交通大动脉经济势理论研究

提出交通大动脉经济势理论， 根据物理学中的电磁场理论建立测算交通大动脉经济势的数学模型， 并给出了应用实例。

基于潜力模型和经济势理论的卫星城发展研究

在深入剖析大城市和卫星城市发展影响因素的基础上,基于空间相互作用的潜力模型和交通对城镇发展影响的经济势理论,构建了卫星城发展优势度模型,该模型可用于分析卫星城规划、主卫城间交通联系对卫星城发展的影响等,并以西安市为例,验证了该模型在卫星城规划中的应用。

卫星城发展优势度模型及其应用研究

合理规划卫星城对缓解中心城市人口和交通压力具有重要作用.在分析优势及优势度基本概念和特点的基础上,基于空间相互作用的潜力模型和交通对城镇发展影响的经济势理论,构建了卫星城发展优势度模型,并对其主要参数的标定方法进行了探讨;以西安市为例,探讨了该模型在卫星城发展规划中的应用.结果表明,该模型可用于定量分析卫星城规划,研究主卫城间交通联系对卫星城发展的影响等,为实现大城市和卫星城的协调发展提供借鉴.

Is Using Mathematics and Game Theory in Analyzing Economic Phenomena Scientific？

In the article, the author presents some arguments concerning the ＂mathematical method issue＂ in modem economics. The author shows why some reasons, according to which we should use mathematics in （economic） theory, are not convincing （they are even tautological）, and what does mathematization have to do with arbitrariness of the orthodox economic theory. The author also shows why using game theory （a mathematical discipline） in modem microeconomics does not yield knowledge and correct explanation of economic situations and phenomena. At the end, the author presents fundamental questions that form the basis of economic science and its qualitative research methods, and shows what their practical relevance is. The purpose of this article is to argue, contrary to common opinion, that there can be an exact and objective science of economic phenomena that does not necessarily use modem mathematical theories or methods to explain these phenomena.

Verifying Ricardo＇s Model--Whether TPP is Right or Wrong？

Through his attempt to clarify justifiable economic circumstances where a policy of globalization and/or a policy of national isolation is proven valid, the author reveals in this thesis that there are two such economic phases： an economy where the theory of comparative advantage, proposed by David Ricardo, is applicable, and an economy where the theory is not applicable. The author applied his original approach to prove the validity of Ricardo＇s comparative advantage theory, and found that the theory can be justified only when a macro economy is in the thetical economic phase, where a policy of globalization is effective. It is a necessary and sufficient condition for the theory to be valid. In other words, Ricardo＇s theory of comparative advantage is not applicable when a macro economy is in the antithetical economic phase, where a policy of national isolation, instead of that of globalization, is valid. The thetical economic phase and the antithetical economic phase of a macro economy, referred to in this thesis by the author, are a version of an expression quite common in OR （operations research）.

Globalization or Isolation？—— Ricardo＇s Model

Through the attempt to clarify justifiable economic circumstances where a policy of globalization and/or a policy of national isolation is proven valid, the author revealed in this thesis that there are two such economic phases： An economy where the theory of comparative advantage, proposed by David Ricardo, is applicable, and an economy where the theory is not applicable. The author applied his original approach to prove the validity of Ricardo＇s comparative advantage theory, and found that the theory can be justified only when a macro economy is in the primal problem phase, where a policy of globalization is effective. It is a necessary and sufficient condition for the theory to be valid. In other words, Ricardo＇s theory of comparative advantage is not applicable when a macro economy is in the dual problem phase, where a policy of national isolation, instead of that of globalization, is valid. The primal problem phase and the dual problem phase of a macro economy, called in this thesis by the author, are a version of an expression quite common in OR （operations research）.

Atmospheric Environmental Quality Prediction Based on Support Vector Machine

The economic development bring serious environmental problems to China, the quality of atmospheric environment has an important bearing on the forecast. Be aimed at the complexity and non-linear of the quality of atmospheric environment, chaos theory has been put forward which takes full advantage of using date information. Based on the reconstruction of time-series phase space of the quality of atmospheric environment with the use of least squares support vector machine theory, the atmospheric environment prediction model was built up, and 25 years of historical data viewed as the raw data of the quality of the environment in Benxi City, giving a practical example, it shows that the results forecasted by the least squares support vector machine and the actual results match the better the forecast accuracy also meet the engineering application.

How Long Can China＇s Economy Keep Growing？

Since 2010, there has been renewed discussion on China＇s economic future. After 30 years of breakneck economic growth, China＇s position in the world economy is more important than ever and people must understand how China＇s economic dominance will change the world economy. Some economists who are bearish about China＇s future believe that China＇s growth engine will lose fire in the next two or three years. To address their predictions about China＇s future, the author will address three themes： （11） Why did China manage to grow so rapidly？ （2） How long will China keep growing？ （3） Can China＇s economy keep growing in the future？ By analyzing the theory of inadequate consumer demand in China and by evaluating the general patterns of China＇s basic advantages in education, technology and human capital and industrial upgrading, the author explicitly argue why it is unlikely for China to fall into the ＂middle-income trap. ＂