The system dynamics is a new subject that was put forward by Professor J W. Fortester in dmerican MIT in 1950s. It is extensively applied to systematic problems af high phase, nonlinear, multtdimensionality, multiple ...The system dynamics is a new subject that was put forward by Professor J W. Fortester in dmerican MIT in 1950s. It is extensively applied to systematic problems af high phase, nonlinear, multtdimensionality, multiple feedback and complicated time-variation. In this paper, the complex system in mining area is divided into five parts - resources, environment. economy, population, and science and technology. The.five parts are regarded as five sub-models. By taking the economic subsystem as an example, the SD model of complex system in mining area is established. This model has certain universality and practicability.展开更多
Climate drift refers to spurious long-term changes that may be inherent in coupled models when external forcing factors are fixed. Understanding the sources of this drift and tuning the drift are crucial for obtaining...Climate drift refers to spurious long-term changes that may be inherent in coupled models when external forcing factors are fixed. Understanding the sources of this drift and tuning the drift are crucial for obtaining reasonable simulations from coupled models. To prepare for the upcoming Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, a new coupled model has been constructed based on the Community Earth System Model and the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG version 2. However, the surface temperature predicted by the new model is too underestimated, and this underestimation is caused by a type of climate drift, i.e., ‘‘initial shock.'' This study analyzes the source of the cold surface temperature from the perspective of energy balance and attempts to reduce the surface temperature drift by tuning the relative humidity threshold for low cloud.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 70173034).
文摘The system dynamics is a new subject that was put forward by Professor J W. Fortester in dmerican MIT in 1950s. It is extensively applied to systematic problems af high phase, nonlinear, multtdimensionality, multiple feedback and complicated time-variation. In this paper, the complex system in mining area is divided into five parts - resources, environment. economy, population, and science and technology. The.five parts are regarded as five sub-models. By taking the economic subsystem as an example, the SD model of complex system in mining area is established. This model has certain universality and practicability.
基金supported by the CAS Strategic Priority Research Program (XDA05110304)the National 973 Basic Research Program of China (2015CB954102)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41330527, 41205079, and 41305040)
文摘Climate drift refers to spurious long-term changes that may be inherent in coupled models when external forcing factors are fixed. Understanding the sources of this drift and tuning the drift are crucial for obtaining reasonable simulations from coupled models. To prepare for the upcoming Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, a new coupled model has been constructed based on the Community Earth System Model and the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG version 2. However, the surface temperature predicted by the new model is too underestimated, and this underestimation is caused by a type of climate drift, i.e., ‘‘initial shock.'' This study analyzes the source of the cold surface temperature from the perspective of energy balance and attempts to reduce the surface temperature drift by tuning the relative humidity threshold for low cloud.