A novel method is proposed to obtain the power spectra of hidden variables in a chaotic time series. By embedding the data in phase space , and recording the conditional probability density of points that the trajecto...A novel method is proposed to obtain the power spectra of hidden variables in a chaotic time series. By embedding the data in phase space , and recording the conditional probability density of points that the trajectory encounters as it evolves in the reconstructed phase space, it is possible to recover the power spectra of hidden variables in chaotic time series through a spectral analysis over the conditional probability density time series. The method is robust in the application to Lorenz system, 4 dimension Rssler system and rigid body motion by linear feedback system (LFRBM). Applying the method to the time series of sea surface temperature (SST) of the South China Sea, we obtained the power spectra of the wind speed (WS) from SST data. Furthermore, the results showed that there exists an important nonlinear interaction between the SST and the WS.展开更多
El Nio events in the central equatorial Pacific (CP) are gaining increased attention,due to their increasing intensity within the global warming context.Various physical processes have been identified in the climate s...El Nio events in the central equatorial Pacific (CP) are gaining increased attention,due to their increasing intensity within the global warming context.Various physical processes have been identified in the climate system that can be responsible for the modulation of El Nio,especially the effects of interannual salinity variability.In this work,a comprehensive data analysis is performed to illustrate the effects of interannual salinity variability using surface and subsurface salinity fields from the Met Office ENSEMBLES (EN3) quality controlled ocean dataset.It is demonstrated that during the developing phase of an El Nio event,a negative sea surface salinity (SSS) anomaly in the western-central basin acts to freshen the mixed layer (ML),decrease oceanic density in the upper ocean,and stabilize the upper layers.These related oceanic processes tend to reduce the vertical mixing and entrainment of subsurface water at the base of the ML,which further enhances the warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the El Nio event.However,the effects of interannually variable salinity are much more significant during the CP-El Nio than during the eastern Pacific (EP) El Nio,indicating that the salinity effect might be an important contributor to the development of CP-El Nio events.展开更多
A historical run(1993–2014)of a global,eddy-permitting,hybrid coordinate ocean model(HYCOM)is evaluated against observations.The authors evaluate several metrics in the model,including the spatial distribution of sea...A historical run(1993–2014)of a global,eddy-permitting,hybrid coordinate ocean model(HYCOM)is evaluated against observations.The authors evaluate several metrics in the model,including the spatial distribution of sea surface temperature(SST),the zonally averaged seasonal cycle of SST,the variability of the sea level anomaly(SLA),the zonally and meridionally averaged temperature and salinity,and the equatorial undercurrent.It is found that the simulated seasonal cycle of SST is 0.2–0.8 stronger than observed at midlatitudes.The modeled SST is 0.29°C warmer than the observed for the global ocean.the structure of the subsurface temperature and salinity is similar to the observed.moreover,the variability of SLA exhibits the same pattern as observed.The modeled equatorial undercurrent in the pacific ocean is weaker than observed,but stronger than the ecco reanalysis product.overall,the model can reproduce the large-scale ocean states,and is suitable for analyses seeking to better understand the dynamics and thermodynamics of the upper ocean,as well as ocean variability.展开更多
文摘A novel method is proposed to obtain the power spectra of hidden variables in a chaotic time series. By embedding the data in phase space , and recording the conditional probability density of points that the trajectory encounters as it evolves in the reconstructed phase space, it is possible to recover the power spectra of hidden variables in chaotic time series through a spectral analysis over the conditional probability density time series. The method is robust in the application to Lorenz system, 4 dimension Rssler system and rigid body motion by linear feedback system (LFRBM). Applying the method to the time series of sea surface temperature (SST) of the South China Sea, we obtained the power spectra of the wind speed (WS) from SST data. Furthermore, the results showed that there exists an important nonlinear interaction between the SST and the WS.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant Nos.2012CB955202and2012CB41740)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41075064,41176014,and41006016)
文摘El Nio events in the central equatorial Pacific (CP) are gaining increased attention,due to their increasing intensity within the global warming context.Various physical processes have been identified in the climate system that can be responsible for the modulation of El Nio,especially the effects of interannual salinity variability.In this work,a comprehensive data analysis is performed to illustrate the effects of interannual salinity variability using surface and subsurface salinity fields from the Met Office ENSEMBLES (EN3) quality controlled ocean dataset.It is demonstrated that during the developing phase of an El Nio event,a negative sea surface salinity (SSS) anomaly in the western-central basin acts to freshen the mixed layer (ML),decrease oceanic density in the upper ocean,and stabilize the upper layers.These related oceanic processes tend to reduce the vertical mixing and entrainment of subsurface water at the base of the ML,which further enhances the warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the El Nio event.However,the effects of interannually variable salinity are much more significant during the CP-El Nio than during the eastern Pacific (EP) El Nio,indicating that the salinity effect might be an important contributor to the development of CP-El Nio events.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China [Grant No.2016YFC1401705]the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant Nos.41176015 and41776041]+2 种基金the Chinese Academy Sciences Project ‘Western Pacific Ocean System:Structure,Dynamics and Consequences’[Grant No.XDA11010203]confidencial military project [Grant No.315030401]the State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography,South China Sea Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences [Project No.LTO1501]
文摘A historical run(1993–2014)of a global,eddy-permitting,hybrid coordinate ocean model(HYCOM)is evaluated against observations.The authors evaluate several metrics in the model,including the spatial distribution of sea surface temperature(SST),the zonally averaged seasonal cycle of SST,the variability of the sea level anomaly(SLA),the zonally and meridionally averaged temperature and salinity,and the equatorial undercurrent.It is found that the simulated seasonal cycle of SST is 0.2–0.8 stronger than observed at midlatitudes.The modeled SST is 0.29°C warmer than the observed for the global ocean.the structure of the subsurface temperature and salinity is similar to the observed.moreover,the variability of SLA exhibits the same pattern as observed.The modeled equatorial undercurrent in the pacific ocean is weaker than observed,but stronger than the ecco reanalysis product.overall,the model can reproduce the large-scale ocean states,and is suitable for analyses seeking to better understand the dynamics and thermodynamics of the upper ocean,as well as ocean variability.