The annual series of δ13C were measured in tree rings of three Cryptomeria fortunei disks (OF-1, OF-2, and OF- 3) collected from West Tianmu Mountain, Zhejiang Province, China, according to cross-dating tree ring a...The annual series of δ13C were measured in tree rings of three Cryptomeria fortunei disks (OF-1, OF-2, and OF- 3) collected from West Tianmu Mountain, Zhejiang Province, China, according to cross-dating tree ring ages. There was no obvious decreasing trend of the δ13C annual time series of CF-2 before 1835. However, from 1835 to 1982 the three tree ring δ13C annual series exhibited similar decreasing trends that were significantly (P ≤ 0.001) correlated. The distribution characteristics of a scatter diagram between estimated δ13C series of CF-2 from modeling and the atmospheric CO2 concentration extracted from the Law Dome ice core from 1840 to 1978 were analyzed and a curvilinear regression equation for reconstructing atmospheric CO2 concentration was established with R2 = 0.98. Also, a test of independent samples indicated that between 1685 and 1839 the reconstructed atmospheric CO2 concentration .using the δ13C series of CF-2 had a close relationship with the Law Dome and Siple ice cores, with a standard deviation of 1.98. The general increasing trend of the reconstructed atmospheric CO2 concentration closely reflected the 10ng-term variation of atmospheric CO2 concentration recorded both before and after the Industrial Revolution. Between 1685 and 1840 the evaluated atmospheric CO2 concentration was stable, but after 1840 it exhibited a rapid increase. Given a longer δ13C annual time series of tree rings, it was feasible to rebuild a representative time series to describe the atmospheric CO2 concentration for an earlier period and for years that were not in the ice core record.展开更多
The performance of a joint data assimilation system(Tan-Tracker),which is based on the PODEn4 Dvar assimilation method,in assimilating Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT) carbon dioxide(CO2) data,was eva...The performance of a joint data assimilation system(Tan-Tracker),which is based on the PODEn4 Dvar assimilation method,in assimilating Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT) carbon dioxide(CO2) data,was evaluated.Atmospheric 3D CO2 concentrations and CO2 surface fluxes(CFs) from2010 were simulated using a global chemistry transport model(GEOS-Chem).TheTan-Tracker system used the simulated CO2 concentrations and fluxes as a background field and assimilated the GOSAT column average dry-air mole fraction of CO2(X(CO2)) data to optimize CO2 concentrations and CFs in the same assimilation window.Monthly simulated X(CO2)(X(CO2)Sim)) and assimilated X(CO2)(X(CO2),TT) data retrieved at different satellite scan positions were compared with GOSAT-observed X(CO2)(X(CO2),obs)data.The average RMSE between the monthly X(CO2),TT and X(CO2),Obs data was significantly(30%) lower than the average RMSE between X(CO2),Sim and X(CO2),Obs).Specifically,reductions in error were found for the positions of northern Africa(the Sahara),the Indian peninsula,southern Africa,southern North America,and western Australia.The difference between the correlation coefficients of the X(CO2),Sim)and X(CO2),Obs and those of the X(CO2)Π),TT and X(CO2),Obs was only small.In general,the Tan-Tracker system performed very well after assimilating the GOSAT data.展开更多
The authors examine the equilibrium climatic response to the direct radiative effect (DRE) of mineral dust and sea salt aerosols in a doubled-CO2 climate with two-way coupling of aerosol-climate interactions.In resp...The authors examine the equilibrium climatic response to the direct radiative effect (DRE) of mineral dust and sea salt aerosols in a doubled-CO2 climate with two-way coupling of aerosol-climate interactions.In response to the drier and windier conditions,dust emissions increase by 26% in the Sahara Desert and by 18% on the global scale relative to present day.Sea salt emissions increase in high latitudes (>60°) but decrease in middle latitudes (30°-60°) of both hemispheres due to the poleward shift of westerlies,leading to a 3% decrease in global emissions.The burdens of dust and sea salt increase by 31% and 7% respectively,because reductions in rainfall over the tropical oceans increase the lifetime of particles in the warmer climate.The higher aerosol loading in the doubled-CO2 climate reinforces aerosol DRE by -0.2 W m-2,leading to an additional cooling of 0.1℃ at the surface compared with the climatic effects of aerosols in present day.The additional cooling from changes in natural aerosols compensates for up to 15% of the regional warming induced by doubled CO2.展开更多
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 49771001).
文摘The annual series of δ13C were measured in tree rings of three Cryptomeria fortunei disks (OF-1, OF-2, and OF- 3) collected from West Tianmu Mountain, Zhejiang Province, China, according to cross-dating tree ring ages. There was no obvious decreasing trend of the δ13C annual time series of CF-2 before 1835. However, from 1835 to 1982 the three tree ring δ13C annual series exhibited similar decreasing trends that were significantly (P ≤ 0.001) correlated. The distribution characteristics of a scatter diagram between estimated δ13C series of CF-2 from modeling and the atmospheric CO2 concentration extracted from the Law Dome ice core from 1840 to 1978 were analyzed and a curvilinear regression equation for reconstructing atmospheric CO2 concentration was established with R2 = 0.98. Also, a test of independent samples indicated that between 1685 and 1839 the reconstructed atmospheric CO2 concentration .using the δ13C series of CF-2 had a close relationship with the Law Dome and Siple ice cores, with a standard deviation of 1.98. The general increasing trend of the reconstructed atmospheric CO2 concentration closely reflected the 10ng-term variation of atmospheric CO2 concentration recorded both before and after the Industrial Revolution. Between 1685 and 1840 the evaluated atmospheric CO2 concentration was stable, but after 1840 it exhibited a rapid increase. Given a longer δ13C annual time series of tree rings, it was feasible to rebuild a representative time series to describe the atmospheric CO2 concentration for an earlier period and for years that were not in the ice core record.
基金partially supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2013AA122002]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41575100 and 91437220]+1 种基金the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[grant number KZCX2-EW-QN207]the Special Fund for Meteorological Scientific Research in Public Interest[grant number GYHY201506002]
文摘The performance of a joint data assimilation system(Tan-Tracker),which is based on the PODEn4 Dvar assimilation method,in assimilating Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT) carbon dioxide(CO2) data,was evaluated.Atmospheric 3D CO2 concentrations and CO2 surface fluxes(CFs) from2010 were simulated using a global chemistry transport model(GEOS-Chem).TheTan-Tracker system used the simulated CO2 concentrations and fluxes as a background field and assimilated the GOSAT column average dry-air mole fraction of CO2(X(CO2)) data to optimize CO2 concentrations and CFs in the same assimilation window.Monthly simulated X(CO2)(X(CO2)Sim)) and assimilated X(CO2)(X(CO2),TT) data retrieved at different satellite scan positions were compared with GOSAT-observed X(CO2)(X(CO2),obs)data.The average RMSE between the monthly X(CO2),TT and X(CO2),Obs data was significantly(30%) lower than the average RMSE between X(CO2),Sim and X(CO2),Obs).Specifically,reductions in error were found for the positions of northern Africa(the Sahara),the Indian peninsula,southern Africa,southern North America,and western Australia.The difference between the correlation coefficients of the X(CO2),Sim)and X(CO2),Obs and those of the X(CO2)Π),TT and X(CO2),Obs was only small.In general,the Tan-Tracker system performed very well after assimilating the GOSAT data.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 program,Grant 2010CB951901)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant XDA05100503)
文摘The authors examine the equilibrium climatic response to the direct radiative effect (DRE) of mineral dust and sea salt aerosols in a doubled-CO2 climate with two-way coupling of aerosol-climate interactions.In response to the drier and windier conditions,dust emissions increase by 26% in the Sahara Desert and by 18% on the global scale relative to present day.Sea salt emissions increase in high latitudes (>60°) but decrease in middle latitudes (30°-60°) of both hemispheres due to the poleward shift of westerlies,leading to a 3% decrease in global emissions.The burdens of dust and sea salt increase by 31% and 7% respectively,because reductions in rainfall over the tropical oceans increase the lifetime of particles in the warmer climate.The higher aerosol loading in the doubled-CO2 climate reinforces aerosol DRE by -0.2 W m-2,leading to an additional cooling of 0.1℃ at the surface compared with the climatic effects of aerosols in present day.The additional cooling from changes in natural aerosols compensates for up to 15% of the regional warming induced by doubled CO2.