高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问...高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问题,提出一种基于GPR的用户量预测优化方法。在滑动窗口方法处理数据的基础上,选择合适的核函数,基于k折交叉验证得到最佳超参数组合以实现GPR模型训练,完成在线用户量的实时预测并进行性能评估。实验结果表明,相比于采用训练集中输出数据方差的50%作为信号噪声估计量的传统方案,所提方法具有较高的预测准确度,并且在测试集均方根误差(root mean square,RMS)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(mean bias error,MBE)和决定系数R 2这4个评估指标方面均有提升,其中MBE至少提升了43.3%。展开更多
In order to construct the trusted network and realize the trust of network behavior,a new multi-dimensional behavior measurement model based on prediction and control is presented.By using behavior predictive equation...In order to construct the trusted network and realize the trust of network behavior,a new multi-dimensional behavior measurement model based on prediction and control is presented.By using behavior predictive equation,individual similarity function,group similarity function,direct trust assessment function,and generalized predictive control,this model can guarantee the trust of an end user and users in its network.Compared with traditional measurement model,the model considers different characteristics of various networks.The trusted measurement policies established according to different network environments have better adaptability.By constructing trusted group,the threats to trusted group will be reduced greatly.Utilizing trusted group to restrict individuals in network can ensure the fault tolerance of trustworthiness of trusted individuals and group.The simulation shows that this scheme can support behavior measurement more efficiently than traditional ones and the model resists viruses and Trojans more efficiently than older ones.展开更多
Admission control plays an important role in providing QoS to network users. Motivated by the measurement-based admission control algorithm, this letter proposed a new admission control approach for integrated service...Admission control plays an important role in providing QoS to network users. Motivated by the measurement-based admission control algorithm, this letter proposed a new admission control approach for integrated service packet network based on traffic prediction. In the letter, FARIMA(p, d, q) models in the admission control algorithm is deployed. A method to simplify the FARIMA model fitting procedure and hence to reduce the time of traffic modeling and prediction is suggested. The feasibility-study experiments show that FARIMA models which have less number of parameters can be used to model and predict actual traffic on quite a large time scale. Simulation results validate the promising approach.展开更多
文摘高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问题,提出一种基于GPR的用户量预测优化方法。在滑动窗口方法处理数据的基础上,选择合适的核函数,基于k折交叉验证得到最佳超参数组合以实现GPR模型训练,完成在线用户量的实时预测并进行性能评估。实验结果表明,相比于采用训练集中输出数据方差的50%作为信号噪声估计量的传统方案,所提方法具有较高的预测准确度,并且在测试集均方根误差(root mean square,RMS)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(mean bias error,MBE)和决定系数R 2这4个评估指标方面均有提升,其中MBE至少提升了43.3%。
基金This work was supported by the National Basic Research Pro-gram of China under Crant No.2007CB311100 Funds of Key Lab of Fujlan Province University Network Security and Cryp- toll1009+3 种基金 the National Science Foundation for Young Scholars of China under Crant No.61001091 Beijing Nature Science Foundation under Crant No. 4122012 ＂Next-Generation Broad-band Wireless Mobile Communication Network＂ National Sci-ence and Technology Major Special Issue Funding under Grant No. 2012ZX03002003 Funding Program for Academic tturmn Resources Development in Institutions of Higher Learning Under the Jurisdiction of Beijing Municipality of Chi-na.
文摘In order to construct the trusted network and realize the trust of network behavior,a new multi-dimensional behavior measurement model based on prediction and control is presented.By using behavior predictive equation,individual similarity function,group similarity function,direct trust assessment function,and generalized predictive control,this model can guarantee the trust of an end user and users in its network.Compared with traditional measurement model,the model considers different characteristics of various networks.The trusted measurement policies established according to different network environments have better adaptability.By constructing trusted group,the threats to trusted group will be reduced greatly.Utilizing trusted group to restrict individuals in network can ensure the fault tolerance of trustworthiness of trusted individuals and group.The simulation shows that this scheme can support behavior measurement more efficiently than traditional ones and the model resists viruses and Trojans more efficiently than older ones.
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant No.69872025,the Information Office of Tianjin Municipal Government and a Gift from Cisco System
文摘Admission control plays an important role in providing QoS to network users. Motivated by the measurement-based admission control algorithm, this letter proposed a new admission control approach for integrated service packet network based on traffic prediction. In the letter, FARIMA(p, d, q) models in the admission control algorithm is deployed. A method to simplify the FARIMA model fitting procedure and hence to reduce the time of traffic modeling and prediction is suggested. The feasibility-study experiments show that FARIMA models which have less number of parameters can be used to model and predict actual traffic on quite a large time scale. Simulation results validate the promising approach.
