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基于混合RBF网络模型的汽车保有量组合预测 被引量:5
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作者 朱灿 周和平 钟璧樯 《长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2011年第2期13-16,共4页
建立了汽车保有量预测的ARIMA和Logistic曲线拟合模型.并以ARIMA模型和Logistic模型为前期预测模型,引入混合RBF网络模型,构建了非线性组合预测模型.该混合RBF网络模型由RBF网络和线性回归项构成,以前期模型预测值作为RBF网络的输入,以... 建立了汽车保有量预测的ARIMA和Logistic曲线拟合模型.并以ARIMA模型和Logistic模型为前期预测模型,引入混合RBF网络模型,构建了非线性组合预测模型.该混合RBF网络模型由RBF网络和线性回归项构成,以前期模型预测值作为RBF网络的输入,以最终预测值为RBF网络的输出,本质上是对线性残差进行RBF网络拟合.结合苏州市2000~2009年汽车保有量数据,利用本方法预测该市特征年汽车规模,结论表明本方法误差最小. 展开更多
关键词 ARIMA模型 Logistic曲线 组合预测 混合rbf网络
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基于混合优化的RBF神经网络集成的降水预报模型 被引量:5
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作者 蒋林利 《柳州师专学报》 2012年第2期113-119,共7页
针对传统的单个RBF神经网络集成中个体的隐节点个数和初始参数难以客观确定的不足,为了提高泛化能力,提出一种以高斯核函数的混合优化的RBF神经网络的方法,首先引入正交最小二乘法动态客观的获取数据中心的个数、数据中心及权值;然后通... 针对传统的单个RBF神经网络集成中个体的隐节点个数和初始参数难以客观确定的不足,为了提高泛化能力,提出一种以高斯核函数的混合优化的RBF神经网络的方法,首先引入正交最小二乘法动态客观的获取数据中心的个数、数据中心及权值;然后通过计算隐层中心点间最小距离作为扩展常数;最后使用剃度法调节权值、中心及扩展常数使网络参数和结构达到最优.该方法结合了正交最小二乘法和剃度算法的优点,通过从结构和算法两方面的调整提升了单个的传统的RBF网络的性能.并将上述优化混合的RBF神经网络与主成分分析方法相结合建立模型.本文以广西5月逐日降水事先初选的众多预报因子进行主成分分析算法提取有效的几个综合因子,然后使用混合算法优化的径向基网络建立降水预测模型.结果表明,该模型具有较好的收敛效果和泛化能力,在预报性能上明显优于同期的T213降水预报,具有一定的普遍适用性. 展开更多
关键词 主成分分析 混合优化的rbf神经网络 核函数 预测
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Groundwater level prediction based on hybrid hierarchy genetic algorithm and RBF neural network 被引量:1
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作者 屈吉鸿 黄强 +1 位作者 陈南祥 徐建新 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2007年第2期170-174,共5页
As the traditional non-linear systems generally based on gradient descent optimization method have some shortage in the field of groundwater level prediction, the paper, according to structure, algorithm and shortcomi... As the traditional non-linear systems generally based on gradient descent optimization method have some shortage in the field of groundwater level prediction, the paper, according to structure, algorithm and shortcoming of the conventional radial basis function neural network (RBF NN), presented a new improved genetic algorithm (GA): hybrid hierarchy genetic algorithm (HHGA). In training RBF NN, the algorithm can automatically determine the structure and parameters of RBF based on the given sample data. Compared with the traditional groundwater level prediction model based on back propagation (BP) or RBF NN, the new prediction model based on HHGA and RBF NN can greatly increase the convergence speed and precision. 展开更多
关键词 hybrid hierarchy genetic algorithm radial basis function neural network groundwater level prediction model
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Hybrid optimization model and its application in prediction of gas emission 被引量:1
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作者 FU Hua SHU Dan-dan +1 位作者 KANG Hai-chao YANG Yi-kui 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2012年第3期280-284,共5页
According to the complex nonlinear relationship between gas emission and its effect factors, and the shortcomings that basic colony algorithm is slow, prone to early maturity and stagnation during the search, we intro... According to the complex nonlinear relationship between gas emission and its effect factors, and the shortcomings that basic colony algorithm is slow, prone to early maturity and stagnation during the search, we introduced a hybrid optimization strategy into a max-rain ant colony algorithm, then use this improved ant colony algorithm to estimate the scope of RBF network parameters. According to the amount of pheromone of discrete points, the authors obtained from the interval of net- work parameters, ants optimize network parameters. Finally, local spatial expansion is introduced to get further optimization of the network. Therefore, we obtain a better time efficiency and solution efficiency optimization model called hybrid improved max-min ant system (H1-MMAS). Simulation experiments, using these theory to predict the gas emission from the working face, show that the proposed method have high prediction feasibility and it is an effective method to predict gas emission. 展开更多
关键词 max-rain ant colony algorithm optimization model gas emission PREDICTION
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