The characteristics of climatic change and fiver runoff, as well as the response of fiver runoff to climatic change in the northern Xinjiang are analyzed on the basis of the hydrological and meteorological data over t...The characteristics of climatic change and fiver runoff, as well as the response of fiver runoff to climatic change in the northern Xinjiang are analyzed on the basis of the hydrological and meteorological data over the last 50 years by the methods of Mann-Kendall nonparametric test and the nonlinear regression model. The results show that: 1) The temperature and the precipitation increased significantly in the whole northern Xinjiang, but the precipitation displayed no obvious change, or even a decreasing trend in the northern mountainous area of the northern Xinjiang. 2) River runoff varied in different regions in the northern Xinjiang. It significantly increased in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains and the north of the northern Xinjiang (p = 0.05), while slightly ificreased in the west of the northern Xinjiang. 3) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) affects fiver runoff by influencing temperature and precipitation. The NAO and precipitation had apparent significant correlations with the fiver runoff, but the temperature did not in the northern Xinjiang. Since the mid-1990s fiver runoff increase was mainly caused by the increasing temperature in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains and the north of the northern Xinjiang. Increased precipitation resulted in increased fiver runoff in the west of the northern Xinjiang.展开更多
Traffic flow model is improved by introducing variable brake distances with varying slopes.Stability of the traffic flow on a gradient is analyzed and the neutral stability condition is obtained.The KdV(Korteweg-de Vr...Traffic flow model is improved by introducing variable brake distances with varying slopes.Stability of the traffic flow on a gradient is analyzed and the neutral stability condition is obtained.The KdV(Korteweg-de Vries)equation is derived the use of nonlinear analysis and soliton solution is obtained in the meta-stable region.Solitary density waves are reproduced in the numerical simulations.It is found that as uniform headway is less than the safety distance solitary wave exhibits upward form,otherwise it exhibits downward form.In general the numerical results are in good agreement with the analytical results.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of Knowledge Innovation Programs of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZCX2-YW-127, KZCX2-XB2-03-01, KZCX2-Q10-5-4)
文摘The characteristics of climatic change and fiver runoff, as well as the response of fiver runoff to climatic change in the northern Xinjiang are analyzed on the basis of the hydrological and meteorological data over the last 50 years by the methods of Mann-Kendall nonparametric test and the nonlinear regression model. The results show that: 1) The temperature and the precipitation increased significantly in the whole northern Xinjiang, but the precipitation displayed no obvious change, or even a decreasing trend in the northern mountainous area of the northern Xinjiang. 2) River runoff varied in different regions in the northern Xinjiang. It significantly increased in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains and the north of the northern Xinjiang (p = 0.05), while slightly ificreased in the west of the northern Xinjiang. 3) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) affects fiver runoff by influencing temperature and precipitation. The NAO and precipitation had apparent significant correlations with the fiver runoff, but the temperature did not in the northern Xinjiang. Since the mid-1990s fiver runoff increase was mainly caused by the increasing temperature in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains and the north of the northern Xinjiang. Increased precipitation resulted in increased fiver runoff in the west of the northern Xinjiang.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 61174175Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 20100481265+1 种基金Special Foundation for Postdoctoral Innovation Program of Shandong Province under Grant No. 201102025the Scientific Project of Jinan City under Grant No. 201118006
文摘Traffic flow model is improved by introducing variable brake distances with varying slopes.Stability of the traffic flow on a gradient is analyzed and the neutral stability condition is obtained.The KdV(Korteweg-de Vries)equation is derived the use of nonlinear analysis and soliton solution is obtained in the meta-stable region.Solitary density waves are reproduced in the numerical simulations.It is found that as uniform headway is less than the safety distance solitary wave exhibits upward form,otherwise it exhibits downward form.In general the numerical results are in good agreement with the analytical results.