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ICAPM模型在我国沪市的检验——基于混合数据抽样法
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作者 温育涵 《大庆社会科学》 2009年第5期99-101,共3页
通过运用混合抽样技术法,对跨期资本资产定价模型在沪市的有效性检验进行了初步的尝试。结果表明,虽然在总体样本期间ICAPM并不成立,但在某些样本区间市场指数的表现仍然符合该模型。
关键词 跨期资本资产定价模型 混合数据抽样法 实证检验
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计及风电场出力相关性的电力系统概率潮流研究 被引量:1
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作者 武继聪 《电工技术》 2023年第13期47-49,53,共4页
随着我国“碳达峰”和“碳中和”目标的提出,风电在作为一种可再生能源缓解了我国资源匮乏的现状的同时,其出力的不确定性及多风电场之间的相关性对电力系统潮流分析带来了挑战。基于风电场实际出力,构建多风电场出力样本数据集,克服单... 随着我国“碳达峰”和“碳中和”目标的提出,风电在作为一种可再生能源缓解了我国资源匮乏的现状的同时,其出力的不确定性及多风电场之间的相关性对电力系统潮流分析带来了挑战。基于风电场实际出力,构建多风电场出力样本数据集,克服单一Copula模型刻画不全面的缺点,综合拟合效果好的Copula模型,提出通过最小二乘法完成参数辨识的混合Copula模型。针对混合Copula模型的特性建立其特有的混合抽样法,提出计及风电场出力相关性的电力系统概率潮流分析流程,并通过对河北风电场的算例分析,验证了所建立的出力模型以及抽样方法在计及多风电场出力相关性的电力系统概率潮流计算方面的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 相关性 混合Copula 最小二乘法 混合抽样法 概率潮流
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Bayesian Empirical Likelihood Estimation of Quantile Structural Equation Models 被引量:7
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作者 ZHANG Yanqing TANG Niansheng 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第1期122-138,共17页
Structural equation model(SEM) is a multivariate analysis tool that has been widely applied to many fields such as biomedical and social sciences. In the traditional SEM, it is often assumed that random errors and exp... Structural equation model(SEM) is a multivariate analysis tool that has been widely applied to many fields such as biomedical and social sciences. In the traditional SEM, it is often assumed that random errors and explanatory latent variables follow the normal distribution, and the effect of explanatory latent variables on outcomes can be formulated by a mean regression-type structural equation. But this SEM may be inappropriate in some cases where random errors or latent variables are highly nonnormal. The authors develop a new SEM, called as quantile SEM(QSEM), by allowing for a quantile regression-type structural equation and without distribution assumption of random errors and latent variables. A Bayesian empirical likelihood(BEL) method is developed to simultaneously estimate parameters and latent variables based on the estimating equation method. A hybrid algorithm combining the Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is presented to sample observations required for statistical inference. Latent variables are imputed by the estimated density function and the linear interpolation method. A simulation study and an example are presented to investigate the performance of the proposed methodologies. 展开更多
关键词 Bayesian empirical likelihood estimating equations latent variable models MCMC algo-rithm quantile regression structural equation models.
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