The cell model developed since 1950s is a useful tool forexploring the behavior of particle assemblages, but it demandsfurther careful development of the outer boundary conditions so thatinteraction in a particle swar...The cell model developed since 1950s is a useful tool forexploring the behavior of particle assemblages, but it demandsfurther careful development of the outer boundary conditions so thatinteraction in a particle swarm is better represented. In this paper,the cell model and its development were reviewed, and themodifications of outer cell boundary conditions were suggested. Atthe cell outer boundary, the restriction of uniform liquid flow wasremoved in our simulation conducted in the reference frame fixed withthe particle.展开更多
The outputs of 17 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are employed to investigate the temporal and spatial features of 2.0°C warming of the surface temperature over the globe and C...The outputs of 17 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are employed to investigate the temporal and spatial features of 2.0°C warming of the surface temperature over the globe and China under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 scenario. The simulations of the period 1860-1899 in the "historical" experiment are chosen as the baseline. The simulations for the 21st century in the RCP4.5 experiment are chosen as the future project. The multi-model ensemble mean (MME) shows that the global mean temperature would cross the 2.0°C warming threshold in 2047. Warming in most of the models would cross the threshold during 2030-2060. For local warming, high-latitude areas in the Northern Hemisphere show the fastest warming over the globe. Land areas warm substantially faster than the oceans. Most of the southern oceans would not exceed the 2.0°C warming threshold within the 21st century. Over China, surface warming is substantially faster than the global mean. The area-averaged warming would cross the 2.0°C threshold in 2034. Locally, Northwest China shows the fastest warming trend, followed by Central North China and Northeast China. Central China, East China, and South China are the last to cross the 2.0°C warming threshold. The diversity of the models is also estimated in this study. Generally, the spread among the models increases with time, and there is smaller spread among the models for the areas with the faster warming.展开更多
Drought is one of the extreme events that can be caused by internal climate variability (ICV) and external forcing (EF). Here, the authors investigate the relative contributions of ICY and EF to meteorological dro...Drought is one of the extreme events that can be caused by internal climate variability (ICV) and external forcing (EF). Here, the authors investigate the relative contributions of ICY and EF to meteorological drought changes in China using 40 members from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESE_LE) project for historical simulations (in response to greenhouse gases and other EF) and future simulations under the RCP8.5 scenario. The authors use the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to represent meteorological drought, and then define and analyze four drought parameters (frequency, severity, duration, and maximum duration) over eight regions of China. For historical periods, the ICV plays a dominant role in drought variation, while with global warming under the RCP8.5 scenario the EF becomes the prominent factor for drought characteristics. With the global warming signal, the effect of ICV varies with the drought parameters. This study suggests that the ICV should be taken into account when climate model simulations are used to investigate drought--in particular, for historical periods.展开更多
Data assimilation is the process by which measurements and model predictions are combined to obtain an accurate representation of the state of the modeled system. We implemented a data assimilation scheme called LETKF...Data assimilation is the process by which measurements and model predictions are combined to obtain an accurate representation of the state of the modeled system. We implemented a data assimilation scheme called LETKF (local ensemble transform Kalman filter) with FSUGSM (Florida State University Global Spectral Model) and made an experiment to evaluate the initial condition generated to numerical weather prediction to FSUGSM model. The LETKF analysis carries out independently at each grid point with the use of "local" observations. An ensemble of estimates in state space represents uncertainty. The FSUGSM is a multilevel (27 vertical levels) spectral primitive equation model, where the variables are expanded horizontally in a truncated series of spherical harmonic functions (at resolution T63) and a transform technique is applied to calculate the physical processes in real space The assimilation cycle runs on the period 01/01/2001 to 31/01/2001 at (00, 06, 12 and 18 GMT) for each day. We examined the atmospheric fields during the period and the OMF (observation-minus-forecast) and the OMA (observation-minus-analysis) statistics to verify the analysis quality comparing with forecasts and observations. The analyses present stability and show suitable to initiate the weather predictions.展开更多
Seasonality changes in China under elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations were simulated using nine global climate models, assuming a 1% per year increase in atmospheric CO2. Simulations of 20th century experiments o...Seasonality changes in China under elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations were simulated using nine global climate models, assuming a 1% per year increase in atmospheric CO2. Simulations of 20th century experiments of season changes in China from the periods 1961-80 to 1981-2000 were also assessed using the same models. The results show that the ensemble mean simula- tion of the nine models performs better than that of an individual model simulation. Compared the mean climatology of the last 20 years in the CO2-quadrupling experiments with that in the CO2-doubling ones, the ensemble mean results show that the hottest/coldest continuous-90-day (local summer/winter) mean temperature in- creased by 3.4/4.5℃, 2.7/2.9℃, and 2.9/4.1℃ in Northeast (NE), Southwest (SW), and Southeast (SE) China, respectively, indicating a weakening seasonal amplitude (SA), but by 4.4/4.0℃ in Northwest (NW) China, indicating an enlarging SA. The local summer lengthened by 37/30/66/54 days in NW, NE, SW, and SE China, respec- tively. In some models, the winter disappeared during the CO2-quadrupling period, judging by the threshold based on the CO2-doubling period. The average of the other model simulations show that the local winter shortened by 42/36/61/44 days respectively, in the previously mentioned regions.展开更多
Oil and gas breakthroughs have been achieved in the Zhongshen 1(ZS1) and 1 C(ZS1 C) wells in Cambrian pre-salt from the Tarim Basin in northwest China. However, Middle and Lower Cambrian reservoirs reveal substantial ...Oil and gas breakthroughs have been achieved in the Zhongshen 1(ZS1) and 1 C(ZS1 C) wells in Cambrian pre-salt from the Tarim Basin in northwest China. However, Middle and Lower Cambrian reservoirs reveal substantial differences in the geochemistry and secondary alteration characteristics between the oils collected from the two wells. High concentrations of thiadiamondoids and diamondoidthiols, including thiatetramantanes, tetramantanethiols, thiapentamantanes, and pentamantanethiols, are detected in the organic sulfur compound fraction of concentrated oil collected from the ZS1 C well, which samples the Lower Cambrian Xiaoerbulake Formation. Higher diamondoids, such as tetramantanes, pentamantanes, hexamantanes, and cyclohexamantane, also occur in the saturate fractions of the concentrated ZS1 C oil. The presence of these compounds is verified by mass spectra analysis and comparison with previous studies. During thermochemical sulfate reduction(TSR), the cage of higher diamondoids is interpreted to open because of sulfur radicals forming open-cage higher diamondoid-like thiols, followed by cyclization that leads to the formation of high thiadiamondoids. Using D_(16)-adamantane as an internal standard, the concentrations of lower diamondoids and thiadiamondoids of non-concentrated Cambrian oil from well ZS1 C are 83874 and8578 μg/g, respectively, which are far higher than Cambrian oil from well ZS1 and most Ordovician oils in the Tarim Basin. The high concentrations of lower thiadiamondoids and occurrence of higher thiadiamondoids and diamondoidthiols support that the oil from well ZS1 C is a product of severe TSR alteration.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 29836130).
文摘The cell model developed since 1950s is a useful tool forexploring the behavior of particle assemblages, but it demandsfurther careful development of the outer boundary conditions so thatinteraction in a particle swarm is better represented. In this paper,the cell model and its development were reviewed, and themodifications of outer cell boundary conditions were suggested. Atthe cell outer boundary, the restriction of uniform liquid flow wasremoved in our simulation conducted in the reference frame fixed withthe particle.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2009CB421407)
文摘The outputs of 17 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are employed to investigate the temporal and spatial features of 2.0°C warming of the surface temperature over the globe and China under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 scenario. The simulations of the period 1860-1899 in the "historical" experiment are chosen as the baseline. The simulations for the 21st century in the RCP4.5 experiment are chosen as the future project. The multi-model ensemble mean (MME) shows that the global mean temperature would cross the 2.0°C warming threshold in 2047. Warming in most of the models would cross the threshold during 2030-2060. For local warming, high-latitude areas in the Northern Hemisphere show the fastest warming over the globe. Land areas warm substantially faster than the oceans. Most of the southern oceans would not exceed the 2.0°C warming threshold within the 21st century. Over China, surface warming is substantially faster than the global mean. The area-averaged warming would cross the 2.0°C threshold in 2034. Locally, Northwest China shows the fastest warming trend, followed by Central North China and Northeast China. Central China, East China, and South China are the last to cross the 2.0°C warming threshold. The diversity of the models is also estimated in this study. Generally, the spread among the models increases with time, and there is smaller spread among the models for the areas with the faster warming.
基金supported by the Key Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China[grant number2016YFA0602401]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41275110]supported by the National Science Foundation[grant number AGS-0944101]
文摘Drought is one of the extreme events that can be caused by internal climate variability (ICV) and external forcing (EF). Here, the authors investigate the relative contributions of ICY and EF to meteorological drought changes in China using 40 members from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESE_LE) project for historical simulations (in response to greenhouse gases and other EF) and future simulations under the RCP8.5 scenario. The authors use the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to represent meteorological drought, and then define and analyze four drought parameters (frequency, severity, duration, and maximum duration) over eight regions of China. For historical periods, the ICV plays a dominant role in drought variation, while with global warming under the RCP8.5 scenario the EF becomes the prominent factor for drought characteristics. With the global warming signal, the effect of ICV varies with the drought parameters. This study suggests that the ICV should be taken into account when climate model simulations are used to investigate drought--in particular, for historical periods.
文摘Data assimilation is the process by which measurements and model predictions are combined to obtain an accurate representation of the state of the modeled system. We implemented a data assimilation scheme called LETKF (local ensemble transform Kalman filter) with FSUGSM (Florida State University Global Spectral Model) and made an experiment to evaluate the initial condition generated to numerical weather prediction to FSUGSM model. The LETKF analysis carries out independently at each grid point with the use of "local" observations. An ensemble of estimates in state space represents uncertainty. The FSUGSM is a multilevel (27 vertical levels) spectral primitive equation model, where the variables are expanded horizontally in a truncated series of spherical harmonic functions (at resolution T63) and a transform technique is applied to calculate the physical processes in real space The assimilation cycle runs on the period 01/01/2001 to 31/01/2001 at (00, 06, 12 and 18 GMT) for each day. We examined the atmospheric fields during the period and the OMF (observation-minus-forecast) and the OMA (observation-minus-analysis) statistics to verify the analysis quality comparing with forecasts and observations. The analyses present stability and show suitable to initiate the weather predictions.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2009CB421401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41005039)+1 种基金Hong Kong Environment and Conservation Fund (ECF)project (Grant No. 9211008)City University of Hong Kong(Grant No. SRG7002505)
文摘Seasonality changes in China under elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations were simulated using nine global climate models, assuming a 1% per year increase in atmospheric CO2. Simulations of 20th century experiments of season changes in China from the periods 1961-80 to 1981-2000 were also assessed using the same models. The results show that the ensemble mean simula- tion of the nine models performs better than that of an individual model simulation. Compared the mean climatology of the last 20 years in the CO2-quadrupling experiments with that in the CO2-doubling ones, the ensemble mean results show that the hottest/coldest continuous-90-day (local summer/winter) mean temperature in- creased by 3.4/4.5℃, 2.7/2.9℃, and 2.9/4.1℃ in Northeast (NE), Southwest (SW), and Southeast (SE) China, respectively, indicating a weakening seasonal amplitude (SA), but by 4.4/4.0℃ in Northwest (NW) China, indicating an enlarging SA. The local summer lengthened by 37/30/66/54 days in NW, NE, SW, and SE China, respec- tively. In some models, the winter disappeared during the CO2-quadrupling period, judging by the threshold based on the CO2-doubling period. The average of the other model simulations show that the local winter shortened by 42/36/61/44 days respectively, in the previously mentioned regions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41772153)State Key Laboratory of Organic Geochemistry, GIGCAS (Grant No. SKLOG2017-02)+1 种基金National Science and Technology Major Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant No. 2017ZX05005-002)SINOPEC Ministry of Science and Technology (Grant No. P16090, P17049-1)
文摘Oil and gas breakthroughs have been achieved in the Zhongshen 1(ZS1) and 1 C(ZS1 C) wells in Cambrian pre-salt from the Tarim Basin in northwest China. However, Middle and Lower Cambrian reservoirs reveal substantial differences in the geochemistry and secondary alteration characteristics between the oils collected from the two wells. High concentrations of thiadiamondoids and diamondoidthiols, including thiatetramantanes, tetramantanethiols, thiapentamantanes, and pentamantanethiols, are detected in the organic sulfur compound fraction of concentrated oil collected from the ZS1 C well, which samples the Lower Cambrian Xiaoerbulake Formation. Higher diamondoids, such as tetramantanes, pentamantanes, hexamantanes, and cyclohexamantane, also occur in the saturate fractions of the concentrated ZS1 C oil. The presence of these compounds is verified by mass spectra analysis and comparison with previous studies. During thermochemical sulfate reduction(TSR), the cage of higher diamondoids is interpreted to open because of sulfur radicals forming open-cage higher diamondoid-like thiols, followed by cyclization that leads to the formation of high thiadiamondoids. Using D_(16)-adamantane as an internal standard, the concentrations of lower diamondoids and thiadiamondoids of non-concentrated Cambrian oil from well ZS1 C are 83874 and8578 μg/g, respectively, which are far higher than Cambrian oil from well ZS1 and most Ordovician oils in the Tarim Basin. The high concentrations of lower thiadiamondoids and occurrence of higher thiadiamondoids and diamondoidthiols support that the oil from well ZS1 C is a product of severe TSR alteration.