The strata deformation in mining area was monitored in Dabaoshan copper-iron mine,and an analytical method of strata energy release was put forward.On the basis of chaotic theory,by reconstructing the phase space for ...The strata deformation in mining area was monitored in Dabaoshan copper-iron mine,and an analytical method of strata energy release was put forward.On the basis of chaotic theory,by reconstructing the phase space for time series data of strata energy release,the saturated embedding dimension and the correlation dimension of the dynamic system were obtained to be 4 and 1.212 8,respectively,and the evolution laws of distances between phase points of strata energy release in the phase space were revealed.With grey theory,a prediction model of strata energy release was set up,the maximum error of which was less than 6.7%.The results show that there are chaotic characters in strata energy release during mining;after reconstructing phase space,the subtle changing characteristics of energy release can be magnified,and the internal rules can be fully demonstrated.According to the laws,a warning system for strata stability in mining area was established to provide a technical safeguard for safe mining.展开更多
Coal mine safety is a complex system, which is controlled by a number of interrelated factors and is difficult to estimate. This paper proposes an index system of safety assessment based on correlated factors involved...Coal mine safety is a complex system, which is controlled by a number of interrelated factors and is difficult to estimate. This paper proposes an index system of safety assessment based on correlated factors involved in coal mining and a comprehensive evaluation model that combines the advantages of the AHP and a grey clustering method to guarantee the accuracy and objectivity of weight coefficients. First, we confirmed the weight of every index using the AHP, then did a general safety assessment by means of a grey clustering method. This model analyses the status of mining safety both qualitatively and quantitatively. It keeps management and technical groups informed of the situation of the coal production line in real time, which aids in making correct decisions based on practical safety issues. A case study in the application of the model is presented. The results show that the method is applicable and realistic with regard to the core of a coal mine's safety management. Consequently, the safe production of a mine and the awareness of advanced safe production management is accelerated.展开更多
This paper presents a hierarchy model of Air Traffic Management (ATM) according to the security requirements in ATM system, analyzes it by grey assessment and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and evaluates it in deta...This paper presents a hierarchy model of Air Traffic Management (ATM) according to the security requirements in ATM system, analyzes it by grey assessment and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and evaluates it in details. It also provides theoretical support for building an effective evaluation system. The basic idea is to use AHP and Grey Assessment to obtain the weights of the indicators, and count grey evaluation coefficients with whitening function. The compositive clustering coefficients are obtained by combining the weights and the grey evaluation coefficients. Evaluation result can be gotten from the compositive clustering coefficients.展开更多
Based on the theory of grey system, established GM （1, 1） grey catastrophe predict model for the first time in order to forecast the catastrophe periods of mine water inflowing （not the volume of water inflowing）....Based on the theory of grey system, established GM （1, 1） grey catastrophe predict model for the first time in order to forecast the catastrophe periods of mine water inflowing （not the volume of water inflowing）. After establishing the grey predict system of the catastrophe regularity of 10 month-average volume of water inflowing, the grey forewarning for mine water inflowing catastrophe periods was established which was used to analyze water disaster in 400 meter level of Wennan Colliery. Based on residual analysis, it shows that the result of grey predict system is almost close to the actual value. And the scene actual result also shows the reliability of prediction. Both the theoretical analysis and the scene actual result indicate feasibility and reliability of the method of grey catastrophe predict system.展开更多
基金Project (2010CB732004) supported by the National Basic Research Program of ChinaProject (51074177) supported by the Joint Funding of National Natural Science Foundation and Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation,China
文摘The strata deformation in mining area was monitored in Dabaoshan copper-iron mine,and an analytical method of strata energy release was put forward.On the basis of chaotic theory,by reconstructing the phase space for time series data of strata energy release,the saturated embedding dimension and the correlation dimension of the dynamic system were obtained to be 4 and 1.212 8,respectively,and the evolution laws of distances between phase points of strata energy release in the phase space were revealed.With grey theory,a prediction model of strata energy release was set up,the maximum error of which was less than 6.7%.The results show that there are chaotic characters in strata energy release during mining;after reconstructing phase space,the subtle changing characteristics of energy release can be magnified,and the internal rules can be fully demonstrated.According to the laws,a warning system for strata stability in mining area was established to provide a technical safeguard for safe mining.
文摘Coal mine safety is a complex system, which is controlled by a number of interrelated factors and is difficult to estimate. This paper proposes an index system of safety assessment based on correlated factors involved in coal mining and a comprehensive evaluation model that combines the advantages of the AHP and a grey clustering method to guarantee the accuracy and objectivity of weight coefficients. First, we confirmed the weight of every index using the AHP, then did a general safety assessment by means of a grey clustering method. This model analyses the status of mining safety both qualitatively and quantitatively. It keeps management and technical groups informed of the situation of the coal production line in real time, which aids in making correct decisions based on practical safety issues. A case study in the application of the model is presented. The results show that the method is applicable and realistic with regard to the core of a coal mine's safety management. Consequently, the safe production of a mine and the awareness of advanced safe production management is accelerated.
基金Supported by the GKG200702020, jointly supported program by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and CAAC (No.60776808)
文摘This paper presents a hierarchy model of Air Traffic Management (ATM) according to the security requirements in ATM system, analyzes it by grey assessment and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and evaluates it in details. It also provides theoretical support for building an effective evaluation system. The basic idea is to use AHP and Grey Assessment to obtain the weights of the indicators, and count grey evaluation coefficients with whitening function. The compositive clustering coefficients are obtained by combining the weights and the grey evaluation coefficients. Evaluation result can be gotten from the compositive clustering coefficients.
文摘Based on the theory of grey system, established GM （1, 1） grey catastrophe predict model for the first time in order to forecast the catastrophe periods of mine water inflowing （not the volume of water inflowing）. After establishing the grey predict system of the catastrophe regularity of 10 month-average volume of water inflowing, the grey forewarning for mine water inflowing catastrophe periods was established which was used to analyze water disaster in 400 meter level of Wennan Colliery. Based on residual analysis, it shows that the result of grey predict system is almost close to the actual value. And the scene actual result also shows the reliability of prediction. Both the theoretical analysis and the scene actual result indicate feasibility and reliability of the method of grey catastrophe predict system.
