膨胀土胀缩变形量的人工神经网络预测模型

膨胀土的膨胀特性会对工程造成很大的危害,对膨胀土的膨胀量进行预测具有重要的现实意义。针对膨胀土特殊工程性质,分析了胀缩变形量的影响因素。结合人工神经网络原理,建造了膨胀土胀缩变形量的人工神经网络预测模型。采用 BP 神经网络和所建造的数学模型,对膨胀土的胀缩变形量进行预测。结果表明,该模型映射精度较高,有较好的实际应用价值。

高技能人才需求的BP神经网络预测——以天津为例

首先分析运用神经网络进行区域高技能人才需求预测的可行性,然后重点阐述二层MLP神经网络的BP学习算法以及网络结构的确定原则,接着运用BP神经网络对天津高技能人才需求进行预测。

基于神经网络的滚动轴承振动预测

以神经网络与MATLAB实现理论为依据,提出了一种新的滚动轴承振动预测方法。这种方法根据轴承的加工质量试验数据,建立轴承振动预测的BP网络试验模型,在MATLAB开发环境下输入训练样本数据矩阵和目标矩阵。经过训练后,网络误差达到要求,预报结果的最大相对误差小于10%。

基于VMPSO-RBF神经网络的话务量预测

为了更快速、准确地预测话务量,提出了速度变异的粒子群算法(VMPSO),并与RBF算法相结合,形成速度变异的粒子群—RBF(VMPSO-RBF)神经网络算法,并且来训练神经网络,从而优化了神经网络的参数,最后对移动话务量进行预测。与RBF神经网络方法和PSO-RBF神经网络方法相比较,该文提出的方法预测精度更高,收敛速度更快。

基于Matlab的BP神经网络应用

BP学习算法是一种单向传播的多层前向网络,Matlab中的神经网络工具箱是以人工神经网络理论为基础,基于Matlab的工具箱,结合西瓜仁重的预测,验证了BP神经网络预测西瓜仁重的可行性,且BP算法收敛速度快,误差小,值得在预测作物生长中推广。

西安市PM10污染及BP神经网络气象预测研究

在研究近几年西安市PM10污染的现状的基础上，初步选取8类20个气象因子，再采用主成分分析法进行精简，得到11个与PM10相关的主要因子，在此基础上，采用人工神经网络模型对西安市PM10污染状况进行预测，确定了网络模型结构。预测结果表明：预测值与实际值的相关系数达到0．801，在265个测试样本中，预测结果与实际完全吻合的为212天，占80％；相差不超过一级的天数为262天，占98．87％，与实际情况基本一致，效果理想。

Multi-dimension and multi-modal rolling mill vibration prediction model based on multi-level network fusion

Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction models do not consider the features contained in the data,resulting in limited improvement of model accuracy.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-dimensional multi-modal cold rolling vibration time series prediction model(MDMMVPM)based on the deep fusion of multi-level networks.In the model,the long-term and short-term modal features of multi-dimensional data are considered,and the appropriate prediction algorithms are selected for different data features.Based on the established prediction model,the effects of tension and rolling force on mill vibration are analyzed.Taking the 5th stand of a cold mill in a steel mill as the research object,the innovative model is applied to predict the mill vibration for the first time.The experimental results show that the correlation coefficient(R^(2))of the model proposed in this paper is 92.5%,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE)is 0.0011,which significantly improves the modeling accuracy compared with the existing models.The proposed model is also suitable for the hot rolling process,which provides a new method for the prediction of strip rolling vibration.

A prediction comparison between univariate and multivariate chaotic time series

The methods to determine time delays and embedding dimensions in the phase space delay reconstruction of multivariate chaotic time series are proposed. Three nonlinear prediction methods of multivariate chaotic time series including local mean prediction, local linear prediction and BP neural networks prediction are considered. The simulation results obtained by the Lorenz system show that no matter what nonlinear prediction method is used, the prediction error of multivariate chaotic time series is much smaller than the prediction error of univariate time series, even if half of the data of univariate time series are used in multivariate time series. The results also verify that methods to determine the time delays and the embedding dimensions are correct from the view of minimizing the prediction error.

Evolving Neural Networks Using an Improved Genetic Algorithm

A novel real coded improved genetic algorithm (GA) of training feed forward neural network is proposed to realize nonlinear system forecast. The improved GA employs a generation alternation model based the minimal generation gap (MGP) and blend crossover operators (BLX α). Compared with traditional GA implemented in binary number, the processing time of the improved GA is faster because coding and decoding are unnecessary. In addition, it needn t set parameters such as the probability value of crossove...

Neural network based online hypertension risk evaluation system

Since the previous research works are not synthetic and accurate enough for building a precise hypertension risk evaluation system,by ranking the significances for hypertension factors according to the information gains on 2 231 normotensive and 823 hypertensive samples,totally 42 different neural network models are built and tested.The prediction accuracy of a model whose inputs are 26 factors is found to be much higher than the 81.61% obtained by previous research work. The prediction matching rates of the model for ＂hypertension or not＂,＂systolic blood pressure＂,and ＂diastolic blood pressure＂ are 95.79%,98.22% and 98.41%,respectively.Based on the found model and the object oriented techniques,an online hypertension risk evaluation system is developed,being able to gather new samples,learn the new samples,and improve its prediction accuracy automatically.

STUDY ON ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING METHOD OF WATER CONSUMPTION PER HOUR

An artificial neural network (ANN) short term forecasting model of consumption per hour was built based on seasonality,trend and randomness of a city period of time water consumption series.Different hidden layer nodes,same inputs and forecasting data were selected to train and forecast and then the relative errors were compared so as to confirm the NN structure.A model was set up and used to forecast concretely by Matlab.It is tested by examples and compared with the result of time series trigonometric function analytical method.The result indicates that the prediction errors of NN are small and the velocity of forecasting is fast.It can completely meet the actual needs of the control and run of the water supply system.

Study on Pests Forecasting Using the Method of Neural Network Based on Fuzzy Clustering

Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests forecasting using the method of neural network based on fuzzy clustering was proposed in this experiment. The simulation results demonstrated that the method was simple and practical and could forecast pests fast and accurately, particularly, the method could obtain good results with few samples and samples correlation.

SIMULATING RHYTHMIC MOVEMENT OF HUMAN ELBOW JOINT USING A NEURAL NETWORK PREDICTIVE MODEL

Human brain is hypothesized to store a geometry and dynamic model of the limb.A multilayer perceptron (or MLP) network is used to stand for the model.In this paper the human elbow joint rhythmic movement is simulated in three cases:1)Parameters of the MLP,the limb geometry and dynamic model match completely,2)Parameters mismatch between them,and 3)Disturbance exists.The results show that parameters mismatch is the main error source,which causes the elbow joint movement to be aberrant.From this we can infer that movement study is a process in which the internal model is updated continuously to match the geometry and dynamic model of limb.

NEURAL NETWORK PREDICTIVE CONTROL WITH HIERARCHICAL GENETIC ALGORITHM

A kind of predictive control based on the neural network(NN) for nonlinear systems with time delay is addressed.The off line NN model is obtained by using hierarchical genetic algorithms (HGA) to train a sequence data of input and output.Output predictions are obtained by recursively mapping the NN model.The error rectification term is introduced into a performance function that is directly optimized while on line control so that it overcomes influences of the mismatched model and disturbances,etc.Simulations show the system has good dynamic responses and robustness.

Study on the Model of Excessive Staminate Catkin Thinning of Proterandrous Walnut Based on Quadratic Polynomial Regression Equation and BP Artificial Neural Network

The excessive staminate catkin thinning （emasculation） of proterandrous walnut is an important management measure for improving yield. To improve the excessive staminate catkin thinning efficiency, the model of quadratic polynomial regression equation and BP artificial neural network was developed. The effects of ethephon, gibberel in and mepiquat on shedding rate of staminate catkin of pro-terandrous walnut were investigated by modeling field test. Based on the modeling test results, the excessive staminate catkin thinning model of quadratic polynomial regression equation and BP artificial neural network was established, and it was validated by field test next year. The test data were divided into training set, vali-dation set and test set. The total 20 sets of data obtained from the modeling field test were randomly divided into training set （17） and validation set （3） by central composite design （quadric rotational regression test design）, and the data obtained from the next-year field test were divided into the test set. The topological struc-ture of BP artificial neural network was 3-5-1. The results showed that the pre-diction errors of BP neural network for samples from the validation set were 1.355 0%, 0.429 1% and 0.353 8%, respectively; the difference between the predicted value by the BP neural network and validated value by field test was 2.04%, and the difference between the predicted value by the regression equation and validated value by field test was 3.12%; the prediction accuracy of BP neural network was over 1.0% higher than that of regression equation. The effective combination of quadratic polynomial stepwise regression and BP artificial neural network wil not only help to determine the effect of independent parameter but also improve the prediction accuracy.

River channel flood forecasting method of coupling wavelet neural network with autoregressive model

Based on analyzing the limitations of the commonly used back-propagation neural network （BPNN）, a wavelet neural network （WNN） is adopted as the nonlinear river channel flood forecasting method replacing the BPNN. The WNN has the characteristics of fast convergence and improved capability of nonlinear approximation. For the purpose of adapting the timevarying characteristics of flood routing, the WNN is coupled with an AR real-time correction model. The AR model is utilized to calculate the forecast error. The coefficients of the AR real-time correction model are dynamically updated by an adaptive fading factor recursive least square（RLS） method. The application of the flood forecasting method in the cross section of Xijiang River at Gaoyao shows its effectiveness.

Application Research of Temperature Forecasts on Elman Neural Network

[Objective] The aim was to establish Elman neural network model to predict the dynamic changes of temperature. [Method] Considering the inherent nature of temperature, and dy dint of the temperature in Chongqing during 1951-2010, the Elman artificial neural network model was applied to predict the temperature. [Result] This simulation result suggested that the relative error was small and can have a good simulation to the future temperature changes. [Conclusion] The prediction result can guide agricultural production and further apply to the field of pricing the weather derivative products.

Neural network approach to predicting mercury emission from utility boiler

The feasibility of using an ANN method to predict the mercury emission and speciation in the flue gas of a power station under un-tested combustion/operational conditions is evaluated. Based on existing field testing datasets for the emissions of three utility boilers, a 3-layer back-propagation network is applied to predict the mercury speciation at the stack. The whole prediction procedure includes： collection of data, structuring an artificial neural network （ANN） model, training process and error evaluation. A total of 59 parameters of coal and ash analyses and power plant operating conditions are treated as input variables, and the actual mercury emissions and their speciation data are used to supervise the training process and verify the performance of prediction modeling. The precision of model prediction （ root- mean-square error is 0. 8 μg/Nm3 for elemental mercury and 0. 9 μg/Nm3 for total mercury） is acceptable since the spikes of semi- mercury continuous emission monitor （SCEM） with wet conversion modules are taken into consideration.

Spatial Interpolation of Soil Nutrients Based on BP Neural Network

With Zengcheng City, Guangdong Province, as the object of study, 200 soil sampling points were col ected for the spatial interpolation prediction of soil properties by using Kriging method and BP neural network method. After comparing the interpolation results with the measured values, the root mean square error of the prediction data was obtained. The results showed that the interpolation accuracy of BP neural network was higher than that of Kriging method under the same cir-cumstances, and there was no smoothness in using BP neural network method when there were few sample points. In addition, with no requirement on the distri-bution of sample data, BP neural network method had stronger generalization ability than traditional interpolation method, which was an alternative interpolation method.

Function chain neural network prediction on heat transfer performance of oscillating heat pipe based on grey relational analysis

As for the factors affecting the heat transfer performance of complex and nonlinear oscillating heat pipe (OHP),grey relational analysis (GRA) was used to deal with the relationship between heat transfer rate of a looped copper-water OHP and charging ratio,inner diameter,inclination angel,heat input,number of turns,and the main influencing factors were defined.Then,forecasting model was obtained by using main influencing factors (such as charging ratio,interior diameter,and inclination angel) as the inputs of function chain neural network.The results show that the relative average error between the predicted and actual value is 4%,which illustrates that the function chain neural network can be applied to predict the performance of OHP accurately.