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灾害经济损失估算与预测的经济计量模式 被引量:5
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作者 吕纯濂 陈舜华 《中国减灾》 1992年第2期32-37,共6页
经济计量模式由Klein创建,因此而获1980年诺贝尔经济学奖。由所研究的经济系统建立的联立结构方程组(总称系统方程,类似气象中的预报方程)中的经济变量在经济系统中起着不向的作用,一般分为内生变量与外生变量,前者指在经济系统内部可... 经济计量模式由Klein创建,因此而获1980年诺贝尔经济学奖。由所研究的经济系统建立的联立结构方程组(总称系统方程,类似气象中的预报方程)中的经济变量在经济系统中起着不向的作用,一般分为内生变量与外生变量,前者指在经济系统内部可测量的变量,类似于气象中的预报对象,但又不完全相同。 展开更多
关键词 灾害经济损失估算 经济计量模式 内生变量 外生变量
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一种水污染损失经济计量模型及其应用 被引量:7
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作者 胡廷兰 杨志峰 +1 位作者 程红光 王华 《北京师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2000年第5期706-710,共5页
在回顾与总结已有的水污染损失研究的基础上 ,提出了针对区域一级水污染损失的经济计量分析方法 ,建立了相关的损失计量模式 ,并对呼和浩特市的水污染损失进行了初步的分析 .
关键词 水污染损失 经济计量模式 呼和浩特市
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地震灾害经济损失估算与预测方法 被引量:25
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作者 姜立新 傅征祥 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 1995年第4期27-33,95,共8页
本文通过对地震造成的社会环境物理破坏损失以及这种物理破坏导致的经济领域损失的分析,研究了直接经济损失预测方法,给出了地震人员死亡率和直接经济损失率的相关统计关系;并根据两种不同的经济分析模型,提出了地震灾害间接经济损失预... 本文通过对地震造成的社会环境物理破坏损失以及这种物理破坏导致的经济领域损失的分析,研究了直接经济损失预测方法,给出了地震人员死亡率和直接经济损失率的相关统计关系;并根据两种不同的经济分析模型,提出了地震灾害间接经济损失预测方法:经济计量模式和投入产出方法。 展开更多
关键词 地震 灾害 经济损失 经济计量模式 预测法
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北京国民经济发展态势分析
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作者 靳向兰 王雪霞 +1 位作者 杨彦军 刘岚芳 《经济与管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2001年第4期31-35,共5页
关键词 北京 国民经济发展 计量经济模式 产业结构 基础设施 消费需求 第三产业 高新技术产业
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统计气象学研讨会在京召开
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《沙漠与绿洲气象》 1995年第6期53-53,共1页
关键词 研讨会 中国气象学会 统计气候学 统计分析方法 车贝雪夫多项式 经济计量模式 灰色系统理论 产品解释应用 神经元网络方法 耗散结构理论
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Dynamic Assessment on Regional Eco-environmental Quality Using AHP-Statistics Model—A Case Study of Chaohu Lake Basin 被引量:8
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作者 LI Ruzhong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2007年第4期341-348,共8页
An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessmen... An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessment. Then, a hierarchical model with four levels is established by virtue of these indicators and attributes. In the model, weights of indicators and attributes are determined by combining Delphi method with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and a statistic method is used to eliminate the influences arising from the differences in dimension and magnitude of indicators. On these grounds, an AHP-statistics model is provided for regional eco-environmental quality assessment. As a case, such AHP-statistics model is utilized in the dynamic analysis of regional eco-environmental assessment in Chaohu Lake basin. Study results show that natural environmental quality in the watershed was in the declining state while social environmental quality was in a markedly improved situation from 1996, and the synthetic eco-environmental quality was gradually and slowly improved under the common influences of both natural and social environmental factors. Example of application testified the capacities of above methodology to evaluate the real and dynamic state of regional eco-environmental quality. 展开更多
关键词 eco-environmental quality assessment AHP-statistics model Chaohu Lake
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Evaluation of vehicle damage involved in road crashes based on quantificated model
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作者 范艳辉 许洪国 姜华平 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2008年第2期343-346,共4页
Based on economics theory,social value loss caused by vehicle involved in crashes as well as various factors influencing on it were analyzed,the corresponding mi- cro-econometrics model was theoretically given.Moreove... Based on economics theory,social value loss caused by vehicle involved in crashes as well as various factors influencing on it were analyzed,the corresponding mi- cro-econometrics model was theoretically given.Moreover,the practicability of the model, the veracity and rationality of quantification were analyzed.Based on probability theory and mathematical statistical theory,macro approach to evaluating vehicle damage in crashes was presented,and the corresponding macro-econometrics model was con- structed.In addition,the macro-econometrics model was utilized to assess economic loss from statistical data of vehicle damaged in crashes,which has shown that the model can meet the demand of quantification analysis of vehicle damage,and be applied to the evaluation of economic loss caused by crashes.The results in this paper will be of practic- al significance for scientific,comprehensive and rational evaluating socio-economic loss caused by road crashes. 展开更多
关键词 vehicle damage road crash quantification macro-econometrics model micro-econometrics model EVALUATION
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世界钨砂市场研究
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作者 靳云汇 邹晓明 《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 1993年第9期8-15,共8页
钨砂是我国一项传统出口商品。我国钨砂产量在世界钨砂总产量中所占比例较大,例如1985年为46%。我国钨砂出口量占世界钨砂总出口量的份额也较大,例如1985年为85%。我国有关部门对钨砂出口量及其出口价格决策时,需要及时准确掌握世界... 钨砂是我国一项传统出口商品。我国钨砂产量在世界钨砂总产量中所占比例较大,例如1985年为46%。我国钨砂出口量占世界钨砂总出口量的份额也较大,例如1985年为85%。我国有关部门对钨砂出口量及其出口价格决策时,需要及时准确掌握世界钨砂市场的行情,即世界钨砂的需求量、供给量、库存量、价格等信息及其发展趋势, 展开更多
关键词 钨砂市场 世界 经济计量模式
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Local Linear Estimation by TSLS with Variable Bandwidth for Semi-parametric Simultaneous Equation Models in Econometrics
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作者 Azhong Ye Xiangbo Wu 《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 2008年第2期119-125,共7页
Econometric simultaneous equation models play an important role in making economic policies, analyzing economic structure and economic forecasting. This paper presents local linear estimators by TSLS with variable ban... Econometric simultaneous equation models play an important role in making economic policies, analyzing economic structure and economic forecasting. This paper presents local linear estimators by TSLS with variable bandwidth for every structural equation in semi-parametric simultaneous equation models in econometrics. The properties under large sample size were studied by using the asymptotic theory when all variables were random. The results show that the estimators of the parameters have consistency and asymptotic normality, and their convergence rates are equal to n^-1/2. And the estimator of the nonparametric function has the consistency and asymptotic normality in interior points and its rate of convergence is equal to the optimal convergence rate of the nonparametric function estimation. 展开更多
关键词 semi-parametric simultaneous equation models in econometrics local linear estimation by two stages least square with variable bandwidth CONSISTENCY asymptoticnormality rate of convergence
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