Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests ...Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests forecasting using the method of neural network based on fuzzy clustering was proposed in this experiment. The simulation results demonstrated that the method was simple and practical and could forecast pests fast and accurately, particularly, the method could obtain good results with few samples and samples correlation.展开更多
This study aims to predict ground surface settlement due to shallow tunneling and introduce the most affecting parameters on this phenomenon.Based on data collected from Shanghai LRT Line 2 project undertaken by TBM-E...This study aims to predict ground surface settlement due to shallow tunneling and introduce the most affecting parameters on this phenomenon.Based on data collected from Shanghai LRT Line 2 project undertaken by TBM-EPB method,this research has considered the tunnel's geometric,strength,and operational factors as the dependent variables.At first,multiple regression(MR) method was used to propose equations based on various parameters.The results indicated the dependency of surface settlement on many parameters so that the interactions among different parameters make it impossible to use MR method as it leads to equations of poor accuracy.As such,adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS),was used to evaluate its capabilities in terms of predicting surface settlement.Among generated ANFIS models,the model with all input parameters considered produced the best prediction,so as its associated R^2 in the test phase was obtained to be 0.957.The equations and models in which operational factors were taken into consideration gave better prediction results indicating larger relative effect of such factors.For sensitivity analysis of ANFIS model,cosine amplitude method(CAM) was employed; among other dependent variables,fill factor of grouting(n) and grouting pressure(P) were identified as the most affecting parameters.展开更多
In this paper, a four-layer fuzzy neural network using the Back Propagation （BP） Algorithm and the fuzzy logic was built to study the nonlinear relationships between different physical -chemical factors and the dens...In this paper, a four-layer fuzzy neural network using the Back Propagation （BP） Algorithm and the fuzzy logic was built to study the nonlinear relationships between different physical -chemical factors and the denseness of red tide algae, and to anticipate the denseness of the red tide algae. For the first time, the fuzzy neural network technology was applied to research the prediction of red tide. Compared with BP network and RBF network, the outcome of this method is better.展开更多
Construction of metro tunnels in dense and crowded urban areas is faced with many risks, such as sub- sidence. The purpose of this paper was the prediction of subsidence risk by failure mode and effect anal- ysis （F...Construction of metro tunnels in dense and crowded urban areas is faced with many risks, such as sub- sidence. The purpose of this paper was the prediction of subsidence risk by failure mode and effect anal- ysis （FMEA） and fuzzy inference system （FIS）. Fuzzy theory will be able to model uncertainties. Fuzzy FMEA provides a tool that can work in a better way with vague concepts and without sufficient informa- tion than conventional FMEA. In this paper, S and D are obtained from fuzzy rules and 0 is obtained from artificial neural network （ANN）. FMEA is performed by developing a fuzzy risk priority number （FRPN）. The FRPN for two stations in Tehran No.4 subway line is 3.1 and 5.5, respectively. To investigate the suit- ability of this approach, the predictions by FMEA have been compared with actual data. The results show that this method can be useful in the prediction of subsidence risk in urban tunnels.展开更多
The fuzzy NN predictive control algorithm introduced in this paper uses fuzzy neural network to model the nonlinear MIMO process. Its training method that integrates LS and BP algorithm brings quick convergence. GPC a...The fuzzy NN predictive control algorithm introduced in this paper uses fuzzy neural network to model the nonlinear MIMO process. Its training method that integrates LS and BP algorithm brings quick convergence. GPC algorithm is used as the predictive component. The fuzzy neural network has six layers, including input layer, output layer and four hidden layers. An application to a MIMO nonlinear process(green liquor system of the recovery system in a pulp factory shows that this algorithm has better performance than normal PID algrithm.展开更多
Large-scale annual climate indices were used to forecast annual drought conditions in the Maharlu-Bakhtegan watershed,located in Iran,using a neuro-fuzzy model.The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) was used as a p...Large-scale annual climate indices were used to forecast annual drought conditions in the Maharlu-Bakhtegan watershed,located in Iran,using a neuro-fuzzy model.The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) was used as a proxy for drought conditions.Among the 45 climate indices considered,eight identified as most relevant were the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO),Atlantic Meridional Mode(AMM),the Bivariate ENSO Time series(BEST),the East Central Tropical Pacific Surface Temperature(NINO 3.4),the Central Tropical Pacific Surface Temperature(NINO 4),the North Tropical Atlantic Index(NTA),the Southern Oscillation Index(SOI),and the Tropical Northern Atlantic Index(TNA).These indices accounted for 81% of the variance in the Principal Components Analysis(PCA) method.The Atlantic surface temperature(SST:Atlantic) had an inverse relationship with SPI,and the AMM index had the highest correlation.Drought forecasts of neuro-fuzzy model demonstrate better prediction at a two-year lag compared to a stepwise regression model.展开更多
基金Supported by Guangxi Science Research and Technology Explora-tion Plan Project(0815001-10)~~
文摘Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests forecasting using the method of neural network based on fuzzy clustering was proposed in this experiment. The simulation results demonstrated that the method was simple and practical and could forecast pests fast and accurately, particularly, the method could obtain good results with few samples and samples correlation.
文摘This study aims to predict ground surface settlement due to shallow tunneling and introduce the most affecting parameters on this phenomenon.Based on data collected from Shanghai LRT Line 2 project undertaken by TBM-EPB method,this research has considered the tunnel's geometric,strength,and operational factors as the dependent variables.At first,multiple regression(MR) method was used to propose equations based on various parameters.The results indicated the dependency of surface settlement on many parameters so that the interactions among different parameters make it impossible to use MR method as it leads to equations of poor accuracy.As such,adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS),was used to evaluate its capabilities in terms of predicting surface settlement.Among generated ANFIS models,the model with all input parameters considered produced the best prediction,so as its associated R^2 in the test phase was obtained to be 0.957.The equations and models in which operational factors were taken into consideration gave better prediction results indicating larger relative effect of such factors.For sensitivity analysis of ANFIS model,cosine amplitude method(CAM) was employed; among other dependent variables,fill factor of grouting(n) and grouting pressure(P) were identified as the most affecting parameters.
文摘In this paper, a four-layer fuzzy neural network using the Back Propagation （BP） Algorithm and the fuzzy logic was built to study the nonlinear relationships between different physical -chemical factors and the denseness of red tide algae, and to anticipate the denseness of the red tide algae. For the first time, the fuzzy neural network technology was applied to research the prediction of red tide. Compared with BP network and RBF network, the outcome of this method is better.
文摘Construction of metro tunnels in dense and crowded urban areas is faced with many risks, such as sub- sidence. The purpose of this paper was the prediction of subsidence risk by failure mode and effect anal- ysis （FMEA） and fuzzy inference system （FIS）. Fuzzy theory will be able to model uncertainties. Fuzzy FMEA provides a tool that can work in a better way with vague concepts and without sufficient informa- tion than conventional FMEA. In this paper, S and D are obtained from fuzzy rules and 0 is obtained from artificial neural network （ANN）. FMEA is performed by developing a fuzzy risk priority number （FRPN）. The FRPN for two stations in Tehran No.4 subway line is 3.1 and 5.5, respectively. To investigate the suit- ability of this approach, the predictions by FMEA have been compared with actual data. The results show that this method can be useful in the prediction of subsidence risk in urban tunnels.
文摘The fuzzy NN predictive control algorithm introduced in this paper uses fuzzy neural network to model the nonlinear MIMO process. Its training method that integrates LS and BP algorithm brings quick convergence. GPC algorithm is used as the predictive component. The fuzzy neural network has six layers, including input layer, output layer and four hidden layers. An application to a MIMO nonlinear process(green liquor system of the recovery system in a pulp factory shows that this algorithm has better performance than normal PID algrithm.
文摘Large-scale annual climate indices were used to forecast annual drought conditions in the Maharlu-Bakhtegan watershed,located in Iran,using a neuro-fuzzy model.The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) was used as a proxy for drought conditions.Among the 45 climate indices considered,eight identified as most relevant were the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO),Atlantic Meridional Mode(AMM),the Bivariate ENSO Time series(BEST),the East Central Tropical Pacific Surface Temperature(NINO 3.4),the Central Tropical Pacific Surface Temperature(NINO 4),the North Tropical Atlantic Index(NTA),the Southern Oscillation Index(SOI),and the Tropical Northern Atlantic Index(TNA).These indices accounted for 81% of the variance in the Principal Components Analysis(PCA) method.The Atlantic surface temperature(SST:Atlantic) had an inverse relationship with SPI,and the AMM index had the highest correlation.Drought forecasts of neuro-fuzzy model demonstrate better prediction at a two-year lag compared to a stepwise regression model.
