期刊文献+
共找到8篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
基于正交小波变换的LSTM-ARIMA海上风速组合预测模型 被引量:7
1
作者 田书欣 韩雪 《智慧电力》 北大核心 2023年第7期39-43,50,共6页
海上环境的复杂使得单一的预测模型难以适应海上风速的间歇性与波动性。采用正交小波变换(OWT)将海上风速序列分解为低频子序列与高频子序列,再分别采用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型预测分解后的低频子序列,自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型... 海上环境的复杂使得单一的预测模型难以适应海上风速的间歇性与波动性。采用正交小波变换(OWT)将海上风速序列分解为低频子序列与高频子序列,再分别采用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型预测分解后的低频子序列,自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型预测高频子序列,最后将两组预测序列组合,形成完整的风速预测结果。最后分别采用单一模型、组合模型对不同季节的典型日的风速进行预测,将单一模型预测曲线,组合模型预测曲线以及真实值预测曲线进行对比分析,结果表明相比单一模型,组合后的模型能提高预测的准确性与稳定性。 展开更多
关键词 海上短期风速预测 OWT LSTM ARIMA
下载PDF
基于改进SARIMA-LSTM的海上风速预测方法 被引量:4
2
作者 余聪聪 熊才权 +1 位作者 徐仕强 古小惠 《湖北工业大学学报》 2022年第1期24-28,53,共6页
为了提高海上风速预测的精度,提出了一种基于局部加权回归的周期趋势分解(STL)改进的季节性差分自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)和长短时记忆(LSTM)神经网络的海上风速预测方法。首先通过STL分解原始风速时间序列,提高SARIMA模型季节性差分... 为了提高海上风速预测的精度,提出了一种基于局部加权回归的周期趋势分解(STL)改进的季节性差分自回归移动平均模型(SARIMA)和长短时记忆(LSTM)神经网络的海上风速预测方法。首先通过STL分解原始风速时间序列,提高SARIMA模型季节性差分步长的准确性,再使用SARIMA模型对观测的风速序列数据进行预测,得到预测值以及预测值与观测值之间的残差;然后用残差样本集训练长短时记忆神经网络并对残差进行预测;最后将两部分得到的预测值求和得到风速序列的预测值。选定3个不同地点分别进行仿真实验并与改进前方法进行比较,结果表明改进后模型的预测精度更高,误差更小。 展开更多
关键词 海上风速预测 差分步长 季节性差分自回归移动平均
下载PDF
应用泊松耿贝尔分布估算海上极端风速
3
作者 蒋承霖 《气象科学》 北大核心 2023年第6期847-852,共6页
采用泊松耿贝尔分布,基于中国气象局发布的《CMA-STI热带气旋最佳路径数据集》资料来估算海上极端风速,并以上川岛气象站多年实测资料通过概率评估来加以验证。结果表明,采用泊松耿贝尔分布可以得到较为保守的海上极值风速取值。对于海... 采用泊松耿贝尔分布,基于中国气象局发布的《CMA-STI热带气旋最佳路径数据集》资料来估算海上极端风速,并以上川岛气象站多年实测资料通过概率评估来加以验证。结果表明,采用泊松耿贝尔分布可以得到较为保守的海上极值风速取值。对于海上的小面积区域的重现期风速估算,采用50 km半径区域进行评估,可以得到较为合理的估算结果,当评估区域较大时,则需考虑适当扩大评估半径。 展开更多
关键词 热带气旋 泊松耿贝尔分布 海上极端风速
下载PDF
不同海面风速对量子卫星星舰通信性能的影响 被引量:8
4
作者 聂敏 张帆 +3 位作者 杨光 张美玲 孙爱晶 裴昌幸 《物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2021年第4期91-96,共6页
量子卫星星舰通信是量子保密通信的重要应用场景之一,在海面上,由于不同风速所引起的气溶胶粒子浓度发生剧烈变化,而气溶胶粒子浓度的剧变,必然导致星舰量子链路性能的剧烈衰减.然而,有关不同海面风速与量子卫星星舰通信信道参数关系的... 量子卫星星舰通信是量子保密通信的重要应用场景之一,在海面上,由于不同风速所引起的气溶胶粒子浓度发生剧烈变化,而气溶胶粒子浓度的剧变,必然导致星舰量子链路性能的剧烈衰减.然而,有关不同海面风速与量子卫星星舰通信信道参数关系的研究,迄今尚未展开.本文根据海面风速与气溶胶的Gras模型,分别建立了风速与星舰量子信道误码率、信道容量和信道平均保真度的定量关系.仿真结果表明,当风速分别为4 m/s和20 m/s时,海洋大气信道误码率、信道容量、信道平均保真度分别依次为4.62×10^-3和4.91×10^-3、0.957和0.65、0.999和0.974.由此可见,风速对海上量子通信性能有显著的影响.因此,为了提高通信的可靠性,应根据风速大小,自适应调整系统的各项参数. 展开更多
关键词 气溶胶粒子浓度 海上风速 量子卫星通信 退极化信道
下载PDF
海洋风速动态仿真及其在平台模拟系统中的应用 被引量:2
5
作者 谭婕 汪学锋 《中国造船》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2014年第1期149-157,共9页
针对海洋平台模拟系统中海上风速的动态仿真要求,综合分析多种风速模型,开发了海洋风速动态仿真模型。该模型在组合风速基本模型基础上加以改进,加入海上不同高度风速计算以及海面波浪状态等因素,并导入了无参数化随机风模拟方法。在开... 针对海洋平台模拟系统中海上风速的动态仿真要求,综合分析多种风速模型,开发了海洋风速动态仿真模型。该模型在组合风速基本模型基础上加以改进,加入海上不同高度风速计算以及海面波浪状态等因素,并导入了无参数化随机风模拟方法。在开发模拟程序、选定参数的基础上,进行了海上随机风仿真模拟,模拟过程快速且结果较为真实,模拟效果良好,并实际应用于海洋平台模拟系统的随机风模拟中。 展开更多
关键词 海上风速 模拟系统 组合风速模型
下载PDF
Analysis of offshore wind energy resources of China 被引量:1
6
作者 李希彬 孙晓燕 +1 位作者 李慧颖 张秋丰 《Marine Science Bulletin》 CAS 2015年第2期1-8,共8页
With the economic development, the problems of energy shortage become increasingly severe. As offshore wind energy has advantages, namely it is clean, renewable, not accounting for land area, without noise pollution, ... With the economic development, the problems of energy shortage become increasingly severe. As offshore wind energy has advantages, namely it is clean, renewable, not accounting for land area, without noise pollution, with large reserves, etc., which gradually attracts people's attention. In this paper, China's offshore annual average wind field and monthly average wind field under the mean climate state conditions are obtained, and the corresponding wind density distribution is calculated. China's offshore wind energy reserves and distribution conditions through the analysis of wind energy density distribution are summarized, and finally some suggestions for coastal offshore wind energy development and utilization in China are put forward. 展开更多
关键词 renewable energy offshore wind energy China offshore wind speed wind power density
下载PDF
Dynamic Characteristics Analysis of the Offshore Wind Turbine Blades 被引量:2
7
作者 李静 陈健云 陈小波 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2011年第1期82-87,共6页
The topic of offshore wind energy is attracting more and more attention as the energy crisis heightens.The blades are the key components of offshore wind turbines,and their dynamic characteristics directly determine t... The topic of offshore wind energy is attracting more and more attention as the energy crisis heightens.The blades are the key components of offshore wind turbines,and their dynamic characteristics directly determine the effectiveness of offshore wind turbines.With different rotating speeds and blade length,the rotating blades generate various centrifugal stiffening effects.To directly analyze the centrifugal stiffening effect of blades,the Rayleigh energy method (REM) was used to derive the natural frequency equation of the blade,including the centrifugal stiffening effect and the axial force calculation formula.The axial force planes and the first to third order natural frequency planes which vary with the rotating speed and length were calculated in three-dimensional coordinates.The centrifugal stiffening coefficient was introduced to quantitatively study the relationship between the centrifugal stiffening degree and the rotating speed,and then the fundamental frequency correction formula was built based on the rotating speed and the blade length.The analysis results show that the calculation results of the fundamental frequency correction formula agree with the theoretical calculation results.The error of calculation results between them is less than 0.5%. 展开更多
关键词 centrifugal stiffening effect blade dynamic characteristic stiffening coefficient natural frequency offshore wind turbine
下载PDF
An experimental study on the effects of relative rotation direction on the wake interferences among tandem wind turbines 被引量:5
8
作者 YUAN Wei TIAN Wei +1 位作者 OZBAY Ahmet HU Hui 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第5期935-949,共15页
An experimental study was conducted to investigate the effects of relative rotation direction on the wake interferences among two tandemwind turbines models.While the oncoming flow conditions were kept in constant dur... An experimental study was conducted to investigate the effects of relative rotation direction on the wake interferences among two tandemwind turbines models.While the oncoming flow conditions were kept in constant during the experiments,turbine power outputs,wind loads acting on the turbines,and wake characteristics behind the turbines were compared quantitatively with turbine models in either co-rotating or counter-rotating configuration.The measurement results reveal that the turbines in counter-rotating would harvest more wind energy from the same oncoming wind,compared with the co-rotating case.While the recovery of the streamwise velocity deficits in the wake flows was found to be almost identical with the turbines operated in either co-rotating or counter-rotating,the significant azimuthal velocity generated in the wake flow behind the upstream turbine is believed to be the reason why the counter-rotating turbines would have a better power production performance.Since the azimuthal flow velocity in the wake flow was found to decrease monotonically with the increasing downstream distance,the benefits of the counter-rotating configuration were found to decrease gradually as the spacing between the tandem turbines increases.While the counter-rotating downstream turbine was found to produce up to 20%more power compared with that of co-rotating configuration with the turbine spacing being about 0.7D,the advantage was found to become almost negligible when the turbine spacing becomes greater than 6.5D.It suggests that the counter-rotating configuration design would be more beneficial to turbines in onshore wind farms due to the smaller turbine spacing(i.e.,~3 rotor diameters for onshore wind farms vs.~7 rotor diameters for offshore wind farms in the prevailing wind direction),especially for those turbines sited over complex terrains with the turbine spacing only about 1–2 rotor diameters. 展开更多
关键词 wind energy wind turbine aerodynamics wind turbine wake interference complex vortex flows
原文传递
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部