With the increasing of users and the demands which are transforming from the monotonous traditional service to network service,Multiple space environment web applications including browser-client,rich-client and mobil...With the increasing of users and the demands which are transforming from the monotonous traditional service to network service,Multiple space environment web applications including browser-client,rich-client and mobile-client applications have been developed by SEPC(Space Environment Prediction Center,NSSC,CAS)during the past few years.The architecture of Operational Space Environment Technology System(OSETS) that these applications rely on is described and the description of structural optimization of the architecture is provided.To demonstrate the evolution of the OSETS,three web application examples for e SpaceWx,Space Weather Situation Awareness Picture(SWSAP),Plug-and-Play SWx Analysis and Plotting Program(PPSWAP) are presented.展开更多
In space weather forecasting, forecast verification is necessary so that the forecast quality can be assessed. This paper provides an example of how to choose and devise verification methods and techniques according t...In space weather forecasting, forecast verification is necessary so that the forecast quality can be assessed. This paper provides an example of how to choose and devise verification methods and techniques according to different space weather forecast products. Solar proton events(SPEs) are hazardous space weather events, and forecasting them is one of the major tasks of the Space Environment Prediction Center(SEPC) at the National Space Science Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Through analyzing SPE occurrence characteristics, SPE forecast properties, and verification requirements at SEPC, verification methods for SPE probability forecasts are identified, and verification results obtained. Overall, SPE probability forecasts at SEPC exhibit good accuracy, reliability, and discrimination. Compared with climatology and persistence forecasts, the SPE forecasts are more accurate. However, the forecasts for SPE onset days are substantially underestimated and need to be considerably improved.展开更多
文摘With the increasing of users and the demands which are transforming from the monotonous traditional service to network service,Multiple space environment web applications including browser-client,rich-client and mobile-client applications have been developed by SEPC(Space Environment Prediction Center,NSSC,CAS)during the past few years.The architecture of Operational Space Environment Technology System(OSETS) that these applications rely on is described and the description of structural optimization of the architecture is provided.To demonstrate the evolution of the OSETS,three web application examples for e SpaceWx,Space Weather Situation Awareness Picture(SWSAP),Plug-and-Play SWx Analysis and Plotting Program(PPSWAP) are presented.
基金supported by the National Basic Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB825600)
文摘In space weather forecasting, forecast verification is necessary so that the forecast quality can be assessed. This paper provides an example of how to choose and devise verification methods and techniques according to different space weather forecast products. Solar proton events(SPEs) are hazardous space weather events, and forecasting them is one of the major tasks of the Space Environment Prediction Center(SEPC) at the National Space Science Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Through analyzing SPE occurrence characteristics, SPE forecast properties, and verification requirements at SEPC, verification methods for SPE probability forecasts are identified, and verification results obtained. Overall, SPE probability forecasts at SEPC exhibit good accuracy, reliability, and discrimination. Compared with climatology and persistence forecasts, the SPE forecasts are more accurate. However, the forecasts for SPE onset days are substantially underestimated and need to be considerably improved.