空间环境指数是描述空间碎片对空间环境长期影响的量化评估指数。用该指数可以对比分析某空间物体的在轨运行是否对其他物体乃至整体环境产生较大威胁。对现有典型空间碎片环境指数及其建模方法进行分析和比较,并针对过去模型中平均碰...空间环境指数是描述空间碎片对空间环境长期影响的量化评估指数。用该指数可以对比分析某空间物体的在轨运行是否对其他物体乃至整体环境产生较大威胁。对现有典型空间碎片环境指数及其建模方法进行分析和比较,并针对过去模型中平均碰撞风险计算方法的不足,提出一种空间环境指数模型,即基于轨道间最小距离(minimum orbital intersection distance,MOID)的空间环境指数(MOID-based space index,MBSI)。该指数综合空间碎片的质量、有效截面积等因素,基于MOID考虑碰撞风险,计算近地轨道(low Earth orbit,LEO)区域中不同空间物体的MBSI指数,并与已有的R_(N)指数、CSI(criticality of spacecraft index,CSI)指数的结果进行比对和分析。MBSI与R_(N)指数、CSI指数符合度超过60%,而MBSI更能体现空间物体寿命期内的危险程度。展开更多
用于航天器轨道预报的热层密度模型普遍存在30%左右的误差,影响LEO卫星的精密轨道确定和载荷控制。基于低轨航天器平运动变化与大气密度的关系,使用GRACE(gravity recovery and climate experiment)卫星TLE数据反演2003、2007年沿轨大...用于航天器轨道预报的热层密度模型普遍存在30%左右的误差,影响LEO卫星的精密轨道确定和载荷控制。基于低轨航天器平运动变化与大气密度的关系,使用GRACE(gravity recovery and climate experiment)卫星TLE数据反演2003、2007年沿轨大气密度,通过比较反演值、模型值和实测值的关系分析误差产生原因,使用对数正态分布拟合密度比值。通过分析太阳辐射、地磁指数对大气密度变化的影响,提出一种基于空间环境指数的热层大气密度模型校正与预报方式。使用该方法对2003、2004、2007、2008年的MSIS86模型计算密度进行修正,将模型平均相对误差从33.33%~59.62%降低到11.55%~15.13%,太阳活动低年改进量是高年的1.5~2倍。对2009年经验模型结果进行预报校正,将预报误差降低36.49%,提高了模型精度。展开更多
Habitat pattern change of red-crowned cranes (Grus japonensis) in t he Liaohe Delta between 1988 and 1998 was analyzed with the help of Spatial Dive rsity Index based on remote sensing data and field investigation. Th...Habitat pattern change of red-crowned cranes (Grus japonensis) in t he Liaohe Delta between 1988 and 1998 was analyzed with the help of Spatial Dive rsity Index based on remote sensing data and field investigation. The result sho wed that the influence from human activities on the wetland habitat of red-crow ned cranes was prominent with the development of oil and agricultural exploitati on, and the habitat pattern of red-crowned cranes had been obviously changed by the human disturbance during the ten years. The areas with high Spatial Diversi ty values (SD≥0.65) and that with mid-high values (0.5≤SD< 0.65), which const ituted the main part of suitable habitat of red-crowned cranes,had reduced to 9142ha and 5576ha respectively, with the shrinking of natural land cover, such a s reed and Suaeda community. The habitat pattern became more fragmented, which w as caused by roads and wells during oil exploration. It was indicated that the s uitability and quality of habitat for red-crowned cranes in the Liaohe Delta we re degraded in the last decade. The results also showed that diversity index cou ld reflect the habitat suitability of red-crowned cranes quantitatively and des cribe the spatial pattern of the habitat explicitly. This study will provide a s cientific basis for habitat protection of red-crowned cranes and other rare spe cies in wetlands.展开更多
文摘空间环境指数是描述空间碎片对空间环境长期影响的量化评估指数。用该指数可以对比分析某空间物体的在轨运行是否对其他物体乃至整体环境产生较大威胁。对现有典型空间碎片环境指数及其建模方法进行分析和比较,并针对过去模型中平均碰撞风险计算方法的不足,提出一种空间环境指数模型,即基于轨道间最小距离(minimum orbital intersection distance,MOID)的空间环境指数(MOID-based space index,MBSI)。该指数综合空间碎片的质量、有效截面积等因素,基于MOID考虑碰撞风险,计算近地轨道(low Earth orbit,LEO)区域中不同空间物体的MBSI指数,并与已有的R_(N)指数、CSI(criticality of spacecraft index,CSI)指数的结果进行比对和分析。MBSI与R_(N)指数、CSI指数符合度超过60%,而MBSI更能体现空间物体寿命期内的危险程度。
文摘用于航天器轨道预报的热层密度模型普遍存在30%左右的误差,影响LEO卫星的精密轨道确定和载荷控制。基于低轨航天器平运动变化与大气密度的关系,使用GRACE(gravity recovery and climate experiment)卫星TLE数据反演2003、2007年沿轨大气密度,通过比较反演值、模型值和实测值的关系分析误差产生原因,使用对数正态分布拟合密度比值。通过分析太阳辐射、地磁指数对大气密度变化的影响,提出一种基于空间环境指数的热层大气密度模型校正与预报方式。使用该方法对2003、2004、2007、2008年的MSIS86模型计算密度进行修正,将模型平均相对误差从33.33%~59.62%降低到11.55%~15.13%,太阳活动低年改进量是高年的1.5~2倍。对2009年经验模型结果进行预报校正,将预报误差降低36.49%,提高了模型精度。
文摘Habitat pattern change of red-crowned cranes (Grus japonensis) in t he Liaohe Delta between 1988 and 1998 was analyzed with the help of Spatial Dive rsity Index based on remote sensing data and field investigation. The result sho wed that the influence from human activities on the wetland habitat of red-crow ned cranes was prominent with the development of oil and agricultural exploitati on, and the habitat pattern of red-crowned cranes had been obviously changed by the human disturbance during the ten years. The areas with high Spatial Diversi ty values (SD≥0.65) and that with mid-high values (0.5≤SD< 0.65), which const ituted the main part of suitable habitat of red-crowned cranes,had reduced to 9142ha and 5576ha respectively, with the shrinking of natural land cover, such a s reed and Suaeda community. The habitat pattern became more fragmented, which w as caused by roads and wells during oil exploration. It was indicated that the s uitability and quality of habitat for red-crowned cranes in the Liaohe Delta we re degraded in the last decade. The results also showed that diversity index cou ld reflect the habitat suitability of red-crowned cranes quantitatively and des cribe the spatial pattern of the habitat explicitly. This study will provide a s cientific basis for habitat protection of red-crowned cranes and other rare spe cies in wetlands.
