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碳税对于发展非化石能源的作用——基于能源-环境-经济模型的分析 被引量:14
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作者 周晟吕 石敏俊 +1 位作者 李娜 袁永娜 《自然资源学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第7期1101-1111,共11页
为评价实现我国2020年碳排放强度和非化石能源发展目标的经济和环境影响,论文应用基于动态CGE模型的中国能源-环境-经济模型,模拟了不同减排政策下的减排效果及经济影响。模拟结果显示,征收40元/t CO2碳税,将碳税作为政府收入、居民收... 为评价实现我国2020年碳排放强度和非化石能源发展目标的经济和环境影响,论文应用基于动态CGE模型的中国能源-环境-经济模型,模拟了不同减排政策下的减排效果及经济影响。模拟结果显示,征收40元/t CO2碳税,将碳税作为政府收入、居民收入、削减影响较大行业的生产税、以及用于非化石能源投资,2020年所能实现的减排量分别相当于CO2排放强度在2005年的基础上下降35.87%、35.80%、35.07%和40.13%,非化石能源的消费量将占到总消费量的10.99%、11.00%、10.75%和15.82%。政策情景下对经济的影响并不是十分显著,GDP的损失不超过0.2%。综合考虑到减排效益和经济影响,将碳税收入用作对非化石能源的投资,不仅有利于促进我国实现2020年碳排放强度目标,而且对于实现非化石能源发展目标也发挥着重要的作用。 展开更多
关键词 碳税 中国能源-环境-经济模型 非化石能源投资 减排效果
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基于“能源-经济-环境模型”的能源结构合理度分析 被引量:4
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作者 许珊 范德成 +1 位作者 王韶华 张伟 《经济经纬》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第4期131-135,共5页
我国的能源瓶颈突出表现为结构性矛盾。笔者以能源经济学为理论支撑,从低碳经济发展对能源结构的要求角度,提出了社会经济发展、能源发展规划、环境等3个维度,分析了各个维度的构成要素,运用SPSS16.0对每个要素进行单样本T检验,确定了1... 我国的能源瓶颈突出表现为结构性矛盾。笔者以能源经济学为理论支撑,从低碳经济发展对能源结构的要求角度,提出了社会经济发展、能源发展规划、环境等3个维度,分析了各个维度的构成要素,运用SPSS16.0对每个要素进行单样本T检验,确定了15个测评指标。运用层次分析法确定了各个指标的权重,构建了能源-经济-环境模型,并以此模型对2002年~2008年我国能源结构合理度进行了实证分析,发现此阶段我国能源结构合理度变化趋势呈"U"状,即先降后升;能源结构在满足社会经济发展需求上的得分呈上升趋势,而在能源发展规划执行力度、环境改善等方面的得分呈下降趋势。 展开更多
关键词 能源结构 “能源-经济-环境模型 能源结构合理度 测度指标
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主体功能区视角下的滇中城市群人口-经济-资源环境时空耦合分析
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作者 龙晓惠 陈国平 +3 位作者 林伊琳 赵俊三 王荣耀 冯怡翔 《水土保持研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期367-378,共12页
[目的]探析人口、经济和资源环境三者之间协调及发展水平状况,阐明各县耦合协调关系及影响因素,为主体功能区规划实施提供有力支撑。[方法]基于2010年、2015年、2020年滇中城市群的自然、经济及人文数据,从主体功能区视角建立人口-经济... [目的]探析人口、经济和资源环境三者之间协调及发展水平状况,阐明各县耦合协调关系及影响因素,为主体功能区规划实施提供有力支撑。[方法]基于2010年、2015年、2020年滇中城市群的自然、经济及人文数据,从主体功能区视角建立人口-经济-资源环境耦合协调发展评价指标体系。运用序关系分析法(G1)与熵权法(EW)确定综合权重,通过耦合协调度模型度量各县耦合协调关系,定量分析了2010年、2015年、2020年滇中城市群人口-经济-资源环境耦合协调演变状况,探析其发展规律。[结果](1)3个时段内,研究区人口在县域尺度呈空间正相关关系,且空间聚集性逐渐增强,呈现西部低人口密度聚集和中部高人口密度聚集态势且常年稳定;(2)2010—2020年,人口、经济和资源环境三者之间的耦合协调度综合发展水平有微弱提升,严重失调的协调类型逐渐消除,濒临失调占比46.94%成为最主要的协调类型;(3)人口、经济和资源环境两两耦合协调分布不均,其中2020年人口-经济综合耦合协调指数最低为0.4543,协调度水平时空分布与三系统协调评价结果吻合度是两两耦合协调评价中最高的,对人口-经济-资源环境耦合协调评价结果影响最大;(4)在主体功能区划实施前后,国家重点开发区两两耦合协调水平变化显著,人口-经济-资源环境整体耦合协调水平较低且有倒退趋势,省级重点开发区长期稳定可控;(5)研究区的人口、经济和资源环境三者之间存在较强的相互作用关系,但协调性在一定程度上处于制约状况。[结论]高耦合协调性主要依赖于人口对市县区经济的带动作用。重点开发区的有效实施必须抓好人口与经济协同发展,人口和经济协调是未来优化主体功能区的重点方向。 展开更多
关键词 主体功能区划 重点开发区 人口-经济-资源环境耦合协调模型 滇中城市群 人口时空演变
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“环境-经济”视角下生态产品供给机制研究 被引量:4
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作者 刘继为 陈会然 《广东石油化工学院学报》 2018年第5期53-56,62,共5页
在分析人类活动对生态产品供给影响机理的基础上,指出了人类活动对生态产品供给的影响。消极影响主要体现在生产环节、消费环节的负外部性和人类对自然资源的过度消耗这三方面,积极影响则主要表现为人类主动开展的各种生态建设活动。人... 在分析人类活动对生态产品供给影响机理的基础上,指出了人类活动对生态产品供给的影响。消极影响主要体现在生产环节、消费环节的负外部性和人类对自然资源的过度消耗这三方面,积极影响则主要表现为人类主动开展的各种生态建设活动。人类通过各种途径减少对生态系统产生消极影响,同时强化对生态系统的积极影响,使得原本属于自然产物的生态产品具有"人工"的成分,从这一层面上来讲,人类活动间接供给部分生态产品。 展开更多
关键词 环境-经济模型 生态产品 供给机制
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基于主体可计算经济学的经济-能源-环境建模研究 被引量:1
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作者 朱潜挺 曹晓雪 吴静 《重庆理工大学学报(社会科学)》 CAS 2016年第4期35-40,共6页
基于主体可计算经济学是对传统经济政策研究方法的重大突破。针对当前经济-能源-环境领域的相关问题所表现出的复杂性特征,基于主体可计算经济学角度进行重新认识,重点阐述基于主体可计算经济学在经济-能源-环境建模过程需关注的交互作... 基于主体可计算经济学是对传统经济政策研究方法的重大突破。针对当前经济-能源-环境领域的相关问题所表现出的复杂性特征,基于主体可计算经济学角度进行重新认识,重点阐述基于主体可计算经济学在经济-能源-环境建模过程需关注的交互作用和涌现、自适应学习机制、分叉与突变等重要主体行为特征,在此基础上,提出基于主体可计算经济学在经济-能源-环境建模的实现步骤。 展开更多
关键词 基于主体可计算经济 自主体模拟 经济-能源-环境模型
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碳税政策的减排效果与经济影响 被引量:27
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作者 周晟吕 石敏俊 +1 位作者 李娜 袁永娜 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 2011年第3期210-216,共7页
采用基于动态可计算一般均衡模型(CGE)构建的能源-环境-经济模型,模拟了在考虑能源利用效率提高的基础上,不同碳税税率以及碳税收入使用方式的减排效果及对经济的影响。结果表明,与基准情景相比,如果碳税收入直接归政府所有,征收30、60... 采用基于动态可计算一般均衡模型(CGE)构建的能源-环境-经济模型,模拟了在考虑能源利用效率提高的基础上,不同碳税税率以及碳税收入使用方式的减排效果及对经济的影响。结果表明,与基准情景相比,如果碳税收入直接归政府所有,征收30、60、90元/tCO2碳税,2020年的减排率分别为5.56%、10.45%和14.74%,GDP损失率分别为0.04%、0.10%和0.18%。征收碳税可实现的减排量,分别相当于实现2020年CO2排放强度比2005年下降40%的目标所需减排量的9.9%、18.6%和26.2%。将碳税收入返还给企业和居民,能在一定程度上缓解对企业和居民的负面影响。 展开更多
关键词 能源-环境-经济模型 碳税 减排效果 经济影响
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构建中国的能源-经济-环境系统评价模型 被引量:22
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作者 张阿玲 李继峰 《清华大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2007年第9期1537-1540,共4页
能源-经济-环境综合评价模型(3E模型)是开展国家能源系统规划的重要工具,中国在模型实际开发方面还落后于世界先进水平。该文根据国际流行的建模思路,构造了混合式3E模型TH-3EM(清华能源-经济-环境混合评价模型),利用可计算一般均衡模... 能源-经济-环境综合评价模型(3E模型)是开展国家能源系统规划的重要工具,中国在模型实际开发方面还落后于世界先进水平。该文根据国际流行的建模思路,构造了混合式3E模型TH-3EM(清华能源-经济-环境混合评价模型),利用可计算一般均衡模块描述经济系统整体,应用跨时段能源系统优化模块描述能源系统微观细节,通过在2个模块间建立双向闭合连接,描述能源系统与经济系统之间的互动关系,并保证模块结果的一致性。 展开更多
关键词 能源系统分析 能源-经济-环境系统综合评价模型 清华能源-经济-环境系统混合评价模型 能源系统优化模型
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能源约束下的中国经济中长期发展前景 被引量:6
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作者 石敏俊 周晟吕 +1 位作者 李娜 袁永娜 《系统工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第5期602-611,共10页
构建了基于动态CGE模型的中国能源-经济-环境政策模型,对能源技术进行了刻画并嵌入了资源耗竭模块,分析了化石能源供应约束对中国中长期经济发展和CO_2排放的影响,结果显示,能源供给约束将对未来中国经济的发展空间起重要作用,由于化石... 构建了基于动态CGE模型的中国能源-经济-环境政策模型,对能源技术进行了刻画并嵌入了资源耗竭模块,分析了化石能源供应约束对中国中长期经济发展和CO_2排放的影响,结果显示,能源供给约束将对未来中国经济的发展空间起重要作用,由于化石能源供给约束,与基准情景相比,2020年后GDP增速将降低0.7%左右,2050年GDP总量减少17%,CO_2排放峰值出现在2034年前后.低碳发展情景下,产业结构升级和居民消费结构调整等措施可以减轻对化石能源的依赖,缓解化石能源供给约束对经济增长的负面影响,CO_2排放峰值提前到2030年前后,低碳发展情景是在完全不承诺减排与承诺激进减排目标之间的一个平衡点,可以在不影响中长期经济发展目标的同时,通过自身努力实现CO_2的绝对量减排。 展开更多
关键词 中国能源-经济-环境政策模型 动态CGE模型 能源供给约束 低碳发展
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二氧化硫排污权交易研究——基于资源-经济-环境可计算一般均衡模型的分析 被引量:6
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作者 金艳鸣 雷明 《山西财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第8期1-10,共10页
基于2007年投入产出表,构建了广东、贵州及我国其他地区的多区域资源—经济-环境可计算一般均衡模型,分析了跨区排污权交易与区内排污权交易对地区经济及部门产出的差异性影响;同时,模拟了行政干预与市场手段相结合的污染控制政策对高... 基于2007年投入产出表,构建了广东、贵州及我国其他地区的多区域资源—经济-环境可计算一般均衡模型,分析了跨区排污权交易与区内排污权交易对地区经济及部门产出的差异性影响;同时,模拟了行政干预与市场手段相结合的污染控制政策对高能耗生产部门污染减排的作用。研究结果表明,相比于区域内排污权交易,跨区排污权交易对于缓解减排约束带来的经济负面影响具有更积极的作用,同时也有利于促进高能耗部门提高能源使用效率。 展开更多
关键词 多区域资源-经济-环境可计算一般均衡模型 二氧化硫 排污权交易
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Combining Stated Preference and Revealed Preference Methods for the Valuation of Non-market Goods 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Haipeng Xie Xuxuan 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2012年第4期121-126,共6页
In this paper,we introduce the combining stated preference and revealed preference methods which is the state-ofthe-art method for the valuation of non-market goods.Revealed preference methods and stated preference (S... In this paper,we introduce the combining stated preference and revealed preference methods which is the state-ofthe-art method for the valuation of non-market goods.Revealed preference methods and stated preference (SP) methods have both been applied by economists in valuing non-market goods;however both methods have inherent weaknesses.In order to exploit the strengths of the various approaches while minimizing their weaknesses,combining the two methods has become an important methodological option.Up to now,a growing number of literatures of studying combing the two types of data have evolved,and researchers developed three types of models to estimate combining revealed preference and stated preference data in academic fields:discrete choice model,continuous choice model and mixed choice model.Combining stated and revealed preference methods have been developed fast especially in the transport study field in which ideas could also be leant for environmental economic studies. 展开更多
关键词 stated preference revealed preference (RP) valuation of non-market goods
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Eco-budget-A Model of Urban Environmental Management
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作者 Hao Weixia Teng Li Wang Ziyan 《Ecological Economy》 2005年第4期13-17,共5页
In this paper, a new model of urban environmental resource management is introduced. The article analyzes the gap between urban environmental management and the management of economy and human resources. The significa... In this paper, a new model of urban environmental resource management is introduced. The article analyzes the gap between urban environmental management and the management of economy and human resources. The significance, the key points, the implementation procedures, and steps of eco-budget cycle are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 environmental management ECO-BUDGET
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碳减排政策:碳税、碳交易还是两者兼之? 被引量:201
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作者 石敏俊 袁永娜 +1 位作者 周晟吕 李娜 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第9期9-19,共11页
基于动态CGE模型构建了中国能源-经济-环境政策模型,根据碳税和碳排放交易的政策属性,设计了单一碳税、单一碳排放交易以及碳税与碳交易相结合的复合政策等不同情景,模拟分析了不同政策的减排效果、经济影响与减排成本.结果显示:1)碳税... 基于动态CGE模型构建了中国能源-经济-环境政策模型,根据碳税和碳排放交易的政策属性,设计了单一碳税、单一碳排放交易以及碳税与碳交易相结合的复合政策等不同情景,模拟分析了不同政策的减排效果、经济影响与减排成本.结果显示:1)碳税的GDP损失率最小,减排成本较低,但不能确保2020减排目标的实现;2)碳排放交易情景下机制覆盖行业承受的减排压力较大,受到的冲击过大,减排成本较高;3)碳排放交易与适度碳税相结合的复合政策,一方面可以确保减排目标的实现,另一方面可以使较为分散的排放源承担一定的减排义务,降低机制覆盖行业的减排压力,减排成本适中,是较优的减排政策. 展开更多
关键词 碳减排政策 碳税 碳排放交易 碳税与碳交易相结合 动态CGE模型 中国能源-经济-环境政策模型
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Green technical innovation, environmental expenditure, and the environmental Kuznets curve:a dynamics model 被引量:1
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作者 Cai Zhonghua 《Ecological Economy》 2008年第1期35-40,共6页
The relationship between the emission of pollutant and economic growth has attracted a lot of attention in the environmental debate of the recent decades. Based on some theoretical and empirical research on environmen... The relationship between the emission of pollutant and economic growth has attracted a lot of attention in the environmental debate of the recent decades. Based on some theoretical and empirical research on environmental Kuznets curve (EKC), this paper introduces the environmental technical innovation and environmental investment into Salow growth model to discuss the relationship between GDP per capital and the emission of pollutant By the dynamic simulation and parameters analysis, the results of the model indicate: (1) when "green" technical progress and environmental investment are fixed, the relationship between GDP per capital and the emission shows the linear relationship; (2) "green" technical progress can lead to the positive growth rates with a decreasing level of emission, which is compatible with an EKC; (3) the proportion of the environmental investment can lead the different growth rates and level of emission. These results can explain that developing countries are "too poor to be green". 展开更多
关键词 Environmental Kuznets curve Environmental investment Green technical progress DYNAMICS
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Atmospheric Environmental Quality Prediction Based on Support Vector Machine
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作者 Peng Zhong 《Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering》 2010年第2期1-6,共6页
The economic development bring serious environmental problems to China, the quality of atmospheric environment has an important bearing on the forecast. Be aimed at the complexity and non-linear of the quality of atmo... The economic development bring serious environmental problems to China, the quality of atmospheric environment has an important bearing on the forecast. Be aimed at the complexity and non-linear of the quality of atmospheric environment, chaos theory has been put forward which takes full advantage of using date information. Based on the reconstruction of time-series phase space of the quality of atmospheric environment with the use of least squares support vector machine theory, the atmospheric environment prediction model was built up, and 25 years of historical data viewed as the raw data of the quality of the environment in Benxi City, giving a practical example, it shows that the results forecasted by the least squares support vector machine and the actual results match the better the forecast accuracy also meet the engineering application. 展开更多
关键词 Environmental quality time series phase space support vector machine.
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Study on the Accounting Model of Ecological Environment
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作者 Liu Ying Zhao Zicheng +1 位作者 Liu Dan Liao Yong 《Ecological Economy》 2005年第4期18-22,共5页
This paper explains environmental problems from the point of ecunomy. Referring to the “System of Integrated Environmental and Economicat Accounting”(SEEA) promulgated by United Nations in 1993. the authors have s... This paper explains environmental problems from the point of ecunomy. Referring to the “System of Integrated Environmental and Economicat Accounting”(SEEA) promulgated by United Nations in 1993. the authors have setup a model of environmental and economic accounting after the discussion and modification of the concepts of prodoction, assets, and environmental costs. Taking ecological environment of Chongqing as an example, the envirunmental and economic analyses is done. The nesults of the model reflect .sustainabitity of ecologieal environment and environmental costs directly or indirectly in macro-economy. 展开更多
关键词 environmentol economy ACCOUNTING ecologicat environment
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Basic Structures and Political Implications of a Sustainable Welfare Model
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作者 Gerd Ahlertt Bemd Meyer +1 位作者 Roland Zieschank Hans Diefenbacher 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2014年第4期189-203,共15页
A synopsis of political welfare concepts, which are currently discussed under labels such as "green growth", "zero growth" and "degrowth", has identified fundamental shortcomings concerning the informational bas... A synopsis of political welfare concepts, which are currently discussed under labels such as "green growth", "zero growth" and "degrowth", has identified fundamental shortcomings concerning the informational bases of the complex links between ecological, social and economic systems, which were taken into account in the creation of the concept. In the development of a concept for political action, a rationally acting environmental policy cannot neglect reflecting on which economic, ecological and social contexts have to be taken into account and on which normative statements its decisions should be grounded. The proposed sustainable welfare model consists of a positive impact and a normative decision model. The positive model provides a description of the "world" with which the effects of the various options for action on the environmental, social and the economic systems can be assessed. The normative model is a tool for selecting and assessing the options for action in pursuing the desired goal of sustainable welfare development. Principally the key environmental goals are prearranged to socio-economic goals. The model at hand provides the reference points for the development of a sustainable welfare concept, which can be used as a political action plan in the context of environmental policy. 展开更多
关键词 Planetary boundaries environmental and socio-economic goals sustainable welfare model sustainable development green economy.
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Globalization or Isolation?—— Ricardo's Model
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作者 Eizo Kinoshita 《Chinese Business Review》 2011年第10期939-947,共9页
Through the attempt to clarify justifiable economic circumstances where a policy of globalization and/or a policy of national isolation is proven valid, the author revealed in this thesis that there are two such econo... Through the attempt to clarify justifiable economic circumstances where a policy of globalization and/or a policy of national isolation is proven valid, the author revealed in this thesis that there are two such economic phases: An economy where the theory of comparative advantage, proposed by David Ricardo, is applicable, and an economy where the theory is not applicable. The author applied his original approach to prove the validity of Ricardo's comparative advantage theory, and found that the theory can be justified only when a macro economy is in the primal problem phase, where a policy of globalization is effective. It is a necessary and sufficient condition for the theory to be valid. In other words, Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage is not applicable when a macro economy is in the dual problem phase, where a policy of national isolation, instead of that of globalization, is valid. The primal problem phase and the dual problem phase of a macro economy, called in this thesis by the author, are a version of an expression quite common in OR (operations research). 展开更多
关键词 Ricardo's model GLOBALIZATION ISOLATION
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Pesticide Contamination in Land Reform Settlements in Brazil: Empirical Evidences from Caiaponia, Goias State
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作者 Alcido Elenor Wander Cleyzer Adrian da Cunha Agostinho Dirceu Didonet 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2013年第3期197-202,共6页
Brazil is the largest consumer of pesticides worldwide. Public health studies in Brazil show that inadequate use of pesticides increases the incidence of accidents and contamination of poor rural communities. This stu... Brazil is the largest consumer of pesticides worldwide. Public health studies in Brazil show that inadequate use of pesticides increases the incidence of accidents and contamination of poor rural communities. This study sought to identify factors that determine the occurrence of problems with pesticides in a typical Brazilian land reform settlement. The study was carried out in Caiaponia, Goias state. In the empirical analysis, the econometric model pro bit was used. The dependent variable was the existence of health problems in the family setting that are caused by pesticides. The independent variables were the family size; the attendance to any church, whether Catholic or Protestant; if farmers received any technical assistance; the current health condition of the family, and if there are exacerbated erosion problems on the farm. Data from 28 farmers were collected through a structured questionnaire. Among the main findings, larger families have a higher probability of accidents involving pesticides. The current healthy conditions of family and the problems of soiled gradation in the farm imply are duction in the likelihood of contamination with pesticides. These two results indicate that rural households that have good health condition and have experienced environmental degradation on their farm have higher environmental awareness. 展开更多
关键词 Pesticide use environmental awareness health issues.
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Discussion on Application of Green Financial Management in the Enterprise
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作者 Songzhi Sun 《International English Education Research》 2014年第10期79-81,共3页
In this new century, the new green economy growth development pattern is gradually raised. As the expanding of development background, green management pattern has gradually been listed in many enterprises. This allow... In this new century, the new green economy growth development pattern is gradually raised. As the expanding of development background, green management pattern has gradually been listed in many enterprises. This allows companies to conduct exploration deeply, and takes advantage of sustainable development of the green economy plans; so as to make the call of national energy-saving emission to be responded, environment-friendly and resource-saving society to be constructed, also can make the healthy and green corporate culture to be created. 展开更多
关键词 Green financial management ENTERPRISES MANAGEMENT
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SICGE模型的扩展及其与IESOM模型的连接 被引量:3
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作者 张成龙 李继峰 +1 位作者 张阿玲 毕超 《清华大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第2期234-240,共7页
为了提高能源和气候变化领域的政策研究能力,建立了一种能源-经济-环境综合评价模型(3E模型)。通过修改生产函数,增加碳排放核算模块和碳税模块,改进了国家信息中心一般均衡模型(SICGE),用来描述宏观经济系统。采用清华大学能源系统优... 为了提高能源和气候变化领域的政策研究能力,建立了一种能源-经济-环境综合评价模型(3E模型)。通过修改生产函数,增加碳排放核算模块和碳税模块,改进了国家信息中心一般均衡模型(SICGE),用来描述宏观经济系统。采用清华大学能源系统优化模型(IESOM)来描述能源系统。通过能源服务需求、技术参数、投资成本等变量,建立了SICGE和IESOM模型的双向闭合连接。运行结果表明:SICGE和IESOM模型的迭代收敛,能够改善2种模型结果的一致性。 展开更多
关键词 系统建模 能源-经济-环境综合评价模型 SICGE模型 能源系统优化模型
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