The sea surface temperature （SST） has substantial impacts on the climate; however, due to its highly nonlinear nature, evidently non-periodic and strongly stochastic properties, it is rather difficult to predict SST...The sea surface temperature （SST） has substantial impacts on the climate; however, due to its highly nonlinear nature, evidently non-periodic and strongly stochastic properties, it is rather difficult to predict SST. Here, the authors combine the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition （CEEMD） and support vector machine （SVM） methods to predict SST. Extensive tests from several different aspects are presented to validate the effectiveness of the CEEMD-SVM method. The results suggest that the new method works well in forecasting Northeast Pacific SST at a 12-month lead time, with an average absolute error of approximately 0.3℃ and a correlation coefficient of 0.85. Moreover, no spring predictability barrier is observed in our experiments.展开更多
To improve the prediction accuracy of micro-electromechanical systems(MEMS)gyroscope random drift series,a multi-scale prediction model based on empirical mode decomposition(EMD)and support vector regression(SVR)is pr...To improve the prediction accuracy of micro-electromechanical systems(MEMS)gyroscope random drift series,a multi-scale prediction model based on empirical mode decomposition(EMD)and support vector regression(SVR)is proposed.Firstly,EMD is employed to decompose the raw drift series into a finite number of intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)with the frequency descending successively.Secondly,according to the time-frequency characteristic of each IMF,the corresponding SVR prediction model is established based on phase space reconstruction.Finally,the prediction results are obtained by adding up the prediction results of all IMFs with equal weight.The experimental results demonstrate the validity of the proposed model in random drift prediction of MEMS gyroscope.Compared with a single SVR model,the proposed model has higher prediction precision,which can provide the basis for drift error compensation of MEMS gyroscope.展开更多
基金supported in part by the Major Research Plan of the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number91530204]the State Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41430426]
文摘The sea surface temperature （SST） has substantial impacts on the climate; however, due to its highly nonlinear nature, evidently non-periodic and strongly stochastic properties, it is rather difficult to predict SST. Here, the authors combine the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition （CEEMD） and support vector machine （SVM） methods to predict SST. Extensive tests from several different aspects are presented to validate the effectiveness of the CEEMD-SVM method. The results suggest that the new method works well in forecasting Northeast Pacific SST at a 12-month lead time, with an average absolute error of approximately 0.3℃ and a correlation coefficient of 0.85. Moreover, no spring predictability barrier is observed in our experiments.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61427810)。
文摘To improve the prediction accuracy of micro-electromechanical systems(MEMS)gyroscope random drift series,a multi-scale prediction model based on empirical mode decomposition(EMD)and support vector regression(SVR)is proposed.Firstly,EMD is employed to decompose the raw drift series into a finite number of intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)with the frequency descending successively.Secondly,according to the time-frequency characteristic of each IMF,the corresponding SVR prediction model is established based on phase space reconstruction.Finally,the prediction results are obtained by adding up the prediction results of all IMFs with equal weight.The experimental results demonstrate the validity of the proposed model in random drift prediction of MEMS gyroscope.Compared with a single SVR model,the proposed model has higher prediction precision,which can provide the basis for drift error compensation of MEMS gyroscope.
