太阳黑子相对数年观测值的平稳序列状态空间模型

建立太阳黑子相对数年观测数据的状态空间模型,并以1848-2002数据进行拟合,分析和预测,取得良好效果．

非寻复域状态-空间滤波

针对实际非平稳海洋声数据存在非寻和非圆特性,在状态-空间模型下,对复信号作增广表示,建立复域状态-空间模型.从观察者的角度,推导了复高斯条件下的最佳瞬变观察者的线性表达式,即复域卡尔曼滤波器.当状态-空间模型为非线性非高斯时,最佳瞬态观察者须通过线性化或数值近似的方法近似得到.给出一种数值近似的方法——复域质点滤波,通过计算机仿真和波导实验证明了在信号非寻的情况下,复域卡尔曼滤波和复域质点滤波比常规的卡尔曼滤波和质点滤波具有更好的估计性能.

The Empirical Analysis on the Dynamic Effect of Rural-urban Migration on the Consumption Growth of Residents in China——Based on Varying Parameter State-space Model

The research constructed varying parameter state-space model and per- formed estimation on dynamic relationship between urban-rural migration and aggre- gate consumption expenditure on basis of dual economic structure. The results showed that urban consumption growth made the most contribution to aggregate consumption growth, followed by urban-rural migration caused consumption. The role of rural consumption growth kept stable, but consumption caused by population growth was decreasing. Therefore, China consumption growth mainly relies on urban consumption expenditure and urban-rural migration.

运动目标状态序贯贝叶斯滤波

状态-空间模型是一个通用和宽容的模型,它包含了描述系统所要求的所有相关信息。贝叶斯滤波方法是解决状态估计问题的一般框架。当有新数据可用时,序贯滤波方法可以实现估计和更新待估参量。对于运动目标状态跟踪问题,利用状态-空间模型进行建模,并采用序贯贝叶斯方法进行处理,如扩展卡尔曼滤波、unscented卡尔曼滤波和质点滤波。该文给出了这3种方法的仿真结果,从而实现目标状态跟踪。

On-line Estimation in Fed-batch Fermentation Process Using State Space Model and Unscented Kalman Filter

On-line estimation of unmeasurable biological variables is important in fermentation processes,directly influencing the optimal control performance of the fermentation system as well as the quality and yield of the targeted product.In this study,a novel strategy for state estimation of fed-batch fermentation process is proposed.By combining a simple and reliable mechanistic dynamic model with the sample-based regressive measurement model,a state space model is developed.An improved algorithm,swarm energy conservation particle swarm optimization(SECPSO) ,is presented for the parameter identification in the mechanistic model,and the support vector machines(SVM) method is adopted to establish the nonlinear measurement model.The unscented Kalman filter(UKF) is designed for the state space model to reduce the disturbances of the noises in the fermentation process.The proposed on-line estimation method is demonstrated by the simulation experiments of a penicillin fed-batch fermentation process.

An Extended Closed-loop Subspace Identification Method for Error-in-variables Systems

A closed-loop subspace identification method is proposed for industrial systems subject to noisy input-output observations, known as the error-in-variables (EIV) problem. Using the orthogonal projection approach to eliminate the noise influence, consistent estimation is guaranteed for the deterministic part of such a system. A strict proof is given for analyzing the rank condition for such orthogonal projection, in order to use the principal component analysis (PCA) based singular value decomposition (SVD) to derive the extended observability matrix and lower triangular Toeliptz matrix of the plant state-space model. In the result, the plant state matrices can be retrieved in a transparent manner from the above matrices. An illustrative example is shown to demonstrate the effectiveness and merits of the proposed subspace identification method.

Knowledge representation and rule-based solution system for dynamic programming model

A knowledge representation has been proposed using the state space theory of Artificial Intelligence for Dynamic Programming Model, in which a model can be defined as a six tuple M=(I,G,O,T,D,S). A building block modeling method uses the modules of a six tuple to form a rule based solution model. Moreover, a rule based system has been designed and set up to solve the Dynamic Programming Model. This knowledge based representation can be easily used to express symbolical knowledge and dynamic characteristics for Dynamic Programming Model, and the inference based on the knowledge in the process of solving Dynamic Programming Model can also be conveniently realized in computer.

Dynamic analysis on methanation reactor using a double-input–multi-output linearized model

A double-input–multi-output linearized system is developed using the state-space method for dynamic analysis of methanation process of coke oven gas.The stability of reactor alone and reactor with feed-effluent heat exchanger is compared through the dominant poles of the system transfer functions.With single or double disturbance of temperature and CO concentration at the reactor inlet,typical dynamic behavior in the reactor,including fast concentration response,slow temperature response and inverse response,is revealed for further understanding of the counteraction and synergy effects caused by simultaneous variation of concentration and temperature.Analysis results show that the stability of the reactor loop is more sensitive than that of reactor alone due to the positive heat feedback.Remarkably,with the decrease of heat exchange efficiency,the reactor system may display limit cycle behavior for a pair of complex conjugate poles across the imaginary axis.

On Numerical Approach to Non-Markovian Stochastic Systems Modeling

The paper considers the problem of representing non-Markovian systems that evolve stochastically over time. It is often necessary to use approximations in the case the system is non-Markovian. Phase type distribution is by now indispensable tool in creation of stochastic system models. The paper suggests a method and software for evaluating stochastic systems approximations by Markov chains with continuous time and countable state space. The performance of a system is described in the event language used for generating the set of states and transition matrix between them. The example of a numerical model is presented.

一个基于无迹卡尔曼滤波的传热反问题求解方法

准确估计材料的物性参数、初始条件、边界条件等对于热能工程领域具有重要意义。导热反问题(Inverse HeatConduction Problems,IHCP)提供了一种获取上述参数的有效途径,IHCP的成功应用在一定程度上取决于反演算法的效率。文章提出一种同时考虑被反演对象演化信息和测量信息的反演模型,原始IHCP问题被转化为一个状态-空间问题,无迹卡尔曼滤波(Unscented Kalman Filter,UKF)方法被发展用于求解该反演模型。数值模拟结果表明,该算法能够改善反演精度,而且,该算法的执行并不要求计算目标函数的梯度信息、雅克比矩阵和黑森矩阵,有效地降低了计算的复杂性与代价,从而为求解IHCP问题提供了一个有效途径。

Optimal shape space and searching in the active shape model

A novel idea,called the optimal shape subspace （OSS） is first proposed for optimizing active shape model （ASM） search.It is constructed from the principal shape subspace and the principal shape variance subspace.It allows the reconstructed shape to vary more than that reconstructed in the standard ASM shape space,hence it is more expressive in representing shapes in real life.Then a cost function is developed,based on a study on the search process.An optimal searching method using the feedback information provided by the evaluation cost is proposed to improve the performance of ASM alignment.Experimental results show that the proposed OSS can offer the maximum shape variation with reserving the principal information and a unique local optimal shape is acquired after optimal searching.The combination of OSS and optimal searching can improve the ASM performance greatly.

Retraction control of motorized seat belt system with linear state observer

A design and verification of linear state observers which estimate state information such as angular velocity and load torque for retraction control of the motorized seat belt (MSB) system were described. The motorized seat belt system provides functions to protect passengers and improve passenger's convenience. Each MSB function has its own required belt tension which is determined by the function's purpose. To realize the MSB functions, state information, such as seat belt winding velocity and seat belt tension are required. Using a linear state observer, the state information for MSB operations can be estimated without sensors. To design the linear state observer, the motorized seat belt system is analyzed and represented as a state space model which contains load torque as an augmented state. Based on the state space model, a linear state observer was designed and verified by experiments. Also, the retraction control of the MSB algorithm using linear state observer was designed and verified on the test bench. With the designed retraction control algorithm using the linear state observer, it is possible to realize various types of MSB functions.

Effects of coal prices on merchandise prices in China

Coal is the principal form of energy used in China. Hence, coal price variations are expected to have some influence on merchandise prices. Monthly data from January, 2002, to October, 2010, were used to construct a varying-parameter state space model, and an error correction model, to estimate the influence of coat prices on Chinese merchandise prices. The time lag and the dynamic relationship were determined from the data. A long term equilibrium relationship between coal price and the PPI, and the CPI, can be observed. The long term influence of coal price fluctuations on the PPI is 0.263%. The corresponding value for the CPI is 0.157%. The PPI shows an influence from coal price change in the first period of observation： by eight periods the influence is obvious, after which it diminishes. The effect of coal price change on the CPI is rather weak and has no long term memory. Analysis of variance shows a similar situation. The elas- ticity coefficient of coal prices on the CPI, or the PPI, fluctuates over the 2002-2004 period. From 2002 to 2007 the influence elasticity on the CPI declined and subsequently levelled off after 2009.

Nonlinear state estimation for fermentation process using cubature Kalman filter to incorporate delayed measurements

State estimation of biological process variables directly influences the performance of on-line monitoring and op- timal control for fermentation process. A novel nonlinear state estimation method for fermentation process is proposed using cubature Kalman filter （CKF） to incorporate delayed measurements. The square-root version of CI（F （SCKF） algorithm is given and the system with delayed measurements is described. On this basis, the sample-state augmentation method for the SCKF algorithm is provided and the implementation of the proposed algorithm is constructed. Then a nonlinear state space model for fermentation process is established and the SCKF algorithm incorporating delayed measurements based on fermentation process model is presented to implement the nonlinear state estimation. Finally, the proposed nonlinear state estimation methodology is applied to the state estimation for penicillin and industrial yeast fermentation processes. The simulation results show that the on-fine state estimation for fermentation process can be achieved by the proposed method with higher esti- mation accuracy and better stability.

Translating Linear Temporal Logic Formula s into Automata

To combat the well-known state-space explosion problem in Prop ositional Linear T emp o- ral Logic （PLTL） model checking, a novel algo- rithm capable of translating PLTL formulas into Nondeterministic Automata （NA） in an efficient way is proposed. The algorithm firstly transforms PLTL formulas into their non-free forms, then it further translates the non-free formulas into their Normal Forms （NFs）, next constructs Normal Form Graphs （NFGs） for NF formulas, and it fi- nally transforms NFGs into the NA which ac- cepts both finite words and int-mite words. The experimental data show that the new algorithm re- duces the average number of nodes of target NA for a benchmark formula set and selected formulas in the literature, respectively. These results indi- cate that the PLTL model checking technique em- ploying the new algorithm generates a smaller state space in verification of concurrent systems.

Deviation Diagnosis and Analysis of Hull Flat Block Assembly Based on a State Space Model

Dimensional control is one of the most important challenges in the shipbuilding industry. In order to predict assembly dimensional variation in hull flat block construction, a variation stream model based on state space was presented in this paper which can be further applied to accuracy control in shipbuilding. Part accumulative error, locating error, and welding deformation were taken into consideration in this model, and variation propagation mechanisms and the accumulative rule in the assembly process were analyzed. Then, a model was developed to describe the variation propagation throughout the assembly process. Finally, an example of fiat block construction from an actual shipyard was given. The result shows that this method is effective and useful.

On Impulse Switching Functions of Inverters as an Orthogonal System

The paper deals with impulse switching function which are used as exciting functions of one- and multidimensional state-space models of power electronic converters. Obviously, these functions are harmonic but using power converters they can be strongly non-harmonic, sometimes piecewise constants with zero spaces between them. Then, one deals with power series of time pulses. The impulse switching functions which are orthogonal ones can be derived from these series. The new impulse switching functions are created using Z-transform, inverse Z-transform and numerical series/sequences. The impulse switching functions created this way can be used for both steady- and transient state investigation of converters.

Research on the railway construction process quality model based on the state space method

In the ISO9000"input-output"process model,the concept of process quality is difficult to get the correct interpretation. From the"white box"theory of process,this paper puts forward the scientific meaning of the concept of process quality and the process quality model by taking the basic operating unit of 6M1E in the railway construction project for example. The basic operating unit system consists of technological natural process,operation process and management process;the process quality of the basic operating unit system depends on the interrelation and interaction among those three sub-processes,and also subjects to the impact of the external disturbance input factors. Finally,the cast-in-situ prestressed concrete continuous box girder construction process is utilized to elaborate the specific application of this theory in the quality management of the railway construction project.

天线伺服系统大角度调转控制策略研究

首先对天线伺服系统模型及组成结构进行简要分析,在此基础上建立基于误差-速度的状态空间数学模型。然后利用双积分型最优控制的相关结论,给出基于电流控制的最优控制律,用于天线伺服系统角度调转,并在此基础上结合位置环输出对电流的影响,实现了基于位置环输出的bang-bang控制。为避免bang-bang控制在控制末端出现角度震颤,采用bang-bang控制和PID控制相结合的双律控制策略,并给出双律切换条件的设计方法。最后在实际系统中进行测试验证,结果表明上述方案简单有效。

ANALYTICAL SOLUTION WITH SYSTEM METHOD FOR THE MODEL OF ROCK STRATA MOVEMENT AS COMPLEX LAMINATED PLATES

Starting from the basic equation of elastic mechanics, without any additional hypotheses of displacement or stress model, just introducing state space and state equation, the model of rock strata movement as complex laminated plates is presented. In addition, using displacement as a basic unknown quantity, the accurate analytical series solution for the problem of strata movement induced by extraction of horizontal seam is worked out when crosswise isotropic elastic layers are in sliding contact condition. A new approach is put forward to solve the complicated system of mining subsidence.