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云南省农业旱灾社会脆弱性评价研究 被引量:4
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作者 龚艳冰 戴靓靓 杨舒馨 《水资源与水工程学报》 CSCD 2017年第6期239-243,共5页
针对云南省近年来旱灾爆发频率、波及范围、持续时间及损失程度等呈现的加重趋势,首先构建干旱扰动下农业旱灾社会脆弱性评价指标体系,运用组合熵-CRITIC法确立指标权重,对云南省近15年来农业旱灾社会脆弱性进行动态评价。结果表明,近... 针对云南省近年来旱灾爆发频率、波及范围、持续时间及损失程度等呈现的加重趋势,首先构建干旱扰动下农业旱灾社会脆弱性评价指标体系,运用组合熵-CRITIC法确立指标权重,对云南省近15年来农业旱灾社会脆弱性进行动态评价。结果表明,近年来云南省农业社会经济在干旱扰动下,敏感性和应对能力总体呈现增长趋势,农业社会脆弱性呈现波动下降趋势;旱灾社会脆弱性类型划分结果显示,云南省农业社会脆弱性在干旱扰动下,主要集中于低敏感性、低应对能力,高敏感性、低应对能力和高敏感性、高应对能力3种类型。最后,提出从提高农户防旱抗旱意识,加快农业种植结构调整,积极探索灾后补偿新范式等方面进行农业旱灾风险管理。 展开更多
关键词 农业干旱 组合权重 社会脆弱性评价 云南省
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Geographical Impact and Ecological Restoration Modes of the Spatial Differentiation of Rural Social-Ecosystem Vulnerability:Evidence from Qingpu District in Shanghai
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作者 REN Guoping LIU Liming +3 位作者 LI Hongqing SUN Qian YIN Gang WAN Beiqi 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2021年第6期849-868,共20页
Vulnerability research is the core issue and one of the research hotspots of sustainable development science.Vulnerability and its evaluation framework provide a new perspective for rural social-ecosystem studies.This... Vulnerability research is the core issue and one of the research hotspots of sustainable development science.Vulnerability and its evaluation framework provide a new perspective for rural social-ecosystem studies.This paper introduced the‘input-output’efficiency theory and constructed the‘SEE-PSR’framework for the analysis of social-ecosystem vulnerability in the rural area in Qingpu District of Shanghai City.The DEA models,spatial autocorrelation model,multivariate logistic regression model,geographical detector and hierarchical cluster model were used to analyze the spatial differences of social-ecosystem vulnerability,and its geographical impact mechanisms and ecological restorations,in 184 administrative villages in this area.The results can be divided into three main points.(1)The results of the‘input-output’efficiency model of the EW-DEA based on entropy weight aggregation crossover was more reliable and accurate for the evaluation of rural social-ecosystem vulnerability.The vulnerability of the social-ecosystems in the administrative villages showed a trend of gradual decline from east to west,with an average value of vulnerability of 0.583,and the vulnerability of social systems had become an important factor in constraining the decrease of the vulnerability of the social-ecosystems in the region.(2)The distances from the center of Shanghai City,from Dianshan Lake,from the center of Qingpu District and from the water area were the four dominant geographical factors affecting the vulnerability of the social-ecosystem in this region.The geographical impacts exhibited the spatial differentiations of systemic structure,the substitution of typological attributes and the transformation level.(3)The geographical factors coupling the impact types of the social-ecosystem vulnerability were divided spatially into 10 types.The geographic multi-factor coupling impact types were dominant,which presented multi-cyclic spatial patterns and were dominated by the central multi-factor which was surrounded by the single factor types on both sides.According to the different types,some feasible ways of ecological restoration were proposed,which drew on the experiences of integrated territory consolidation to remediate the vulnerability of rural social-ecological systems.The results of this study can provide scientific reference for rural spatial reconstruction,regional ecological restoration and sustainable development for the regions characterized by conflict in the‘strict protection of the ecological environment and vigorous development of the economy’. 展开更多
关键词 social-ecological system vulnerability evaluation efficiency geographical factors geographical impact modes ecological restoration Qingpu District
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