基于灰色系统理论的云南民族村游客满意度调查研究

云南是一个民族文化旅游资源丰富的大省,民族村则当之无愧的成为了云南少数民族文化的缩影。本文通过在云南民族村进行抽样问卷调查的研究方式,对在民族村游览的游客主体行为特征及其对景区各项因子的满意度进行了调查,并运用灰系统理论对进行了数据分析,得到了游客对景区的满意度,提出了云南民族村现今存在的问题,希望能对云南民族村今后的发展起到一定的指导作用。

从系统论探讨完善城市总体规划编制体系

在《中华人民共和国城乡规划法》颁布的背景下,文章将系统论理论引入城市总体规划,从认识论、编制体系和方法论三个层面探讨完善城市总体规划编制体系。

思想政治教育系统的研究回顾与反思

思想政治教育系统的现有研究成果主要集中于经验总结范式和理论建构范式两个维度,形成了系统工程论、生态系统论、学科理论系统论、社会系统论等代表性观点,呈现出鲜明研究特征。注重历史与逻辑分析统一、理论与实证研究并重、多学科与多范式研究共存、学术系统研究范式和行动系统思维方式同行是思想政治教育系统研究发展的新要求。

经济后果三分法:内涵与启示

本文提出自己的经济后果观及其“三分法”;分析了经济后果观对准则制定的一个启示;在此基础上构建了基于经济后果观的系统论理论模型,并阐述了其内涵及其运用;文章认为,经济后果可以分为“零经济后果”、“正经济后果”和“负经济后果”,这种划分有利于问题分析的深入,系统论理论模型的提出有利于在准则制定过程中切实贯彻“经济后果”思想提供了思维导向,从而不断完善我国会计准则制定。

论教师的教育机智

随着素质教育的推进和课程改革的深入,社会对教师的要求越来越高,课堂上教师的教育机智更显重要。本文对教育机智的定义以及教育机智的理论基础做了初步探讨。

FLIGHT CONFLICT FO RECASTING BASED ON CHAOTIC TIME SERIES

In order to grasp the evolution of flight conflict amount accurately and to forecast the amount, chaos in flight conflicts is studied. Firstly, a fault tree of flight conflicts is established based on the man-machine-environ- ment system engineering theory. The chaotic characteristics of flight conflict are analyzed from the qualitative point of view. Secondly, an improved chaotic algorithm for the largest Lyapunov exponent is proposed based on the small-data method and the wavelet de-noising theory. Chaos in flight conflict time series is identified by the improved chaotic algorithm from the quantitative point of view. Finally, a case study by the chaos forecasting al- gorithm is performed and the results are evaluated by the gray error checking ： Correlative value of posterior error is 0. 220 9〈0. 35, and micro-error probability is 0. 985 3〉0.95. Such results show the chaos forecasting algo- rithm is effective, thus it is feasible to analyze and forecast flight conflict by chaotic theory.

A Decision Model Based on Grey Rough Sets Integration with Incomplete Information

In this paper, for multiple attribute decision-making problem in which attribute values are interval grey numbers and some of them are null values, a decision model based on grey rough sets integration with incomplete information is proposed. We put forward incidence degree coefficient formula for grey interval, by information entropy theory and analysis technique, the method and principle is presented to fill up null values. We also establish the method of grey interval incidence cluster. Because grey system theory and Rough set theory are complementary each other, decision table with preference information is obtained by the result of grey incidence cluster. An algorithm for inducing decision rules based on rough set theory and the dominance relationship is presented. In some extent, this algorithm can deal with decision-making problem in which the attribute values are interval grey numbers and some of them are null values. Contrasted with classical model of cluster decision-making, the algorithm has an advantage of flexibility and compatibility to new information.

Weak-Coupling Theory for Semiclassical Periodically Driven Two-Level Systems： Beyond Rotating-Wave Approximation

We present a weak-coupling theory of semiclassical periodically driven two-level systems. The explicit analytical approximating solution is shown to reproduce highly accurately the exact results well beyond the regime of the rotating-wave approximation.

Prediction of Planing Craft Motion Based on Grey System Theory

In order to minimize the harm caused by the instability of a planing craft, a motion prediction model is essential. This paper analyzed the feasibility of using an MGM（1,N） model in grey system theory to predict planing craft motion and carried out the numerical simulation experiment. According to the characteristics of planing craft motion, a recurrence formula was proposed of the parameter matrix of an MGMfl,N） model. Using this formula, data can be updated in real-time without increasing computational complexity significantly. The results of numerical simulation show that using an MGM（1,N） model to predict planing motion is feasible and useful for prediction. So the method proposed in this study can reflect the planing craft motion mechanism successfully, and has rational and effective functions of forecasting and analyzing trends.

Perturbation Theory for Open Two-Level Nonlinear Quantum Systems

Perturbation theory is an important tool in quantum mechanics. In this paper, we extend the traditional perturbation theory to open nonlinear two-level systems, treating decoherence parameter γ as a perturbation. By this virtue, we give a perturbative solution to the master equation, which describes a nonlinear open quantum system. The results show that for small decoherence rate γ the ratio of the nonlinear rate C to the tunneling coefficient V （i.e., r = O/V） determines the validity of the perturbation theory. For small ratio r, the perturbation theory is valid, otherwise it yields wrong results.

Design and dynamic simulation of hydraulic system of a new automatic transmission

A new hydraulic system of a novel automatic transmission (AT) was designed. The dimension and structure of valves and cylinders were designed by theoretical calculation. The dynamic simulation model of hydraulic system of AT was established by ITI-SimulationX. Simulation results and theoretical design results were compared to confirm the simulation model. Based on the confirmed simulation model, the simulation results of pressure and flow of the hydraulic system were analyzed. The dynamic simulation method is very helpful for designing and analyzing the performance of hydraulic system and further optimization design. The theoretical design method and dynamic simulation model are feasible for the real industrial applications. The research results can be used in hydraulic system design and optimization.

A Reliability Analysis of Calculated Results for Odd-Even and Odd-Odd Nuclei in Relativistic Mean-Field Theory

We calculate the binding energies of Ni, Cu, Xe, Cs, Pt, Au, Np, Pu isotope chains using two interaction parameter sets NL-3 and NL-Z, and compared the relative errors of the even-even nuclei with those of odd-even nuclei and odd-odd nuclei. We find that the errors of binding energy of odd-even and odd-odd nuclei are not bigger than the one of even-even nuclei. The result shows that comparing with even-even nuclei, there is no systematic error and approximation in the calculations of the binding energy of odd-even and odd-odd nuclei with relativistic mean-field theory. In addition, the result is explained theoretically.

AN INTRUSION DETECTION SYSTEM BASED ON EVIDENCE THEORY AND ROUGH SET THEORY

In this paper,we propose a novel Intrusion Detection System (IDS) architecture utilizing both the evidence theory and Rough Set Theory (RST). Evidence theory is an effective tool in dealing with uncertainty question. It relies on the expert knowledge to provide evidences,needing the evidences to be independent,and this make it difficult in application. To solve this problem,a hybrid system of rough sets and evidence theory is proposed. Firstly,simplification are made based on Variable Precision Rough Set (VPRS) conditional entropy. Thus,the Basic Belief Assignment (BBA) for all evidences can be calculated. Secondly,Dempster’s rule of combination is used,and a decision-making is given. In the proposed approach,the difficulties in acquiring the BBAs are solved,the correlativity among the evidences is reduced and the subjectivity of evidences is weakened. An illustrative example in an intrusion detection shows that the two theories combination is feasible and effective.

The Globalisation of Firms as Social Systems

Existing theories of the globalisation of firms fall short of integrating evolutionary, self-reproductive mechanisms. This conceptual paper serves to provide an overview on existing literature in systems theory and to develop a basic framework for the study of evolutionary processes in the globalisation of firms. Ontological, epistemological, and methodological consequences of an evolutionary social systems approach to globalisation will be discussed.

Towards a Formal Theory of v-Contradictions

On the basis of differently defined functions- than otherwise - for conjunction, disjunction and implication （＊）, we construct a formal system, as an axiomatic theory, on its three levels： propositional, predicate and arithmetical one, intended to be a formalizaton of identically false formulas. We argue somewhat in favor of such a system from the point of view of its meta theory （it is complete and consistent one）, of properties of duality, symmetry etc., as well as of a logic of a possible world.

Attributes,challenges and future directions of community resilience

With the continuous development of human society, the damage to the natural environment is becoming increasingly large, causing crisis events to occur frequently. In recent years, the study of community resilience is becoming popular among scholars because of its perspective on disaster prevention and mitigation. In this study, we apply database retrieval to untangle community resilience-related papers from multiple directions. We analyze the connotation, attribute, and composition of community, resilience, and community resilience comprehensively by summarizing important issues and research progress in community resilience. Challenges and shortcomings faced by community resilience development are also determined. Moreover, we put forward the research directions that future research can focus on. Through literature review, current research on community resilience focuses on the following aspects: "infrastructure construction," "crowd in the community," "economic resilience,""social capital," and "measurement of community resilience." Such research is not yet systematic and relatively decentralized. The attention to collective resilience in the community is relatively weak, which makes achieving the goal of "people-oriented and systematic control" difficult.Therefore, this study states that the development of future community resilience should stand from the perspective of"system of system" and build on knowledge and tools of various relevant domains. Therefore, public needs and participation are highlighted as breakthrough points. The research should integrate infrastructure and economic resilience, social resource allocation, network connection,and other aspects to build a holistic and functional resilient community.

Bifurcation analysis on full annular rub of a nonlinear rotor system

In this paper, analytical and numerical studies are carried out on the full annular rub motions of a nonlinear Jeffcott rotor. Transition sets of the synchronous full annular rub are given with the help of averaging method and constraint bifurcation theory to discuss the effects of system parameters on jump phenomena. Routh-Hurwitz criteria are employed to analyze the stability of synchronous full annular rub solution and determine the boundaries of static and Hopf bifurcations. Finally, the response and onset condition of reverse dry whip are investigated numerically, and at the same time, the influences of rotor parameters and rotation speed on the characteristics of the rotor response are investigated.

Hopf analysis of a differential-algebraic predator-prey model with Allee effect and time delay

A differential-algebraic prey--predator model with time delay and Allee effect on the growth of the prey population is investigated. Using differential-algebraic system theory, we transform the prey predator model into its normal form and study its dynamics in terms of local analysis and Hopf bifurcation. By analyzing the associated characteristic equation, it is observed that the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at some critical value of time delay. In particular, we study the direction of Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcated periodic solutions, and an explicit algorithm is given by applying the normal form theory and the center manifold reduction for functional differential equations. Finally, numerical simulations supporting the theoretical analysis are also included.

CONVOLUTION THEOREM AND ASYMPTOTIC EFFICIENCY IN TWO SIDE TRUNCATED DISTRIBUTION FAMILY——THE NORMAL CASE

In the distribution family with common support and the one side truncated distribution family, Bickle, I. A. Ibragimov and R. Z. Hasminskii proved two important convolution theorems. As to the two-side truncated case, we also proved a convolution theorem, which plays an extraordinary role in the efficiency theory. In this paper, we will study another kind of two-side truncated distribution family, and prove a convolution result with normal form. On the basis of this convolution result, a new kind of efficiency concept is given; meanwhile, we will show that MLE is an efficient estimate in this distribution family.

The φ-Group for n Submodules Systems as a Generalization of the K-Theory

In this paper,the authors construct a φ-group for n submodules,which generalizes the classical K-theory and gives more information than the classical ones.This theory is related to the classification theory for indecomposable systems of n subspaces.