Using numerical model simulations, global surface temperature is projected to increase by l^C to 4~C during the 21 st century, primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. In the present stu...Using numerical model simulations, global surface temperature is projected to increase by l^C to 4~C during the 21 st century, primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. In the present study, a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative sce- narios of future emissions over the 21st century.展开更多
The agricultural soil carbon pool plays an important role in mitigating greenhouse gas emission ana unaerstanamg the son orgamc carbon-climate-soil texture relationship is of great significance for estimating cropland...The agricultural soil carbon pool plays an important role in mitigating greenhouse gas emission ana unaerstanamg the son orgamc carbon-climate-soil texture relationship is of great significance for estimating cropland soil carbon pool responses to climate change. Using data from 900 soil profiles, obtained from the Second National Soil Survey of China, we investigated the soil organic carbon (SOC) depth distribution in relation to climate and soil texture under various climate regimes of the cold northeast region (NER) and the warmer Huang-Huai-Hai region (HHHR) of China. The results demonstrated that the SOC content was higher in NER than in HHHR. For both regions, the SOC content at all soil depths had significant negative relationships with mean annual temperature (MAT), but was related to mean annual precipitation (MAP) just at the surface 0-20 cm. The climate effect on SOC content was more pronounced in NER than in HHHR. Regional differences in the effect of soil texture on SOC content were not found. However, the dominant texture factors were different. The effect of sand content on SOC was more pronounced than that of clay content in NER. Conversely, the effect of clay on SOC was more pronounced than sand in HHHR. Climate and soil texture jointly explained the greatest SOC variability of 49.0% (0-20 cm) and 33.5% (20-30 cm) in NER and HHHR, respectively. Moreover, regional differences occurred in the importance of climate vs. soil texture in explaining SOC variability. In NER, the SOC content of the shallow layers (0-30 cm) was mainly determined by climate factor, specifically MAT, but the SOC content of the deeper soil layers (30-100 cm) was more affected by texture factor, specifically sand content. In HHHR, all the SOC variability in all soil layers was predominantly best explained by clay content. Therefore, when temperature was colder, the climate effect became stronger and this trend was restricted by soil depth. The regional differences and soil depth influence underscored the importance of explicitly considering them in modeling long-term soil responses to climate change and predicting potential soil carbon sequestration.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.40890052 and 41275087)
文摘Using numerical model simulations, global surface temperature is projected to increase by l^C to 4~C during the 21 st century, primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. In the present study, a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative sce- narios of future emissions over the 21st century.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40921061)the"Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change:Carbon Budget and Related Issues"of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDA05050509)the National Basic Research Program(973 Program)of China(No.2010CB950702)
文摘The agricultural soil carbon pool plays an important role in mitigating greenhouse gas emission ana unaerstanamg the son orgamc carbon-climate-soil texture relationship is of great significance for estimating cropland soil carbon pool responses to climate change. Using data from 900 soil profiles, obtained from the Second National Soil Survey of China, we investigated the soil organic carbon (SOC) depth distribution in relation to climate and soil texture under various climate regimes of the cold northeast region (NER) and the warmer Huang-Huai-Hai region (HHHR) of China. The results demonstrated that the SOC content was higher in NER than in HHHR. For both regions, the SOC content at all soil depths had significant negative relationships with mean annual temperature (MAT), but was related to mean annual precipitation (MAP) just at the surface 0-20 cm. The climate effect on SOC content was more pronounced in NER than in HHHR. Regional differences in the effect of soil texture on SOC content were not found. However, the dominant texture factors were different. The effect of sand content on SOC was more pronounced than that of clay content in NER. Conversely, the effect of clay on SOC was more pronounced than sand in HHHR. Climate and soil texture jointly explained the greatest SOC variability of 49.0% (0-20 cm) and 33.5% (20-30 cm) in NER and HHHR, respectively. Moreover, regional differences occurred in the importance of climate vs. soil texture in explaining SOC variability. In NER, the SOC content of the shallow layers (0-30 cm) was mainly determined by climate factor, specifically MAT, but the SOC content of the deeper soil layers (30-100 cm) was more affected by texture factor, specifically sand content. In HHHR, all the SOC variability in all soil layers was predominantly best explained by clay content. Therefore, when temperature was colder, the climate effect became stronger and this trend was restricted by soil depth. The regional differences and soil depth influence underscored the importance of explicitly considering them in modeling long-term soil responses to climate change and predicting potential soil carbon sequestration.