According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are comput...According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are computed to determine the time delay and the embedding dimension.Due to different features of the data,data mining algorithm is conducted to classify the data into different groups.Redundant information is eliminated by the advantage of data mining technology,and the historical loads that have highly similar features with the forecasting day are searched by the system.As a result,the training data can be decreased and the computing speed can also be improved when constructing support vector machine(SVM) model.Then,SVM algorithm is used to predict power load with parameters that get in pretreatment.In order to prove the effectiveness of the new model,the calculation with data mining SVM algorithm is compared with that of single SVM and back propagation network.It can be seen that the new DSVM algorithm effectively improves the forecast accuracy by 0.75%,1.10% and 1.73% compared with SVM for two random dimensions of 11-dimension,14-dimension and BP network,respectively.This indicates that the DSVM gains perfect improvement effect in the short-term power load forecasting.展开更多
Rough set (RS) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) based insulation data mining fault diagnosis for power transformer is proposed. On the one hand rough set is used as front of RBFNN to simplify the input...Rough set (RS) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) based insulation data mining fault diagnosis for power transformer is proposed. On the one hand rough set is used as front of RBFNN to simplify the input of RBFNN and mine the rules. The mined rules whose “confidence” and “support” is higher than requirement are used to offer fault diagnosis service for power transformer directly. On the other hand the mining samples corresponding to the mined rule, whose “confidence and support” is lower than requirement, are used to be training samples set of RBFNN and these samples are clustered by rough set. The center of each clustering set is used to be center of radial basis function, i.e., as the hidden layer neuron. The RBFNN is structured with above base, which is used to diagnose the case that can not be diagnosed by mined simplified valuable rules based on rough set. The advantages and effectiveness of this method are verified by testing.展开更多
基金Project(70671039) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are computed to determine the time delay and the embedding dimension.Due to different features of the data,data mining algorithm is conducted to classify the data into different groups.Redundant information is eliminated by the advantage of data mining technology,and the historical loads that have highly similar features with the forecasting day are searched by the system.As a result,the training data can be decreased and the computing speed can also be improved when constructing support vector machine(SVM) model.Then,SVM algorithm is used to predict power load with parameters that get in pretreatment.In order to prove the effectiveness of the new model,the calculation with data mining SVM algorithm is compared with that of single SVM and back propagation network.It can be seen that the new DSVM algorithm effectively improves the forecast accuracy by 0.75%,1.10% and 1.73% compared with SVM for two random dimensions of 11-dimension,14-dimension and BP network,respectively.This indicates that the DSVM gains perfect improvement effect in the short-term power load forecasting.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50128706).
文摘Rough set (RS) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) based insulation data mining fault diagnosis for power transformer is proposed. On the one hand rough set is used as front of RBFNN to simplify the input of RBFNN and mine the rules. The mined rules whose “confidence” and “support” is higher than requirement are used to offer fault diagnosis service for power transformer directly. On the other hand the mining samples corresponding to the mined rule, whose “confidence and support” is lower than requirement, are used to be training samples set of RBFNN and these samples are clustered by rough set. The center of each clustering set is used to be center of radial basis function, i.e., as the hidden layer neuron. The RBFNN is structured with above base, which is used to diagnose the case that can not be diagnosed by mined simplified valuable rules based on rough set. The advantages and effectiveness of this method are verified by testing.
