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Markov型一般可修系统的状态分析
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作者 罗吉庭 何斌 《电子产品可靠性与环境试验》 1992年第2期26-31,共6页
关键词 Markov型 可修系统 状态转移率
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基于系统可靠性的组件综合重要度变化机理分析 被引量:20
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作者 兑红炎 陈立伟 +1 位作者 周毫 王宁 《运筹与管理》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第2期79-84,共6页
重要度理论是一种重要的系统薄弱环节识别和评估方法,被广泛应用于系统可靠性设计优化、维修资源分配、维修决策以及风险分析等领域。本文以组件状态转移率为纽带,分析了组件综合重要度对系统可靠性的影响机理,识别对系统可靠性变化影... 重要度理论是一种重要的系统薄弱环节识别和评估方法,被广泛应用于系统可靠性设计优化、维修资源分配、维修决策以及风险分析等领域。本文以组件状态转移率为纽带,分析了组件综合重要度对系统可靠性的影响机理,识别对系统可靠性变化影响最大的组件,综合重要度评估了单位时间内系统可靠性的变化。首先给出综合重要度的定义;其次讨论系统可靠性的组件重要度表示方法;最后在串联和并联系统中,分析综合重要度随着组件状态转移率的变化机理。 展开更多
关键词 重要度 状态转移率 系统可靠性 组件
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不同单元组成的并联系统的可用度分析 被引量:1
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作者 佛显超 谢红卫 《上海海运学院学报》 北大核心 2001年第3期187-189,共3页
应用马尔科夫模型研究不同单元组成的并联可维修系统时作一些合理的假设 。
关键词 马尔科夫链 状态转移率 可用度 并联系统 冗余系统
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总线型结构网络的可靠性分析 被引量:1
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作者 李建斌 钱清泉 《铁道学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 1991年第S1期100-108,共9页
本文以车辆轴温监测网络(TADNET,Train Axle Detecting Net-work)为例,论述了总线型网络两种主要失效模式下的可靠性分析方法,并推导出相应失效模式下网络的首次失效平均时间(MTTF) 及网络的平均维修时间(MTTR)的计算公式,为总线型结构... 本文以车辆轴温监测网络(TADNET,Train Axle Detecting Net-work)为例,论述了总线型网络两种主要失效模式下的可靠性分析方法,并推导出相应失效模式下网络的首次失效平均时间(MTTF) 及网络的平均维修时间(MTTR)的计算公式,为总线型结构的计算机网络或其他类似结构功能网络(包括广域网和局域网)的可靠性分析设计提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 总线型网络 失效模式 平均故障率 平均修复率 状态转移率
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An Improved Markov Chain Model Based on Autocorrelation and Entropy Techniques and Its Application to State Prediction of Water Resources 被引量:2
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作者 ZHOU Ping ZHOU Yuliang +4 位作者 JIN Juliang LIU Li WANG Zongzhi CHENG Liang ZHANG Libing 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第2期176-184,共9页
According to the relationships among state transition probability matrixes with different step lengths, an improved Markov chain model based on autocorrelation and entropy techniques was introduced. In the improved Ma... According to the relationships among state transition probability matrixes with different step lengths, an improved Markov chain model based on autocorrelation and entropy techniques was introduced. In the improved Markov chain model, the state transition probability matrixes can be adjusted. The steps of the historical state of the event, which was significantly related to the future state of the event, were determined by the autocorrelation technique, and the impact weights of the event historical state on the event future state were determined by the entropy technique. The presented model was applied to predicting annual precipitation and annual runoff states, showing that the improved model is of higher precision than those existing Markov chain models, and the determination of the state transition probability matrixes and the weights is more reasonable. The physical concepts of the improved model are distinct, and its computation process is simple and direct, thus, the presented model is sufficiently general to be applicable to the prediction problems in hydrology and water resources. 展开更多
关键词 improved Markov chain model AUTOCORRELATION ENTROPY annual precipitation annual runoff genetic algorithm
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Statistical Modeling of the High Altitude Platform Dual-Polarized MIMO Propagation Channel 被引量:4
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作者 Mingchuan Yang Shuo Zhang +2 位作者 Xinye Shao Qing Guo Wenyan Tang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第3期43-54,共12页
In order to investigate the benefit of multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) technique applying to the high altitude platform(HAP), a 2×2 MIMO statistical model, which can accurately describe the channel between H... In order to investigate the benefit of multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) technique applying to the high altitude platform(HAP), a 2×2 MIMO statistical model, which can accurately describe the channel between HAP and high-speed train, is presented. And dual polarization diversity is particularly considered. Based on first-order three-state Markov chain, the single-input single-output(SISO) channel, a subset of the MIMO channel is first established. The ray tracing approach applied to the digital relief model(DRM) which covers the railway between Xi'an and Zhengzhou is used to obtain the state probability vector and matrix of the state transition probability. The proposed model considers both Doppler shift and temporal correlation, and the polarization correlation and spatial correlation statistical properties of large-scale fading and smallscale fading are analyzed. Moreover, useful numerical results on the MIMO HAP channel outage capacity are provided based on which, significant capacity gains with respect to the conventional SISO case are illustrated. Such statistical channel model can be applied to the future wireless communication system between HAP and high-speed train. 展开更多
关键词 high altitude platform(HAP) channel model multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) polarization diversity
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DTMC-based Modeling and Analysis of Obstacle Ad hoc Networks
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作者 Tong Ning Wu Di Wang Xiukun 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第5期83-92,共10页
One of the main characteristics of Ad hoc networks is node mobility, which results in constantly changing in network topologies. Consequently, the ability to forecast the future status of mobility nodes plays a key ro... One of the main characteristics of Ad hoc networks is node mobility, which results in constantly changing in network topologies. Consequently, the ability to forecast the future status of mobility nodes plays a key role in QOS routing. We propose a random mobility model based on discretetime Markov chain, called ODM. ODM provides a mathematical framework for calculating some parameters to show the future status of mobility nodes, for instance, the state transition probability matrix of nodes, the probability that an edge is valid, the average number of valid-edges and the probability of a request packet found a valid route. Furthermore, ODM can account for obstacle environment. The state transition probability matrix of nodes can quantify the impact of obstacles. Several theorems are given and proved by using the ODM. Simulation results show that the calculated value can forecast the future status of mobility nodes. 展开更多
关键词 Ad hoc network discrete time markov chain mobility model OBSTACLE
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多优先级与离开机制并存的M/M/c/N排队系统 被引量:2
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作者 印明昂 田刚 +1 位作者 孙志礼 孙尧 《机械工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第14期197-205,共9页
生产中重要设备发生故障后需要及时维修,普通部分设备会因等待时间过长而离开维修系统,因此需要建立设备多优先级,并存且包含离开机制的排队系统模型。在马尔科夫过程理论基础上结合分块理论,得出分块的系统状态转移率矩阵。针对状态转... 生产中重要设备发生故障后需要及时维修,普通部分设备会因等待时间过长而离开维修系统,因此需要建立设备多优先级,并存且包含离开机制的排队系统模型。在马尔科夫过程理论基础上结合分块理论,得出分块的系统状态转移率矩阵。针对状态转移率矩阵为块三对角矩阵的特点,利用分块矩阵理论得到稳态下的状态概率以及状态转移频度。在此基础上获得关键状态转移频度、待修时间等系统运行指标,并据此提出系统盈利计算方法。最后以某汽车维修厂为实例,验证该模型在实际生产中的有效性。所提的排队系统建模方法通过引入稳态状态转移频度,建立了完备的系统指标体系,为系统配置优化提供了理论基础。 展开更多
关键词 马尔科夫过程 排队理论 分块矩阵 状态转移率矩阵 状态转移频度
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多增—减生命表的构造方法及其在中国妇女婚姻研究中的应用 被引量:9
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作者 曾毅 《人口研究》 1987年第3期30-37,64,共9页
生命表可分为“单减”生命表,“多减”生命表与“多增—减”生命表三大类。 “单减”生命表只有一个“存活”状态与一个“死亡”状态。这里的“存活”与“死亡”是广义的存活与死亡。例如喂奶生命表分析中的“存活”状态是指喂奶,“死... 生命表可分为“单减”生命表,“多减”生命表与“多增—减”生命表三大类。 “单减”生命表只有一个“存活”状态与一个“死亡”状态。这里的“存活”与“死亡”是广义的存活与死亡。例如喂奶生命表分析中的“存活”状态是指喂奶,“死亡”状态是断奶。“单减”生命表初始的队列人数只能以一种方式递减,不可能递增。 展开更多
关键词 生命表 构造方法 中国妇女 单减 婚姻 队列 期望寿命 状态转移率 状态转移概率 死亡率
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Robustness analysis of underground powerhouse construction simulation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo method 被引量:6
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作者 ZHONG DengHua BI Lei +1 位作者 YU Jia ZHAO MengQi 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第2期252-264,共13页
Scheduling is a major concern in construction planning and management, and current construction simulation research typically targets the shortest total duration. However, uncertainties are inevitable in actual constr... Scheduling is a major concern in construction planning and management, and current construction simulation research typically targets the shortest total duration. However, uncertainties are inevitable in actual construction, which may lead to discrepancies between the actual and planned schedules and increase the risk of total duration delay. Therefore, developing a robust construction scheduling technique is of vital importance for mitigating disturbance and improving completion probability. In the present study, the authors propose a robustness analysis method that involves underground powerhouse construction simulation based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method. Specifically, the MCMC method samples construction disturbances by considering the interrelationship between the states of parameters through a Markov state transition probability matrix, which is more robust and efficient than traditional sampling methods such as the Monte Carlo(MC) method. Additionally, a hierarchical simulation model coupling critical path method(CPM) and a cycle operation network(CYCLONE) is built, using which construction duration and robustness criteria can be calculated. Furthermore, a detailed measurement method is presented to quantize the robustness of underground powerhouse construction, and the setting model of the time buffer is proposed based on the MCMC method. The application of this methodology not only considers duration but also robustness, providing scientific guidance for engineering decision making. We analyzed a case study project to demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed methodology. 展开更多
关键词 underground powerhouse construction schedule simulation model MCMC method ROBUSTNESS
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Quantum non-demolition phonon counter with a hybrid optomechnical system
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作者 Qiao Song KeYe Zhang +1 位作者 Ying Dong WeiPing Zhang 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第5期1-9,共9页
A phonon counting scheme based on the control of polaritons in an optomechanical system is proposed. This approach permits us to measure the number of phonons in a quantum non-demolition(QND) manner for arbitrary mode... A phonon counting scheme based on the control of polaritons in an optomechanical system is proposed. This approach permits us to measure the number of phonons in a quantum non-demolition(QND) manner for arbitrary modes not limited by the frequency matching condition as in usual photon-phonon scattering detections. The performance on phonon number transfer and quantum state transfer of the counter are analyzed and simulated numerically by taking into account all relevant sources of noise. 展开更多
关键词 phonon counting OPTOMECHANICS quantum non-demolition quantum hybrid system
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Effect of Phase Shift in Dual-Rail Perfect State Transfer
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作者 王兆明 张忠军 顾永建 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第3期299-304,共6页
We investigate the effect of phase shift on the perfect state transfer through two parallel one-dimensional ring-shaped spin chains. We find that the total success probability can be significantly enhanced by phase sh... We investigate the effect of phase shift on the perfect state transfer through two parallel one-dimensional ring-shaped spin chains. We find that the total success probability can be significantly enhanced by phase shift control when the communication channel consists of two odd chains. The average time to gain unit success probability is discussed, showing that a proper phase shift can be used to enhance the efficiency of state transmission. 展开更多
关键词 perfect state transfer spin chain phase shift
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