窃电用户窃电量的精确估算对挽回电力企业的经济损失和依法处置窃电用户具有重要的实际意义。为实现用户窃电量精确估算,通过对时间序列回归算法进行优化改进,提出了一种新的窃电量估算方法。该方法以用户当前用电量时间序列样本和历史...窃电用户窃电量的精确估算对挽回电力企业的经济损失和依法处置窃电用户具有重要的实际意义。为实现用户窃电量精确估算,通过对时间序列回归算法进行优化改进,提出了一种新的窃电量估算方法。该方法以用户当前用电量时间序列样本和历史同期时间序列样本为基础,通过引入最大均值差异(maximum mean difference,MMD)得到基于最大均值差异-最小二乘支持向量回归(MMD-least square support vector regression,MMD-LSSVR)的半监督学习回归算法,以提高回归的准确度和数据的利用度、降低时间复杂度;同时,通过引入交叉变异人工蜂群算法(artificial bee colony based on crossover mutation,CMABC)对算法关键参数进行最佳适应度约束,以提高估算结果精度和收敛速度。在此基础上,提出了基于MMD-CMABC-LSSVR的窃电量估算方法。算法验证结果表明,采用所提方法,其估算电量与实际用电量的相对误差仅为2%,精度远优于传统方法;实际应用案例表明,所提方法可有效恢复窃电时间区段内窃电用户负荷和计量曲线,并精确估算出窃电量。所提方法为反窃电稽查工作提供了一种新的有效手段,具有良好的应用前景。展开更多
In order to review storage performance of the electric double layer capacitor (EDLC) in microgrid applications, charging time and storage efficiency issues are mainly studied aiming at three different charging modes...In order to review storage performance of the electric double layer capacitor (EDLC) in microgrid applications, charging time and storage efficiency issues are mainly studied aiming at three different charging modes, including the constant voltage charging mode (CVCM), the constant current charging mode (CCCM) and the constant power charging mode (CPCM), based on the practical EDLC product. Numerical calculation methods are presented for different charging modes, and the charging efficiency is also reviewed with strict mathematical deductions, which is validated to be accurate enough and applicable through a simple case with the PV/EDLC system illustration. Finally, trade-off problems between charging time and energy loss are also studied. Research results show that the CPCM is more suitable for microgrid networks compared with the traditional constant-voltage and constant-current charging modes. The hybrid charging method is recommended to save energy and keep high efficiency relatively at the same time. However, how to manage the combination percentage of different charging modes in a reasonable way should be dealt with according to the practical requirements.展开更多
文摘窃电用户窃电量的精确估算对挽回电力企业的经济损失和依法处置窃电用户具有重要的实际意义。为实现用户窃电量精确估算,通过对时间序列回归算法进行优化改进,提出了一种新的窃电量估算方法。该方法以用户当前用电量时间序列样本和历史同期时间序列样本为基础,通过引入最大均值差异(maximum mean difference,MMD)得到基于最大均值差异-最小二乘支持向量回归(MMD-least square support vector regression,MMD-LSSVR)的半监督学习回归算法,以提高回归的准确度和数据的利用度、降低时间复杂度;同时,通过引入交叉变异人工蜂群算法(artificial bee colony based on crossover mutation,CMABC)对算法关键参数进行最佳适应度约束,以提高估算结果精度和收敛速度。在此基础上,提出了基于MMD-CMABC-LSSVR的窃电量估算方法。算法验证结果表明,采用所提方法,其估算电量与实际用电量的相对误差仅为2%,精度远优于传统方法;实际应用案例表明,所提方法可有效恢复窃电时间区段内窃电用户负荷和计量曲线,并精确估算出窃电量。所提方法为反窃电稽查工作提供了一种新的有效手段,具有良好的应用前景。
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50907010)Ph.D.Programs Foundation of Ministry of Education of China(No.20070286047)Scientific Innovation Foundation for Youngsters of CSEE
文摘In order to review storage performance of the electric double layer capacitor (EDLC) in microgrid applications, charging time and storage efficiency issues are mainly studied aiming at three different charging modes, including the constant voltage charging mode (CVCM), the constant current charging mode (CCCM) and the constant power charging mode (CPCM), based on the practical EDLC product. Numerical calculation methods are presented for different charging modes, and the charging efficiency is also reviewed with strict mathematical deductions, which is validated to be accurate enough and applicable through a simple case with the PV/EDLC system illustration. Finally, trade-off problems between charging time and energy loss are also studied. Research results show that the CPCM is more suitable for microgrid networks compared with the traditional constant-voltage and constant-current charging modes. The hybrid charging method is recommended to save energy and keep high efficiency relatively at the same time. However, how to manage the combination percentage of different charging modes in a reasonable way should be dealt with according to the practical requirements.