Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian s...Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian smoothing method are described in detail, and a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of these methods is made. Then, we take centrai China as the study region, and use the Gaussian smoothing method and potential seismic source zoning method to build seismic models to calculate the mean annual seismic rate. Seismic hazard is calculated using the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method to construct the ground motion acceleration zoning maps. The differences between the maps and these models are discussed and the causes are investigated. The results show that the spatial smoothing method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard over the moderate and low seismicity regions or the hazard caused by background seismicity; while the potential seismic source zoning method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard in well-defined seismotectonics. Combining the spatial smoothing method and the potential seismic source zoning method with an integrated account of the seismicity and known seismotectonics is a feasible approach to estimate the seismic hazard in moderate and low seismicity regions.展开更多
In this paper we discuss the differences and relationship between"great earthquakes",rare ground motion,and very rare ground motion.Taking the Beichuan-Yingxiu potential seismic source zone in Longmenshan se...In this paper we discuss the differences and relationship between"great earthquakes",rare ground motion,and very rare ground motion.Taking the Beichuan-Yingxiu potential seismic source zone in Longmenshan seismic belt as an example,we revealed the relationship between the effects of"great earthquakes"and rare ground and very rare ground motion.After pointing out scientific and technical problems in the current seismic fortification system,we suggest that very rare ground motion should be considered if we want to deduce the potential hazard of great earthquakes in the future.展开更多
基金sponsored by the National Key Technology R&D Program,China (2006BAC13B01)
文摘Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented, that is, the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian smoothing method are described in detail, and a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of these methods is made. Then, we take centrai China as the study region, and use the Gaussian smoothing method and potential seismic source zoning method to build seismic models to calculate the mean annual seismic rate. Seismic hazard is calculated using the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method to construct the ground motion acceleration zoning maps. The differences between the maps and these models are discussed and the causes are investigated. The results show that the spatial smoothing method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard over the moderate and low seismicity regions or the hazard caused by background seismicity; while the potential seismic source zoning method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard in well-defined seismotectonics. Combining the spatial smoothing method and the potential seismic source zoning method with an integrated account of the seismicity and known seismotectonics is a feasible approach to estimate the seismic hazard in moderate and low seismicity regions.
基金funded by Special Project of Scientific Research in the Field of Earthquake Science,China Earthquake Administration(201308018 and 201108002)
文摘In this paper we discuss the differences and relationship between"great earthquakes",rare ground motion,and very rare ground motion.Taking the Beichuan-Yingxiu potential seismic source zone in Longmenshan seismic belt as an example,we revealed the relationship between the effects of"great earthquakes"and rare ground and very rare ground motion.After pointing out scientific and technical problems in the current seismic fortification system,we suggest that very rare ground motion should be considered if we want to deduce the potential hazard of great earthquakes in the future.