Dynamic data driven simulation (DDDS) is proposed to improve the model by incorporaing real data from the practical systems into the model. Instead of giving a static input, multiple possible sets of inputs are fed ...Dynamic data driven simulation (DDDS) is proposed to improve the model by incorporaing real data from the practical systems into the model. Instead of giving a static input, multiple possible sets of inputs are fed into the model. And the computational errors are corrected using statistical approaches. It involves a variety of aspects, including the uncertainty modeling, the measurement evaluation, the system model and the measurement model coupling ,the computation complexity, and the performance issue. Authors intend to set up the architecture of DDDS for wildfire spread model, DEVS-FIRE, based on the discrete event speeification (DEVS) formalism. The experimental results show that the framework can track the dynamically changing fire front based on fire sen- sor data, thus, it provides more aecurate predictions.展开更多
Based on statistical analysis on morphological data of nebkhas surveyed in the Hotan River Basin,Xinjiang, the changing regularity and characters of nebkhas’ morphology in different development stageshave been discus...Based on statistical analysis on morphological data of nebkhas surveyed in the Hotan River Basin,Xinjiang, the changing regularity and characters of nebkhas’ morphology in different development stageshave been discussed. Results indicate that there exist better correlation among length, width and altitudeof all kinds of nebkhas, but there are certain various shape characters in different nebkhas and the sametype of nebkhas in differential development stages. On account of analysis on mathematical imitation ofnebkhas’ shape characters, regional ecological environmental and aeolian characters, the development ofthe nebkha can be divided into a growing stage, a stabilizing stage and a declining stage.展开更多
A method of reliability analysis based on a direct strength calculation employing the von Mises stress failure criterion is presented here. The short term strain distributions of ship hull structural components are id...A method of reliability analysis based on a direct strength calculation employing the von Mises stress failure criterion is presented here. The short term strain distributions of ship hull structural components are identified through the statistical analysis of the wave-induced strain history and the long term distributions by the weighted summation of the short term strain distributions. The wave-induced long term strain distribution is combined with the still water strain. The extreme strain distribution of the response strain is obtained by statistical analysis of the combined strains. The limit state function of the reliability analysis is based on the von Mises stress failure criterion, including the related uncertainties due to the quality of the material and model uncertainty. The reliability index is calculated using FORM and sensitivity analysis of each variable that has effects on the reliability is also discussed.展开更多
The task of simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) is to build environmental map and locate the position of mobile robot at the same time. FastSLAM 2.0 is one of powerful techniques to solve the SLAM problem. ...The task of simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) is to build environmental map and locate the position of mobile robot at the same time. FastSLAM 2.0 is one of powerful techniques to solve the SLAM problem. However, there are two obvious limitations in FastSLAM 2.0, one is the linear approximations of nonlinear functions which would cause the filter inconsistent and the other is the "particle depletion" phenomenon. A kind of PSO & Hjj-based FastSLAM 2.0 algorithm is proposed. For maintaining the estimation accuracy, H~ filter is used instead of EKF for overcoming the inaccuracy caused by the linear approximations of nonlinear functions. The unreasonable proposal distribution of particle greatly influences the pose state estimation of robot. A new sampling strategy based on PSO (particle swarm optimization) is presented to solve the "particle depletion" phenomenon and improve the accuracy of pose state estimation. The proposed approach overcomes the obvious drawbacks of standard FastSLAM 2.0 algorithm and enhances the robustness and efficiency in the parts of consistency of filter and accuracy of state estimation in SLAM. Simulation results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach.展开更多
The concept of state vector stems from statistical physics, where it is usually used to describe the evolution of a continuum field in its way of coarse-graining. In this paper, the state vector is employed to depict ...The concept of state vector stems from statistical physics, where it is usually used to describe the evolution of a continuum field in its way of coarse-graining. In this paper, the state vector is employed to depict the evolution of seismicity quantitatively, and some interesting results are presented. The authors investigated some famous earthquake cases (e.g., the Haicheng earthquake, the Tangshan earthquake, the west Kunlun Mountains earthquake, etc.) and found that the state vectors evidently change prior to the occurrence of large earthquakes. Thus it is believed that the state vector can be used as a kind of precursor to predict large earthquakes.展开更多
Uranium tetrafluoride, UF4, and thorium tetrafluoride, ThF4, can be used as fuels in molten salt reactors. For the molten salt reactor design and safety analysis, it is essential to know the thermodynamic properties o...Uranium tetrafluoride, UF4, and thorium tetrafluoride, ThF4, can be used as fuels in molten salt reactors. For the molten salt reactor design and safety analysis, it is essential to know the thermodynamic properties of the UF4 and ThF4 materials. However, the experimental data for UF4 and ThF4 P-V-T are scarce in literature. Under this circumstance prediction of the thermodynamic properties can be supported by theoretical calculations to remedy missing experimental data. Within this paper the Song, Mason and lhm's equation of state with modification of Tao and Mason, originally derived for spherical and molecular fluids, is applied for fluid UF4 and ThF4 based on the available experimental data. The equation of state is based on statistical mechanical perturbation theory with the perturbation scheme of Weeks, Chandler, and Andresen. The prediction of constants applied in the equation of state is based on the work of Boushehri et al. using data for heat of vaporization and liquid density at the triple point. The calculation of the heat of vaporization applies the "sigma" method reported by Darken et al. with the vapour pressure data and heat capacities of liquid and vapour of UF4 and ThF4. Finally an extra correction term for the vapour pressure is introduced into the new equation of state. The results show that this equation of state agrees reasonably well with the available experimental data. It can be expected that this equation of state can be applied also for conditions where experimental data are currently missing.展开更多
The purpose of thepresent study is to determine whether a long range correlation is present in BZ (Belousov-Zhabotinskii) reaction and how this correlation varies with the change in concentration of the solution. To...The purpose of thepresent study is to determine whether a long range correlation is present in BZ (Belousov-Zhabotinskii) reaction and how this correlation varies with the change in concentration of the solution. To explore the dynamics of the system with change in concentration, phase space plot and power spectrum are studied. Hurst exponent is estimated using log log plot and R/S technique. We discuss the results which uncover how the system changes from an excitable steady stateto a limit cycle,展开更多
目的 探讨针灸联合克罗米芬治疗卵巢储备功能下降患者的临床效果。方法 选取2021年1月—2021年12月龙港市人民医院与温州市中医院泰顺分院收治的卵巢储备功能下降且辨证为肾阳虚型患者共60例,依照治疗方法的不同,分为对照组与观察组,每...目的 探讨针灸联合克罗米芬治疗卵巢储备功能下降患者的临床效果。方法 选取2021年1月—2021年12月龙港市人民医院与温州市中医院泰顺分院收治的卵巢储备功能下降且辨证为肾阳虚型患者共60例,依照治疗方法的不同,分为对照组与观察组,每组各30例。对照组患者接受克罗米芬治疗,观察组患者在此基础上加入针灸治疗。比较两组患者的卵巢储备功能、性激素水平、中医证候积分及临床有效率。结果 对照组年龄23~38岁,平均年龄(28.50±4.22)岁;观察组年龄24~37岁,平均年龄(28.73±4.31)岁。两组患者的一般资料比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。治疗前:两组患者的卵巢储备功能相关指标及雌激素水平和中医证候积分比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);治疗后,两组患者的抗苗勒氏管激素(AMH)、黄体生成素(LH)及卵泡刺激素(FSH)水平下降,且观察组低于对照组(AMH:2.13±0.40 ng/ml vs. 2.71±0.59 ng/ml,t=4.457,P=0.009;LH:4.25±1.01 mIU/ml vs. 4.82±1.09 mIU/ml,t=2.101,P=0.040;FSH:10.02±2.32 mIU/ml vs. 12.53±2.63 mIU/ml,t=3.920,P<0.001);窦卵泡计数(AFC)、抑制素B(InhB)、雌二醇(E2)水平增加,且观察组明显高于对照组(AFC:8.93±2.41 vs. 7.67±1.75,t=2.101,P=0.041;InhB:39.27±5.89 pg/ml vs. 33.62±5.07 pg/ml,t=3.982,P<0.001;E2:53.09±13.52 mIU/ml vs. 45.93±12.56 mIU/ml,t=2.125,P=0.038),差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。治疗后,两组患者中医证候积分明显下降,且观察组低于对照组(12.21±3.01分vs. 15.56±3.25分,t=4.142,P<0.05),同时治疗后观察组患者临床有效率为93.33%,明显高于对照组73.33%的临床有效率,差异均有统计学意义(χ~2=9.381,均P<0.05)。结论 针灸联合克罗米芬治疗可有效改善卵巢储备功能下降患者的激素水平,减轻临床症状并提高临床有效率,提升卵巢储备功能。展开更多
Abstract In this paper, we investigate the effective condition numbers for the generalized Sylvester equation (AX - YB, DX - YE) = (C,F), where A,D ∈ Rm×m B,E ∈ Rn×n and C,F ∈ Rm×n. We apply the ...Abstract In this paper, we investigate the effective condition numbers for the generalized Sylvester equation (AX - YB, DX - YE) = (C,F), where A,D ∈ Rm×m B,E ∈ Rn×n and C,F ∈ Rm×n. We apply the small sample statistical method for the fast condition estimation of the generalized Sylvester equation, which requires (9(m2n + mn2) flops, comparing with (-O(m3 + n3) flops for the generalized Schur and generalized Hessenberg- Schur methods for solving the generalized Sylvester equation. Numerical examples illustrate the sharpness of our perturbation bounds.展开更多
This paper discusses efficient estimation for the additive hazards regression model when only bivariate current status data are available. Current status data occur in many fields including demographical studies and t...This paper discusses efficient estimation for the additive hazards regression model when only bivariate current status data are available. Current status data occur in many fields including demographical studies and tumorigenicity experiments (Keiding, 1991; Sun, 2006) and several approaches have been proposed for the additive hazards model with univariate current status data (Linet M., 1998; Martinussen and Scheike, 2002). For bivariate data, in addition to facing the same problems as those with univariate data, one needs to deal with the association or correlation between two related failure time variables of interest. For this, we employ the copula model and an efficient estimation procedure is developed for inference. Simulation studies are performed to evaluate the proposed estimates and suggest that the approach works well in practical situations. An illustrative example is provided.展开更多
文摘Dynamic data driven simulation (DDDS) is proposed to improve the model by incorporaing real data from the practical systems into the model. Instead of giving a static input, multiple possible sets of inputs are fed into the model. And the computational errors are corrected using statistical approaches. It involves a variety of aspects, including the uncertainty modeling, the measurement evaluation, the system model and the measurement model coupling ,the computation complexity, and the performance issue. Authors intend to set up the architecture of DDDS for wildfire spread model, DEVS-FIRE, based on the discrete event speeification (DEVS) formalism. The experimental results show that the framework can track the dynamically changing fire front based on fire sen- sor data, thus, it provides more aecurate predictions.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science of China (No.40461002,40861008)the Key Project of the Ministry of Education (No. 209141 )Doctoral Scientific and Technological Initial Funds of Xinjiang Normal University.
文摘Based on statistical analysis on morphological data of nebkhas surveyed in the Hotan River Basin,Xinjiang, the changing regularity and characters of nebkhas’ morphology in different development stageshave been discussed. Results indicate that there exist better correlation among length, width and altitudeof all kinds of nebkhas, but there are certain various shape characters in different nebkhas and the sametype of nebkhas in differential development stages. On account of analysis on mathematical imitation ofnebkhas’ shape characters, regional ecological environmental and aeolian characters, the development ofthe nebkha can be divided into a growing stage, a stabilizing stage and a declining stage.
文摘A method of reliability analysis based on a direct strength calculation employing the von Mises stress failure criterion is presented here. The short term strain distributions of ship hull structural components are identified through the statistical analysis of the wave-induced strain history and the long term distributions by the weighted summation of the short term strain distributions. The wave-induced long term strain distribution is combined with the still water strain. The extreme strain distribution of the response strain is obtained by statistical analysis of the combined strains. The limit state function of the reliability analysis is based on the von Mises stress failure criterion, including the related uncertainties due to the quality of the material and model uncertainty. The reliability index is calculated using FORM and sensitivity analysis of each variable that has effects on the reliability is also discussed.
基金Project(ZR2011FM005)supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China
文摘The task of simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) is to build environmental map and locate the position of mobile robot at the same time. FastSLAM 2.0 is one of powerful techniques to solve the SLAM problem. However, there are two obvious limitations in FastSLAM 2.0, one is the linear approximations of nonlinear functions which would cause the filter inconsistent and the other is the "particle depletion" phenomenon. A kind of PSO & Hjj-based FastSLAM 2.0 algorithm is proposed. For maintaining the estimation accuracy, H~ filter is used instead of EKF for overcoming the inaccuracy caused by the linear approximations of nonlinear functions. The unreasonable proposal distribution of particle greatly influences the pose state estimation of robot. A new sampling strategy based on PSO (particle swarm optimization) is presented to solve the "particle depletion" phenomenon and improve the accuracy of pose state estimation. The proposed approach overcomes the obvious drawbacks of standard FastSLAM 2.0 algorithm and enhances the robustness and efficiency in the parts of consistency of filter and accuracy of state estimation in SLAM. Simulation results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach.
基金NSFC under Grant No.10232050The Information Construction of Knowledge Innovation Projects of the Chinese Academy of Sciences"Supercomputing Environment Construction and Application"(INF105-SCE-2-02)+1 种基金Seismological Joint Foundation(305016)the Special Funds for Major State Basic Research Project under Grant No.2002CB412706 and 2001 BA601 B01-01-01-04.
文摘The concept of state vector stems from statistical physics, where it is usually used to describe the evolution of a continuum field in its way of coarse-graining. In this paper, the state vector is employed to depict the evolution of seismicity quantitatively, and some interesting results are presented. The authors investigated some famous earthquake cases (e.g., the Haicheng earthquake, the Tangshan earthquake, the west Kunlun Mountains earthquake, etc.) and found that the state vectors evidently change prior to the occurrence of large earthquakes. Thus it is believed that the state vector can be used as a kind of precursor to predict large earthquakes.
文摘Uranium tetrafluoride, UF4, and thorium tetrafluoride, ThF4, can be used as fuels in molten salt reactors. For the molten salt reactor design and safety analysis, it is essential to know the thermodynamic properties of the UF4 and ThF4 materials. However, the experimental data for UF4 and ThF4 P-V-T are scarce in literature. Under this circumstance prediction of the thermodynamic properties can be supported by theoretical calculations to remedy missing experimental data. Within this paper the Song, Mason and lhm's equation of state with modification of Tao and Mason, originally derived for spherical and molecular fluids, is applied for fluid UF4 and ThF4 based on the available experimental data. The equation of state is based on statistical mechanical perturbation theory with the perturbation scheme of Weeks, Chandler, and Andresen. The prediction of constants applied in the equation of state is based on the work of Boushehri et al. using data for heat of vaporization and liquid density at the triple point. The calculation of the heat of vaporization applies the "sigma" method reported by Darken et al. with the vapour pressure data and heat capacities of liquid and vapour of UF4 and ThF4. Finally an extra correction term for the vapour pressure is introduced into the new equation of state. The results show that this equation of state agrees reasonably well with the available experimental data. It can be expected that this equation of state can be applied also for conditions where experimental data are currently missing.
文摘The purpose of thepresent study is to determine whether a long range correlation is present in BZ (Belousov-Zhabotinskii) reaction and how this correlation varies with the change in concentration of the solution. To explore the dynamics of the system with change in concentration, phase space plot and power spectrum are studied. Hurst exponent is estimated using log log plot and R/S technique. We discuss the results which uncover how the system changes from an excitable steady stateto a limit cycle,
文摘目的 探讨针灸联合克罗米芬治疗卵巢储备功能下降患者的临床效果。方法 选取2021年1月—2021年12月龙港市人民医院与温州市中医院泰顺分院收治的卵巢储备功能下降且辨证为肾阳虚型患者共60例,依照治疗方法的不同,分为对照组与观察组,每组各30例。对照组患者接受克罗米芬治疗,观察组患者在此基础上加入针灸治疗。比较两组患者的卵巢储备功能、性激素水平、中医证候积分及临床有效率。结果 对照组年龄23~38岁,平均年龄(28.50±4.22)岁;观察组年龄24~37岁,平均年龄(28.73±4.31)岁。两组患者的一般资料比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。治疗前:两组患者的卵巢储备功能相关指标及雌激素水平和中医证候积分比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);治疗后,两组患者的抗苗勒氏管激素(AMH)、黄体生成素(LH)及卵泡刺激素(FSH)水平下降,且观察组低于对照组(AMH:2.13±0.40 ng/ml vs. 2.71±0.59 ng/ml,t=4.457,P=0.009;LH:4.25±1.01 mIU/ml vs. 4.82±1.09 mIU/ml,t=2.101,P=0.040;FSH:10.02±2.32 mIU/ml vs. 12.53±2.63 mIU/ml,t=3.920,P<0.001);窦卵泡计数(AFC)、抑制素B(InhB)、雌二醇(E2)水平增加,且观察组明显高于对照组(AFC:8.93±2.41 vs. 7.67±1.75,t=2.101,P=0.041;InhB:39.27±5.89 pg/ml vs. 33.62±5.07 pg/ml,t=3.982,P<0.001;E2:53.09±13.52 mIU/ml vs. 45.93±12.56 mIU/ml,t=2.125,P=0.038),差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。治疗后,两组患者中医证候积分明显下降,且观察组低于对照组(12.21±3.01分vs. 15.56±3.25分,t=4.142,P<0.05),同时治疗后观察组患者临床有效率为93.33%,明显高于对照组73.33%的临床有效率,差异均有统计学意义(χ~2=9.381,均P<0.05)。结论 针灸联合克罗米芬治疗可有效改善卵巢储备功能下降患者的激素水平,减轻临床症状并提高临床有效率,提升卵巢储备功能。
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11001045,10926107 and 11271084)Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of MOE(Grant No. 20090043120008)+4 种基金Training Fund of NENU’S Scientific Innovation Project of Northeast Normal University(Grant No. NENU-STC08009)Program for Changjiang Scholars and Innovative Research Team in Universitythe Programme for Cultivating Innovative Students in Key Disciplines of Fudan University(973 Program Project)(Grant No. 2010CB327900)Doctoral Program of the Ministry of Education(Grant No.20090071110003)Shanghai Science & Technology Committee and Shanghai Education Committee(Dawn Project)
文摘Abstract In this paper, we investigate the effective condition numbers for the generalized Sylvester equation (AX - YB, DX - YE) = (C,F), where A,D ∈ Rm×m B,E ∈ Rn×n and C,F ∈ Rm×n. We apply the small sample statistical method for the fast condition estimation of the generalized Sylvester equation, which requires (9(m2n + mn2) flops, comparing with (-O(m3 + n3) flops for the generalized Schur and generalized Hessenberg- Schur methods for solving the generalized Sylvester equation. Numerical examples illustrate the sharpness of our perturbation bounds.
基金partly supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10971015, 11131002)Key Project of Chinese Ministry of Education (Grant No. 309007)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
文摘This paper discusses efficient estimation for the additive hazards regression model when only bivariate current status data are available. Current status data occur in many fields including demographical studies and tumorigenicity experiments (Keiding, 1991; Sun, 2006) and several approaches have been proposed for the additive hazards model with univariate current status data (Linet M., 1998; Martinussen and Scheike, 2002). For bivariate data, in addition to facing the same problems as those with univariate data, one needs to deal with the association or correlation between two related failure time variables of interest. For this, we employ the copula model and an efficient estimation procedure is developed for inference. Simulation studies are performed to evaluate the proposed estimates and suggest that the approach works well in practical situations. An illustrative example is provided.