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城市水资源需求量变化趋势预测模型及应用 被引量:2
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作者 王春娟 冯利华 《水资源与水工程学报》 2012年第5期51-54,58,共5页
利用灰色关联分析,可挑选出与需水量关系较为紧密的影响因子,而利用前期的影响因子进行计算,可以使物元分析具有预测功能。讨论了物元分析的方法步骤及应用。结果表明:根据物元分析来预测未来义乌市需水量的变化趋势是较为理想的。
关键词 水资源 水资源需水量 物元分析 灰色关联分析
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PRESSURE OF WATER SHORTAGE ON AGRICULTURE IN ARID REGION OF CHINA 被引量:3
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作者 LI Xin (University of Science and Technology of Suzhou, Suzhou 215011, P.R.China) 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第2期124-129,共6页
The arid areas in China are mainly located in North China and NorthwestChina. The North China is the main region for food production. There is 31. 19% of the totalfarmland and 26. 01% of the total population, but only... The arid areas in China are mainly located in North China and NorthwestChina. The North China is the main region for food production. There is 31. 19% of the totalfarmland and 26. 01% of the total population, but only 6. 14% of the available water resources ofChina. Groundwater is over pumped (6. 53 X 10~9m^3 every year) in the regions of Beijing, Tianjin,and Hebei Province, so water supply could not meet the water demand there. The distribution of waterin Northwest China is uneven, some inland rivers and lakes are dried up, and desertification hasexpanded since river water in the upper and middle reaches is diverted for irrigation. Up to 2050,population will be up to 1. 6 X 10~9 in China, and industry will be developed fast, therefore 50% ofthe water supply will be used by industry and resident, and water for agriculture will be decreasedyear by year. In the coming 50 years, water demand for agriculture will be increased by 5. 6 x10^9m^3 in the Huanghe (Yellow) River valley, and by 1. 7 x 10~9m^3 in the Northwest China. It willbe impossible for the Huanghe River to meet the water demand, because it always dried up in the coldhalf year since 1984. To avoid water shortage of agriculture in the arid regions, it is necessaryto divert water from the Changjiang (Yangtze) River in the south of China, and to use waterefficiently. It is the best way to use drip irrigation in agriculture, recycle water in industry andresident use, and control water pollution. Otherwise water shortage in the arid regions willrestrict the development of agriculture in China. 展开更多
关键词 water shortage water demand AGRICULTURE arid region of china
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