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考虑混合不确定性信息的产品多属性方案评价 被引量:4
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作者 丛东升 尚建忠 +1 位作者 张瑞军 罗自荣 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第9期2409-2415,共7页
针对当前产品方案评价方法对随机性、区间性、模糊性等混合不确定性信息考虑不足,其量化过程没有真实反映产品方案本质属性的问题,提出产品方案评价中考虑混合不确定性信息的产品多属性方案评价方法.对混合不确定性信息进行精准表征,并... 针对当前产品方案评价方法对随机性、区间性、模糊性等混合不确定性信息考虑不足,其量化过程没有真实反映产品方案本质属性的问题,提出产品方案评价中考虑混合不确定性信息的产品多属性方案评价方法.对混合不确定性信息进行精准表征,并构造容信度科学、精确量化混合不确定性信息;同时,构建基于混合不确定性信息容信度的产品方案评价模型,计算混合不确定性信息的容信度和理想度,利用方案优选定理实现产品方案的评价优选,并通过实例进行了验证. 展开更多
关键词 混合不确定性信息 方案评价 容信度 理想度 无人搬运汽车机器人
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A New Hybrid Reliability Index Definition and Its Application to the Structure Buckling Reliability Analysis of Supercavitating Projectiles
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作者 周凌 李志涛 +1 位作者 韩景壮 张楠 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2016年第4期467-471,共5页
As structure buckling problems easily arise when supercavitating projectiles operate with high underwater velocity, it is necessary to perform structure buckling reliability analysis. Now it is widely known that proba... As structure buckling problems easily arise when supercavitating projectiles operate with high underwater velocity, it is necessary to perform structure buckling reliability analysis. Now it is widely known that probabilistic and non-probabilistic uncertain information exists in engineering analysis. Based on reliability comprehensive index of multi-ellipsoid convex set, probabilistic uncertain information is added and transferred into non-probabilistic interval variable. The hybrid reliability is calculated by a combined method of modified limit step length iteration algorithm(MLSLIA) and Monte-Carlo method. The results of engineering examples show that the convergence of MLSLIA is better than that of limit step length iteration algorithm(LSLIA). Structure buckling hybrid reliability increases with the increase of ratio of base diameter to cavitator diameter, and decreases with the increase of initial launch velocity. Also the changes of uncertain degree of projectile velocity and cavitator drag coefficient affect structure buckling hybrid reliability index obviously. Therefore, uncertain degree of projectile velocity and cavitator drag coefficient should be controlled in project for high structure buckling reliability. 展开更多
关键词 supercavitating projectile structure buckling hybrid reliability modified limit step length iteration algorithm (MLSLIA) Monte-Carlo method
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