It is an effective way in realizing urban coordinated and sustainable development to establish a series of in- dicators and to evaluate urban environmental and socioeconomic development. According to the characteristi...It is an effective way in realizing urban coordinated and sustainable development to establish a series of in- dicators and to evaluate urban environmental and socioeconomic development. According to the characteristics of Harbin City in Northeast China, an indicator system including five subsystems and 37 indicators was established for comprehensive evaluation on urban sustainable development. The development indexes of all urban subsystems and complex system were calculated quantitatively using the comprehensively integrated methods composed of Principle Component Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process and weighed index method, and then the comprehensive level of ur- ban sustainable development and the degree of urban interior coordination were analyzed. The results indicated that 1) the overall urban development presented an uptrend, however, the interior development was not well balanced from 1996 to 2006; 2) the development in each subsystem presented a strong fluctuation; and 3) the development in re- sources subsystem showed a downtrend. Based on those results, the suggestions of urban sustainable development were put forward at the end.展开更多
This paper examined the impacts of the total energy consumption control policy and energy quota allocation plans on China′s regional economy. This research analyzed the influences of different energy quota allocation...This paper examined the impacts of the total energy consumption control policy and energy quota allocation plans on China′s regional economy. This research analyzed the influences of different energy quota allocation plans with various weights of equity and efficiency, using a dynamic computable general equilibrium(CGE) model for 30 province-level administrative regions. The results show that the efficiency-first allocation plan costs the least but widens regional income gap, whereas the outcomes of equity-first allocation plan and intensity target-based allocation plan are similar and are both opposite to the efficiency-first allocation plan′ outcome. The plan featuring a balance between efficiency and equity is more feasible, which can bring regional economic losses evenly and prevent massive interregional migration of energy-related industries. Furthermore, the effects of possible induced energy technology improvements in different energy quota allocation plans were studied. Induced energy technology improvements can add more feasibility to all allocation plans under the total energy consumption control policy. In the long term, if the policy of the total energy consumption control continues and more market-based tools are implemented to allocate energy quotas, the positive consequences of induced energy technology improvements will become much more obvious.展开更多
A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valle...A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valley, coastal, and hilly）. Cumulative cost flows are compared for the life-cycle present value technique. Optimum design magnitudes are determined for maximum life-cycle savings. The payback period for capital invested in a solar system, and total savings are found for the optimum conditions. Variations of system performance are estimated. The effects of collector slope, proportionate storage tank volume, heat-exchanger parameters, and the design load on system performance are studied. Finally the economics of solar heating in Palestine are discussed and recommendations are made for increased utilization of solar energy.展开更多
The vulnerability of Egypt to potential impacts of sea level rise has been considered. It was recognized that many locations in Egyptian Coast, on Mediterranean Sea （Mersa Matruh, Alexandria and Port Said） and on Re...The vulnerability of Egypt to potential impacts of sea level rise has been considered. It was recognized that many locations in Egyptian Coast, on Mediterranean Sea （Mersa Matruh, Alexandria and Port Said） and on Red Sea （Hurghada）, are highly vulnerable to the potential impacts of sea level rise, salt water intrusion and increase of frequency and severity of storm surges. The aim of this study is to investigate the monthly average and the variations of sea level and meteorological conditions along the Egyptian Mediterranean and north Red Sea coasts. Monthly mean cycles and correlation coefficients between MSL （Mean Sea Level） and different meteorological parameters were also calculated. The analyzed data was from 2007 to 2009 covering 3 years of hourly recorded sea level and meteorological parameters were used except for Hurghada sea level was for 2007 and 2008. Sea level harmonic analyses were done by using TOGA （Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere） software. Sea level variations were also computed, and it was 20.1,20, 0.1 and 55.3 cm in Alexandria, Port Said, Mersa Matruh and Hurghada respectively. The annual of the tidal constituents were computed to determine the MSL. Surge calculations were done by using TOGA software and eliminating the predicted tide from the observed sea level. The average calculated surge was also analyzed that the highest surge happened during summer and the lowest during winter in Alexandria and Port Said, while the highest surge was during winter and the lowest during summer in Hurghada. The surge variation was very weak in Mersa Matruh. The result of multiple regression analysis is a statistically significant relationship between the variables at the 99% confidence level.展开更多
Over the past two decades, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) has developed into a major analytical tool in the field of input-output (IO) techniques, but the method was found to suffer from one or more of the fo...Over the past two decades, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) has developed into a major analytical tool in the field of input-output (IO) techniques, but the method was found to suffer from one or more of the following problems. The decomposition forms, which are used to measure the contribution of a specific determinant, are not unique due to the existence of a multitude of equivalent forms, irrational due to the weights of different determinants not matching, inexact due to the existence of large interaction terms.In this paper, a decomposition method is derived to overcome these deficiencies, and we prove that the result of this approach is equal to the Shapley value in cooperative games,and so some properties of the method are obtained. Beyond that, the two approaches that have been used predominantly in the literature have been proved to be the approximate solutions of the method.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (973 Program) (No. 2005CB 724207)
文摘It is an effective way in realizing urban coordinated and sustainable development to establish a series of in- dicators and to evaluate urban environmental and socioeconomic development. According to the characteristics of Harbin City in Northeast China, an indicator system including five subsystems and 37 indicators was established for comprehensive evaluation on urban sustainable development. The development indexes of all urban subsystems and complex system were calculated quantitatively using the comprehensively integrated methods composed of Principle Component Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process and weighed index method, and then the comprehensive level of ur- ban sustainable development and the degree of urban interior coordination were analyzed. The results indicated that 1) the overall urban development presented an uptrend, however, the interior development was not well balanced from 1996 to 2006; 2) the development in each subsystem presented a strong fluctuation; and 3) the development in re- sources subsystem showed a downtrend. Based on those results, the suggestions of urban sustainable development were put forward at the end.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41101556,71173212,71203215)
文摘This paper examined the impacts of the total energy consumption control policy and energy quota allocation plans on China′s regional economy. This research analyzed the influences of different energy quota allocation plans with various weights of equity and efficiency, using a dynamic computable general equilibrium(CGE) model for 30 province-level administrative regions. The results show that the efficiency-first allocation plan costs the least but widens regional income gap, whereas the outcomes of equity-first allocation plan and intensity target-based allocation plan are similar and are both opposite to the efficiency-first allocation plan′ outcome. The plan featuring a balance between efficiency and equity is more feasible, which can bring regional economic losses evenly and prevent massive interregional migration of energy-related industries. Furthermore, the effects of possible induced energy technology improvements in different energy quota allocation plans were studied. Induced energy technology improvements can add more feasibility to all allocation plans under the total energy consumption control policy. In the long term, if the policy of the total energy consumption control continues and more market-based tools are implemented to allocate energy quotas, the positive consequences of induced energy technology improvements will become much more obvious.
文摘A computer analysis of solar heating has been performed for Palestine. Results are presented for a prototype building using either fuel oil or gas under different heating loads in three climatic regions （Jordan valley, coastal, and hilly）. Cumulative cost flows are compared for the life-cycle present value technique. Optimum design magnitudes are determined for maximum life-cycle savings. The payback period for capital invested in a solar system, and total savings are found for the optimum conditions. Variations of system performance are estimated. The effects of collector slope, proportionate storage tank volume, heat-exchanger parameters, and the design load on system performance are studied. Finally the economics of solar heating in Palestine are discussed and recommendations are made for increased utilization of solar energy.
文摘The vulnerability of Egypt to potential impacts of sea level rise has been considered. It was recognized that many locations in Egyptian Coast, on Mediterranean Sea （Mersa Matruh, Alexandria and Port Said） and on Red Sea （Hurghada）, are highly vulnerable to the potential impacts of sea level rise, salt water intrusion and increase of frequency and severity of storm surges. The aim of this study is to investigate the monthly average and the variations of sea level and meteorological conditions along the Egyptian Mediterranean and north Red Sea coasts. Monthly mean cycles and correlation coefficients between MSL （Mean Sea Level） and different meteorological parameters were also calculated. The analyzed data was from 2007 to 2009 covering 3 years of hourly recorded sea level and meteorological parameters were used except for Hurghada sea level was for 2007 and 2008. Sea level harmonic analyses were done by using TOGA （Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere） software. Sea level variations were also computed, and it was 20.1,20, 0.1 and 55.3 cm in Alexandria, Port Said, Mersa Matruh and Hurghada respectively. The annual of the tidal constituents were computed to determine the MSL. Surge calculations were done by using TOGA software and eliminating the predicted tide from the observed sea level. The average calculated surge was also analyzed that the highest surge happened during summer and the lowest during winter in Alexandria and Port Said, while the highest surge was during winter and the lowest during summer in Hurghada. The surge variation was very weak in Mersa Matruh. The result of multiple regression analysis is a statistically significant relationship between the variables at the 99% confidence level.
基金This paper is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 70131002).
文摘Over the past two decades, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) has developed into a major analytical tool in the field of input-output (IO) techniques, but the method was found to suffer from one or more of the following problems. The decomposition forms, which are used to measure the contribution of a specific determinant, are not unique due to the existence of a multitude of equivalent forms, irrational due to the weights of different determinants not matching, inexact due to the existence of large interaction terms.In this paper, a decomposition method is derived to overcome these deficiencies, and we prove that the result of this approach is equal to the Shapley value in cooperative games,and so some properties of the method are obtained. Beyond that, the two approaches that have been used predominantly in the literature have been proved to be the approximate solutions of the method.
