resources evaluation data from the Bengbu Hydrological Station in the Huai River Basin from 1961 to 2008 are used to analyze the impact of changes in climatic factors on the amount of water resources in the Basin. There was a general trend of rise in its average annual air temperature, with the highest increase of 0.289℃/10a recorded at Bengbu in Anhui Province. Rising rainfall was mainly observed in the western part of the study area, while rainfall actually declined in the eastern part, i.e. the middle reaches of the Huai River. The Average rainfall in the study area was in a vaguely declining trend. In other words, the rainfall in the Basin is still much affected by natural fluctuations. On the whole, there was a trend of gradual decrease in the quantity of the Basin's water resources for the period under study. Water resources quantity is found to fall with decreasing rainfall and rising air temperature. Regression analysis is used to establish a mathematical model between water resources quantity and climatic factors (i.e. air temperature and rainfall) in order to explore the impact of climate change on water resources in the Basin. Moreover, various scenarios are set to quantitatively analyze the response of water resources to climate change. Sensitivity analysis shows that changes in rainfall have a much bigger impact on its water resources quantity than changes in its air temperature.展开更多
China is facing severe problem of water scarcity.Agricultural sector,the main consumer of water resource,has remarkably changed its institutions on water resource deployment,due to heavy environmental pressure.As a ne...China is facing severe problem of water scarcity.Agricultural sector,the main consumer of water resource,has remarkably changed its institutions on water resource deployment,due to heavy environmental pressure.As a new and spontaneous institution,groundwater market has developed rapidly in northern China,and has impacts on waterusing behaviors and benefits of farmers.Using household survey data from Hebei and Henan in 2007,this paper attempts to pin down the development and operating of groundwater market in rural China.We focus on the monopoly and competition in the market.Empirical analysis reveals that Chinese farmers are trying to make rational decision when they compete with others in groundwater market.In general,monopoly is not fierce in Chinese rural groundwater market,with great variations among different villages and even different tubewells within one village.Tubewell costs,regulation and the density of tubewells are the main determinants that affect monopoly level of groundwater market.To make water market benefit more and more farmers of low income,corresponding policies are needed to modify its development in the future.展开更多
For natural resource science, resource productivity studying is an important subject. But researches on tourism resource productivity are limited. The most significant influencing factor on tourism resource productivi...For natural resource science, resource productivity studying is an important subject. But researches on tourism resource productivity are limited. The most significant influencing factor on tourism resource productivity is the potential market scale of tourist locations, and second most important influencing factor is the resource endowment. Regional urban population is significantly correlated with region tourist numbers, being the decisive factor of region potential tour market scale. In tourism development, the dual model should be adopted: on one hand to enhance tour spot attractiveness, on the other hand to cultivate the potential market by improving urbanization level and other means. In the situation of tourism development fever spreading, the dual model for improving tourism productivity helps to avoid the "Great Leap Forward" which means that too rapid tourism construction divorces from actual market demand.展开更多
Uncertainty analysis and risk analysis are two important areas of modern water resource management,in which accurate variance estimation is required.The traditional runoff model is established under the assumption tha...Uncertainty analysis and risk analysis are two important areas of modern water resource management,in which accurate variance estimation is required.The traditional runoff model is established under the assumption that the variance is a constant or it changes with the seasons.However,hydrological processes in the real world are often heteroscedastic,which can be tested by McLeod-Li test and Engle Lagrange multiplier test.In such cases,the GARCH model of hydrological processes is established in this article.First,the seasonal factors in the sequence are removed.Second,the traditional ARMA model is established.Then,the GARCH model is used to correct the residual.At last,the daily runoff data in 1949-2001 of Yichang Hydrological Station is taken to be an example.The result shows that compared to the traditional ARMA model,the GARCH model has the ability to predict more accurate confidence intervals under the same confidence level.展开更多
文摘This paper discusses the constraining factors to sustainable utilization ofwater resources in China, and the countermeasures to realize sustainable water utilization. Theresult of comprehensive analysis shows that constraining factors to sustainable utilization of waterresources in China are complicated, including physical geographical factors and socio-economicfactors, such as uneven distribution of water resources at temporal and spatial scales,inappropriate institutional arrangement and non-water-saving and non-wter-conservation productionand life mode. The countermeasures against constraining factors to water resources sustainabledevelopment are put forward as follows: 1) using wetlands and forests, and through spatialconversion to realize temporally sustainable supply of water resources; 2) transferring waterbetween basins and areas and developing various water resources in water shortage area; 3)establishing water-saving society; 4) strengthening water pollution control and water resourcesprotection; and 5) establishing unified water resources management mechanism.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation (40901135)973 program (2007CB40720301)+1 种基金National Key Technology R&D Program (2008BAD98B02)the open fund of Institute of Changjiang River Scientific Research program (YWF0716/TB01)
文摘Annual discharge and annual suspended sediment loads of Beipei Hydrological Station of the Jialing River catchment were analyzed to describe the trend of Jialing River over the last five decades (1956-2006). These loads were also analyzed to ascertain the influential factors associated with its variation with the help of Kendall's Tau-b correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results indicated that the Jialing River annual discharge showed no significant trend at >95% confidence level while the annual sediment load appeared to have a significant decrease trend over the last 50 years. A decrease in the annual sediment load was particularly apparent after the year 1985, at which a substantial shift in the sediment level occurred. This shift is attributed to the construction of numerous dams in 1980s. However, after the year of 1985, two periodical stages (1986-1991 and 1992-2006) with distinct sediment load and sediment-runoff ratio were identified. The period 1992-2006 is characterised by low sediment load, which is most probably due to the impact of large scale of soil and water conservation, which took place at the end of the 1980s. Last, models describing the relationship between the discharge and the sediment load, discharge and sediment-runoff ratio as well as between the sediment load and sediment-runoff ratio were constructed.
基金Supported by the National "973" CBM project (2009CB219605) the National Science and Technology of major special projects (201 IZX05034): the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40730422)
文摘The geological characteristics of coalbed methane from the research carried out in Liupanshui is based on analysis of faults, folds, roof and floor lithology, and depth of coal seam gas content, combined with the assessment of CBM resources calculated through buried depth scope, average coal seam thickness, and gas content, organized by the Ministry of Land and Resources in 2006, which launched the "national new round of coalbed methane re-sources evaluation" project to evaluate the coalbcd methane resources in the standard category and divided coal-bed methane resources into Ⅰ, Ⅱand Ⅲ Category of three resources categories. With this method on the other syncline to resources assessment, the area below 1 000 m is named as ] Category resources. And with the depth increasing, resources level decreases.
基金supported by the National Natural Sciences Foundation of China (Project Nos. 51079132 and 50679075)the Special Research Fund Project of the Chinese Ministry of Water Resources (Grant No. 200801001)+1 种基金the Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (Grant No. 20094101110002)the National Key Scientific and Technological Project on Water Pollution Control and Treatment of China (Project No. 2009ZX07210-006)
文摘Rainfall and air temperature data from six meteorological stations above the Bengbu Sluice and hydrological and water resources evaluation data from the Bengbu Hydrological Station in the Huai River Basin from 1961 to 2008 are used to analyze the impact of changes in climatic factors on the amount of water resources in the Basin. There was a general trend of rise in its average annual air temperature, with the highest increase of 0.289℃/10a recorded at Bengbu in Anhui Province. Rising rainfall was mainly observed in the western part of the study area, while rainfall actually declined in the eastern part, i.e. the middle reaches of the Huai River. The Average rainfall in the study area was in a vaguely declining trend. In other words, the rainfall in the Basin is still much affected by natural fluctuations. On the whole, there was a trend of gradual decrease in the quantity of the Basin's water resources for the period under study. Water resources quantity is found to fall with decreasing rainfall and rising air temperature. Regression analysis is used to establish a mathematical model between water resources quantity and climatic factors (i.e. air temperature and rainfall) in order to explore the impact of climate change on water resources in the Basin. Moreover, various scenarios are set to quantitatively analyze the response of water resources to climate change. Sensitivity analysis shows that changes in rainfall have a much bigger impact on its water resources quantity than changes in its air temperature.
基金supported by International Water Management Institute-Groundwater Governance in Asia Program(Grant No.PN-42)
文摘China is facing severe problem of water scarcity.Agricultural sector,the main consumer of water resource,has remarkably changed its institutions on water resource deployment,due to heavy environmental pressure.As a new and spontaneous institution,groundwater market has developed rapidly in northern China,and has impacts on waterusing behaviors and benefits of farmers.Using household survey data from Hebei and Henan in 2007,this paper attempts to pin down the development and operating of groundwater market in rural China.We focus on the monopoly and competition in the market.Empirical analysis reveals that Chinese farmers are trying to make rational decision when they compete with others in groundwater market.In general,monopoly is not fierce in Chinese rural groundwater market,with great variations among different villages and even different tubewells within one village.Tubewell costs,regulation and the density of tubewells are the main determinants that affect monopoly level of groundwater market.To make water market benefit more and more farmers of low income,corresponding policies are needed to modify its development in the future.
基金Phase Achievement of the Project "National Scientific-basic Special Fund in2008:Scientific Investigation in the Middlelower Reaches of the Lancang River and in Big Shangri-La Areas(Grant No.2008FY110300)"
文摘For natural resource science, resource productivity studying is an important subject. But researches on tourism resource productivity are limited. The most significant influencing factor on tourism resource productivity is the potential market scale of tourist locations, and second most important influencing factor is the resource endowment. Regional urban population is significantly correlated with region tourist numbers, being the decisive factor of region potential tour market scale. In tourism development, the dual model should be adopted: on one hand to enhance tour spot attractiveness, on the other hand to cultivate the potential market by improving urbanization level and other means. In the situation of tourism development fever spreading, the dual model for improving tourism productivity helps to avoid the "Great Leap Forward" which means that too rapid tourism construction divorces from actual market demand.
基金supported by the National Hi-Tech Research and Development Program of China ("863" Project) (Grant No. 2012BAB02B04)
文摘Uncertainty analysis and risk analysis are two important areas of modern water resource management,in which accurate variance estimation is required.The traditional runoff model is established under the assumption that the variance is a constant or it changes with the seasons.However,hydrological processes in the real world are often heteroscedastic,which can be tested by McLeod-Li test and Engle Lagrange multiplier test.In such cases,the GARCH model of hydrological processes is established in this article.First,the seasonal factors in the sequence are removed.Second,the traditional ARMA model is established.Then,the GARCH model is used to correct the residual.At last,the daily runoff data in 1949-2001 of Yichang Hydrological Station is taken to be an example.The result shows that compared to the traditional ARMA model,the GARCH model has the ability to predict more accurate confidence intervals under the same confidence level.