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基于IAFSA-GM的化工园区光伏电站功率预测模型 被引量:5
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作者 张予泽 韩伟 《电子设计工程》 2019年第8期90-94,共5页
光伏电站已在国内大型化工园区内广泛使用,为了提高GM(1,1)模型的化工园区光伏电站功率预测精度,研究了灰色系统理论中GM(1,1)预测模型的建模机理,系统地分析了GM(1,1)模型在化工园区光伏电站功率预测建模过程中对背景值和初始值等规定... 光伏电站已在国内大型化工园区内广泛使用,为了提高GM(1,1)模型的化工园区光伏电站功率预测精度,研究了灰色系统理论中GM(1,1)预测模型的建模机理,系统地分析了GM(1,1)模型在化工园区光伏电站功率预测建模过程中对背景值和初始值等规定的不合理性。本文提出并使用IAFSA直接对背景值和初始值进行优化,并结合滚动式数据更新模式构建了一种改进GM(1,1)预测模型。基于化工园区的光伏电站实例结果表明,上述所提模型是有效和完善的,可显著提高GM(1,1)模型的预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 GM(1 1)模型 背景值 初始值 IAFSA 滚动式数据 化工园区
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Leakage research on supercritical carbon dioxide fluid in rolling piston expander 被引量:3
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作者 TIAN Hua MA YiTai +2 位作者 LI MinXia LIU ShengChun WANG KaiYang 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第6期1711-1718,共8页
The leakage research on supercritical carbon dioxide fluid in rolling piston expander was investigated experimentally.Using expander instead of throttle valve is an important way to improve the efficiency of carbon di... The leakage research on supercritical carbon dioxide fluid in rolling piston expander was investigated experimentally.Using expander instead of throttle valve is an important way to improve the efficiency of carbon dioxide refrigeration system.However,the supercritical fluid leakage in expander is serious and is the main factor affecting the expander's efficiency.This paper presented and compared four classic leakage models.The analysis indicated that laminar leakage model is suitable in leakage simulation of expander.A leakage test system,including the leakage test part which has two types of leakage specimens with different gaps ranging from 5 to 15 m,was established.The experimental results indicated that lubricant film played an important role.When the leakage clearance of cylindrical specimen was 5 m,the mass flow rate of leakage was about 0.88 g s-1.The data was 3.638 g s-1 with leakage clearance being 10 m and 7.11g s-1 with leakage clearance being 15 m.A modified leakage model was developed,whose average deviation was within 10% compared with the experimental data.At last,this paper simulated the leakage in rolling piston expander presented by Tian et al.(2010).The leakage between rolling piston and cylinder was the most serious part with the value up to 0.04 kg s-1. 展开更多
关键词 LEAKAGE supercritical carbon dioxide liquid rolling piston expander leakage model
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